IRI 2016 Predictions

[TheBoulderite]

Originally Posted by Chris is me

My money's on 2056 and 195. Lots of great teams that will do well here, but I expect both these teams to give it their all and to play their best matches of the season at IRI.

The last low goal robot still playing in the eliminations will be 3683, who may be an alliance captain.

195 has an excellent shot this year. Out of all the teams with a two ball autonomous, I'd argue theirs was the most accurate. As for 2056, well, you don't win IRI three years in a row without trying.

As for the low goal bots, I'd argue others, like 1011 and 25, will be selected as well. Both were excellent low goal bots. Some of the most dangerous alliances at IRI will probably be two really accurate high goal shooters with a low goal bot to drop off boulders in the courtyard for the two high goal shooters to pick up.

[TheBoulderite]

Originally Posted by AWoL

That was quite possibly the most beautiful thing I have ever read.

Thank you. Glad you liked it. Now let's see it actually happen.

[Chris is me]

Originally Posted by TheBoulderite

195 has an excellent shot this year. Out of all the teams with a two ball autonomous, I'd argue theirs was the most accurate. As for 2056, well, you don't win IRI three years in a row without trying.

As for the low goal bots, I'd argue others, like 1011 and 25, will be selected as well. Both were excellent low goal bots. Some of the most dangerous alliances at IRI will probably be two really accurate high goal shooters with a low goal bot to drop off boulders in the courtyard for the two high goal shooters to pick up.

I'm not saying 1011 or 25 won't get picked, just that 3683 will be the last low goal robot eliminated from the event. But perhaps a low goal robot that is weaker than these three will get picked as the last backup and win it all. Who knows? Anything can happen at IRI.

[nbetik]

Originally Posted by Chris is me

The last low goal robot still playing in the eliminations will be 3683, who may be an alliance captain.

Perhaps the only alliance captain playing defense? We did that at worlds. Otherwise, I like the original predictions in this thread.

Defense is fun.

[evanperryg]

Originally Posted by Chris is me

The last low goal robot still playing in the eliminations will be 3683, who may be an alliance captain.

I'll second that. If they somehow fall back in the rankings, they'll be a power pick for some lower-seeded alliance to make an awesome upset.

On the topic of awesome IRI upsets

*cough*

[TheBoulderite]

Originally Posted by evanperryg

On the topic of awesome IRI upsets

*cough*

Yeah. Your alliance last year was kind of awesome.

[BrendanB]

195 is on fire this year. They've been to seven events in the official and offseason winning all of them while seeding #1 at five of them.

Cyberknights will be a strong captain or one of the first few picks.

[TheBoulderite]

Another prediction...

No alliance at IRI will score more than 300 points.

[BronzeStallion]

Originally Posted by TheBoulderite

No alliance at IRI will score more than 300 points.

Well...

30 - Auto Cross
40 - Auto Boulders (someone has a 2 ball)
35 - Tele Cross (all 5 defenses damaged)
45 - 3 Scales

=150 points (Not including teleop boulders or breach/capture)

In quals:
300-150 = 150
150/5 = 30
30 boulders in the high goal during teleop

In elims:
45 - Breach/Capture
300-195 = 105
105/5 = 21
In a near perfect match in elims, Only 21 boulder need to be scored in the high goal during teleop.
That's 7 boulders each robot. Very unlikely but definitely possible.

[Alex Cormier]

Einstein finals match 3, the winners put in 17 high goals. That's almost double of what we usually let through our defense. 21 is possible.

[Brian Maher]

Originally Posted by BronzeStallion

In a near perfect match in elims, Only 21 boulder need to be scored in the high goal during teleop.
That's 7 boulders each robot. Very unlikely but definitely possible.

It is certainly possible. 2791 and 195 made 19 high goals in teleop at Battlecry, scoring 250 points, with only two goal-scoring robots (though 501 was helpful in getting us the breach while we scored high). While there was the open sally port, us and 195 only used it a total of twice that match.

If our high goal auto had worked and 195 had scaled that match, it would have been 270. Again, this is with only two shooting robots. 300 is definitely possible at IRI.

[Chris is me]

Originally Posted by BMSOTM

It is certainly possible. 2791 and 195 made 19 high goals in teleop at Battlecry, scoring 250 points, with only two goal-scoring robots (though 501 was helpful in getting us the breach while we scored high). While there was the open sally port, us and 195 only used it a total of twice that match.

If our high goal auto had worked and 195 had scaled that match, it would have been 270. Again, this is with only two shooting robots. 300 is definitely possible at IRI.

Plus IRI will have the rules modifications allowing for easier two ball autons. That alliance only reached 250 points, but could have had three more auton balls for 280 points. Add another hanger and you're at 290. 300 seems possible at IRI in the perfect qual match.

Besides, only one of the robots on that alliance was good enough to get into IRI

[Karthik]

Originally Posted by Chris is me

Plus IRI will have the rules modifications allowing for easier two ball autons. That alliance only reached 250 points, but could have had three more auton balls for 280 points. Add another hanger and you're at 290. 300 seems possible at IRI in the perfect qual match.

Yup, and all these projections aren't including potential foul points added to the score. Not saying 300 points will happen, but I wouldn't be surprised if it did.

[TheBoulderite]

Originally Posted by Chris is me

I'm not saying 1011 or 25 won't get picked, just that 3683 will be the last low goal robot eliminated from the event. But perhaps a low goal robot that is weaker than these three will get picked as the last backup and win it all. Who knows? Anything can happen at IRI.

Ah, I see. I'm willing to believe that prediction. 3683 has a great bot this year.

[jtrv]

Originally Posted by Alex Cormier

Einstein finals match 3, the winners put in 17 high goals. That's almost double of what we usually let through our defense. 21 is possible.

Well, you averaged letting up 13.4 high goals per game at Einstein. 17 isn't really close to 27 in that perspective. You did have an incredible performance at Finger Lakes though, at an average of 2 teleop high goals during playoffs, admittedly against weaker teams than IRI caliber.