[2016] CMP prop bets

[orangemoore]

This is what I got

3 way tie for first in my estimation with the 1st tie breaker making the difference.

[efoote868]

I will officially score the results tonight and post them, I've been rather busy this weekend.

If you're the/a winner, I will send you a PM with instructions for the prize.

[efoote868]

Originally Posted by orangemoore

This is what I got

3 way tie for first in my estimation with the 1st tie breaker making the difference.

Would you please check #10 and #16, then double check your calculation for #15 and let me know if you reach a different conclusion?

[efoote868]

These are the results I've calculated. I recognize that I'm human - please double check my work. Let me know in within the next day (by 11pm eastern 5/3) if you spot an error.

With 23 correct answers Pault is the winner by tiebreaker (off by 20 on the tiebreaker, Joe Ross is 2nd with 25 on the tiebreaker, Matthew1998 is 3rd with 30 on the tiebreaker, and RoundTabler is 4th by going over).

Pault, please look at your private messages for instructions on claiming your fabulous prize.

What I've learned is that I'm a terrible oddsmaker. Thanks everyone for playing, I plan on running this again next year.

true, r13904 - b13781	1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance.
false, 0%		2. Carson's draw bridge will be damaged more than 30% of the time it is used in qualifications
True, b13967 - r13847	3. Carver's blue alliance in qualification will earn more points than its red alliance.
True, 91.36% - 86.67%	4. Carver's cheval de frise will be damaged more when it is used in qualifications than the portcullis.
True, r2790 - b2453	5. Hopper's red alliance in finals will earn more points than its blue alliance.
False, 100% damaged	6. Hopper's rough terrain will not be damaged in 2 or more qualification matches.
False, r2717 - b2330	7. Tesla's blue alliance in finals will earn more points than its red alliance.
False, 146 - 104	8. Tesla's moat will be used more in qualifications than the ramparts.
True, r13187 - b12929	9. Archimedes' red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance.
False, 28.64%		10. Archimedes' sally port will be damaged more than 55% of the time it is used in qualifications.
False, r13468 - b12993	11. Galileo's blue alliance in qualification will earn more points than its red alliance.
True, Damaged 211 / 217	12. Galileo's rock wall will not be damaged in 4 or more qualification matches.
False, b3138 - r2982	13. Curie's red alliance in finals will earn more points than its blue alliance.
True, 100%		14. Curie's low bar will be damaged 100% in finals.
False, r3079 - b2850	15. Newton's blue alliance in finals will earn more points than its red alliance.
True, 62 - 56		16. Newton's moat will be used more in qualifications than the rough terrain.
	
	Inter-division
True, 71.07% - 68.00%	17. Carson will have a higher challenge success percent in qualifications than Archimedes
False, 100% - 90.0%	18. Carson will have a lower total breaches success percent in finals than Archimedes
True, 94.40% - 92.40%	19. Carver will have a higher total breaches success percent in qualifications than Galileo
True, 26.47% - 31.25%	20. Carver will have a lower total scales success percent in finals than Galileo
True, 16.53% - 14.93%	21. Hopper will have a higher scales success percent in qualification than Curie
True, 60.71% - 79.41%	22. Hopper will have a lower capture success percent in finals than Curie
False, 33.2% - 38.8%	23. Tesla will have a higher capture success percent in qualifications than Newton
False, 74.44% - 54.17%	24. Tesla will have a lower challenge success percent in finals than Newton
	
	
	Einstein
TRUE			25. The red alliance will win Einstein
FALSE, Lowest = 3444	26. An alliance with a total team number summation of less than 1500 will be on Einstein
TRUE, Highest  = 13365	27. An alliance with a total team number summation of more than 7000 will be on Einstein
TRUE			28. There will be a 3rd match in the finals on Einstein
TRUE, Q1M2		29. There will be 4 teams scaling in a quarter finals match on Einstein
TRUE, 255		30. There will be a score above 250 points on Einstein

[orangemoore]

#10 was indeed incorrect (whoops) The Answer was false.

#15 Apparently I misread the question and/or flipped the two answers.

#16 I got true after checking (not paying attention again).


In defense of my mistakes I did this while trying to recover from the competition itself and I am still very tired. (Luckily I have tomorrow off. I get to sleep in!)