PNW District Championship Projections

[Ian Curtis]

Originally Posted by InFlight

Too hard even guess now, we will have to wait for Oregon City and Auburn to finish. There's a lot of traditionally strong teams that need a good performance in week 5 to return to the district championships.

Team 1510 Wildcats won the Philomath Chairman Award and are officially "in".

I agree that some traditionally strong teams have had an off year, but Eric's method of estimating which teams will advance has a pretty solid track record (especially with only 1 week & 2 events left).

Look at his postmortems from 2015 & 2014.

[Navid Shafa]

Originally Posted by InFlight

Too hard even guess now, we will have to wait for Oregon City and Auburn to finish. There's a lot of traditionally strong teams that need a good performance in week 5 to return to the district championships.

Team 1510 Wildcats won the Philomath Chairman Award and are officially "in".

I wouldn't worry. With 69 points, 3574 is a lock for DCMP. It would have been enough last year too, even with one more event in the district.

[InFlight]

With many teams having had three or four weeks off between events; there has been lots of time to improve mechanisms and perfect code. With this year's odd schedule; we might see some real performance improvements from first weeks scores/performance from the strong veteran teams.

Might be a year that modeling based on early results will have weaker correlation.

[MikLast]

Thanks eric, i was actually looking for this and didnt realize it already existed.

[Maria S]

Originally Posted by InFlight

With many teams having had three or four weeks off between events; there has been lots of time to improve mechanisms and perfect code. With this year's odd schedule; we might see some real performance improvements from first weeks scores/performance from the strong veteran teams.

Might be a year that modeling based on early results will have weaker correlation.

That's true, but if everyone's improving then no ones really improving in relation to each other.

[Ian Curtis]

Once again, impressive projection of the cut-off. It's sitting a 54 points right now & will presumably move up a couple more with selection, elimination & award points.

PNW Leaderboard

[MikLast]

It seems like that our team will not make it to portland without some declines. Even if our robot does not go, we are still having a small group go to Portland to cheer on our Deans list and Woodie Flowers semifinalists. (i think thats the correct term) If i am there ill have some 4513 shirts on me to trade if anyone is wanting to trade shirts.

Edit: Teams now final.

1.	1983 
2.	1425 
3.	2471
4.	2522 
5.	3238 
6.	4061 
7.	2046
8.	4911 
9.	4488 
10.	1540 
11.	5920
12.	3663
13.	4469 
14.	2147 
15.	3711 
16.	4205 
17.	5450 
18.	4131 
19.	2928 
20.	3786
21.	2557 
22.	3826 
23.	2374 
24.	5468 
25.	3024 
26.	2930 
27.	4726 
28.	4980 
29.	2990 
30.	955 
31.	1318 
32.	4450 
33.	1778
34.	1595 
35.	753
36.	4915
37.	3393 
38.	5085 
39.	3223
40.	2811 
41.	4132 
42.	4077 
43.	2907 
44.	3574 
45.	3219 
46.	1258
47.	4125 
48 .    5942 
49.	2149 
50.	4057 
51.	3674 
52.	4089 
53.	5827 
54.	5970
55.	2910 
56.	5803 
57.	997
58.	2944 
59.	1510 
60 .    2635
61.	3787
62.	5495
63.	360 
64.    2980

Congrats to all of the teams!

Also shoutout to Royal Robotics (2522) for getting the Engineering Inspiration Award at the Hawaii Regional, earning them a spot at worlds!

[Maria S]

Final rankings are up!

[SoftwareBug2.0]

Official results are now up so let's evaluate the predictions:

March 19:

Predicted       Actual In       Actual Out
bubble          20              30
in              10              0
out             0               25
~in             32              4
~out            2               35

March 26:

Predicted       Actual In       Actual Out
bubble          15              29
in              13              0
out             0               37
~in             35              2
~out            1               26