Predictions Week 7: Crowning the Districts

[Nathan Streeter]

Originally Posted by lynca

Matches have started !

How do you rank the districts?

Here is my rough attempt.
Indiana > Michigan > NE > MAR > PNW > Georgia > CHS > NC

Capture % rates this weekend will help clarify the order

So far by Capture Rate, Winning Avg, and Avg:

NE: 50%; 122pts, 108pts... 46 opportunities
MI: 48%; 119pts, 107pts... 58 opportunities
PNW: 48%; 114pts, 104pts... 256 opportunities
MAR: 47%; 108pts, 97pts... 34 opportunities
CH: 36%; 103pts, 95pts... 232 opportunities
NC: 23%; 99pts, 88pts... 128 opportunities
PCH: 17%; 95pts, 86pts... 52 opportunities

Its a little impressive how well the Capture rates correlate with Winning Avg and Avg! Note though, New England, Michigan, MAR, and PCH all have only played 15-30 matches... although it is enough for most teams to have played at least two matches... if not more.

I expect Indiana to slot in somewhere in that top tier (or perhaps above?)... which would be remarkable, given there smaller field of teams to draw from (which I'm guessing have hurt NC and PCH).