Michigan State Championship Projections

[SoftwareBug2.0]

Originally Posted by Ed Law

Thanks for doing this. What is your projection cutoff points at this time?

By the way, please put teams that won district chairman's into the in group no matter how their robot performs. This may reduce the number of spots left and slightly raise the cutoff points.

My best guess for the point cutoff is 69, but the range that I estimate that it could be in is pretty wide: somewhere between 57 and 106. I need to do a better job of making this explicit in the listing since you aren't the first one to ask.

There are several methodological improvements to the script that would make sense to do (like taking Chairman's into account). I'm not planning to do any of them in time for this season though. However, it is easy to rerun the script as if there were a a few less slots at MSC. For example, there are currently four Chairman's winning teams ranked below 102, and rerunning as if there are only 98 slots gives a cutoff between 59 and 107 with a best guess of 72, which is three points higher.