IRI 2016 Predictions

[Chris is me]

At IRI, some teams try harder than others. Everyone takes it somewhat seriously, more than any other off season, but there are some teams that relax and others that go all-out. The all-out teams tend to perform better and are more likely to win. I won't name names, but it's just something to keep in mind.

My money's on 2056 and 195. Lots of great teams that will do well here, but I expect both these teams to give it their all and to play their best matches of the season at IRI.

The last low goal robot still playing in the eliminations will be 3683, who may be an alliance captain.

[Basel A]

Originally Posted by Chris is me

At IRI, some teams try harder than others. Everyone takes it somewhat seriously, more than any other off season, but there are some teams that relax and others that go all-out. The all-out teams tend to perform better and are more likely to win. I won't name names, but it's just something to keep in mind.

There's also a huge difference between teams that use the previous season's drivers and those that use new drivers. This varies both team by team and year by year and the effects are not easily predicted.

[TheBoulderite]

Originally Posted by Chris is me

My money's on 2056 and 195. Lots of great teams that will do well here, but I expect both these teams to give it their all and to play their best matches of the season at IRI.

The last low goal robot still playing in the eliminations will be 3683, who may be an alliance captain.

195 has an excellent shot this year. Out of all the teams with a two ball autonomous, I'd argue theirs was the most accurate. As for 2056, well, you don't win IRI three years in a row without trying.

As for the low goal bots, I'd argue others, like 1011 and 25, will be selected as well. Both were excellent low goal bots. Some of the most dangerous alliances at IRI will probably be two really accurate high goal shooters with a low goal bot to drop off boulders in the courtyard for the two high goal shooters to pick up.

[Chris is me]

Originally Posted by TheBoulderite

195 has an excellent shot this year. Out of all the teams with a two ball autonomous, I'd argue theirs was the most accurate. As for 2056, well, you don't win IRI three years in a row without trying.

As for the low goal bots, I'd argue others, like 1011 and 25, will be selected as well. Both were excellent low goal bots. Some of the most dangerous alliances at IRI will probably be two really accurate high goal shooters with a low goal bot to drop off boulders in the courtyard for the two high goal shooters to pick up.

I'm not saying 1011 or 25 won't get picked, just that 3683 will be the last low goal robot eliminated from the event. But perhaps a low goal robot that is weaker than these three will get picked as the last backup and win it all. Who knows? Anything can happen at IRI.

[TheBoulderite]

Originally Posted by Chris is me

I'm not saying 1011 or 25 won't get picked, just that 3683 will be the last low goal robot eliminated from the event. But perhaps a low goal robot that is weaker than these three will get picked as the last backup and win it all. Who knows? Anything can happen at IRI.

Ah, I see. I'm willing to believe that prediction. 3683 has a great bot this year.

[BrendanB]

195 is on fire this year. They've been to seven events in the official and offseason winning all of them while seeding #1 at five of them.

Cyberknights will be a strong captain or one of the first few picks.

[TheBoulderite]

Another prediction...

No alliance at IRI will score more than 300 points.

[BronzeStallion]

Originally Posted by TheBoulderite

No alliance at IRI will score more than 300 points.

Well...

30 - Auto Cross
40 - Auto Boulders (someone has a 2 ball)
35 - Tele Cross (all 5 defenses damaged)
45 - 3 Scales

=150 points (Not including teleop boulders or breach/capture)

In quals:
300-150 = 150
150/5 = 30
30 boulders in the high goal during teleop

In elims:
45 - Breach/Capture
300-195 = 105
105/5 = 21
In a near perfect match in elims, Only 21 boulder need to be scored in the high goal during teleop.
That's 7 boulders each robot. Very unlikely but definitely possible.

[Alex Cormier]

Einstein finals match 3, the winners put in 17 high goals. That's almost double of what we usually let through our defense. 21 is possible.

[jtrv]

Originally Posted by Alex Cormier

Einstein finals match 3, the winners put in 17 high goals. That's almost double of what we usually let through our defense. 21 is possible.

Well, you averaged letting up 13.4 high goals per game at Einstein. 17 isn't really close to 27 in that perspective. You did have an incredible performance at Finger Lakes though, at an average of 2 teleop high goals during playoffs, admittedly against weaker teams than IRI caliber.

[Kevin Leonard]

I'll adjust these later. Or maybe make an entirely new set of predictions. I can't resist this stuff!

1241-2056-610-3683 W
225-5172-4587-2590 F
2771-2481-1024-1747
195-1114-133-1058
118-33-2451-624 SF
1023-67-2767-1718 SF
27-16-3620-1619
330-341-2502-1640

330 and 118 decline 225
195 declines 2771

[Whatever]

We get a palindrome alliance.

Some Possibilities:
27,1511,5172
2052,494,2502
2052,33,2502
2052,868,2502
610,3130,16
330,3130,33
610,330,16
45,25,5254
71,2767,217
33,1747,133
33,2767,233
1640,1310,461
1640,3130,461
330,1310,33

[Karthik]

Originally Posted by Whatever

We get a palindrome alliance.

Some Possibilities:
27,1511,5172
2052,494,2502
2052,33,2502
2052,868,2502
610,3130,16
330,3130,33
610,330,16
45,25,5254
71,2767,217
33,1747,133
33,2767,233
1640,1310,461
1640,3130,461
330,1310,33

This might be the best post in CD history.

[bkahl]

Originally Posted by Karthik

This might be the best post in CD history.

Someone just tapped into Karthik's inner math geekiness..

[thatprogrammer]

2056-195-33-20 SF
118-16-1806-3641 SF
3481-1114-1619-1310 W
1241-179-2771-4039 F
2451-2481-624-3824 QF
330-217-4587-2338 QF
67-1024-2013-2590 QF
133-225-2052-3683 QF