IRI 2016 Predictions

[Kevin Leonard]

I'll adjust these later. Or maybe make an entirely new set of predictions. I can't resist this stuff!

1241-2056-610-3683 W
225-5172-4587-2590 F
2771-2481-1024-1747
195-1114-133-1058
118-33-2451-624 SF
1023-67-2767-1718 SF
27-16-3620-1619
330-341-2502-1640

330 and 118 decline 225
195 declines 2771

[Whatever]

We get a palindrome alliance.

Some Possibilities:
27,1511,5172
2052,494,2502
2052,33,2502
2052,868,2502
610,3130,16
330,3130,33
610,330,16
45,25,5254
71,2767,217
33,1747,133
33,2767,233
1640,1310,461
1640,3130,461
330,1310,33

[Karthik]

Originally Posted by Whatever

We get a palindrome alliance.

Some Possibilities:
27,1511,5172
2052,494,2502
2052,33,2502
2052,868,2502
610,3130,16
330,3130,33
610,330,16
45,25,5254
71,2767,217
33,1747,133
33,2767,233
1640,1310,461
1640,3130,461
330,1310,33

This might be the best post in CD history.

[bkahl]

Originally Posted by Karthik

This might be the best post in CD history.

Someone just tapped into Karthik's inner math geekiness..

[thatprogrammer]

2056-195-33-20 SF
118-16-1806-3641 SF
3481-1114-1619-1310 W
1241-179-2771-4039 F
2451-2481-624-3824 QF
330-217-4587-2338 QF
67-1024-2013-2590 QF
133-225-2052-3683 QF

[414cnewq]

My predictions.
1. 1241-195-27-2052 W
2. 179-2056-5460-3683 F
3. 2590-133-1640-4587 QF
4. 234-3620-217-1114 SF
5. 67-503-1718-233 QF
6. 71-1024-225-3641 SF
7. 118-1806-2451-494 QF
8. 2481-330-16-1731 QF

[nikeairmancurry]

Originally Posted by 414cnewq

My predictions.
1. 1241-195-27-2052 W
2. 179-2056-5460-3683 F
3. 2590-133-1640-4587 QF
4. 234-3620-217-1114 SF
5. 67-503-1718-233 QF
6. 71-1024-225-3641 SF
7. 118-1806-2451-494 QF
8. 2481-330-16-1731 QF

1114 as a third round pick and no 33

[Chris is me]

Originally Posted by nikeairmancurry

1114 as a third round pick and no 33

There are so many good teams at IRI, there's no guarantee 1114 is a first round pick at this event. Among second round picks at IRI the last few years: 1625 in 2014, 3467 in 2013, 148 in 2012, 67 in 2011, 2056 in 2010... many many great teams fall quite far.

[jajabinx124]

My IRI Predictions:

1) 2056, 195, 225, 2013 W
2) 1241, 118, 179, 3824 F
3) 217, 2481, 4039, 2338 QF
4) 67, 330, 2590, 494 SF
5) 3130, 1114, 2052, 4587 QF
6) 2451, 1806, 1718, 1619 SF
7) 1024, 16, 2826, 503 QF
8) 2468, 33, 624, 1640 QF

[414cnewq]

Originally Posted by nikeairmancurry

1114 as a third round pick and no 33

I did some serious number crunching, taking the stats from 2016 Championship for each team (or the final regional/DCMP stats for teams who didn't attend champs). I then took avg goal score, avg auto score, etc... (the stats from rankings on the blue alliance), and I changed all of those stats so that the highest value available (for instance, 1241's goal score of 657, highest at champs) would equal 1000. Then I took the data and got percentage values as to a "perfect" match (i.e., 30 pt auto, 12 high goals, scale... by a single team). I used that data to create a rank score, when I then took the top 8 teams and did alliance selections based on goal score (3 exceptions, I had 2481 choose 330 and added in 233 and 3683 as defensive selections).

tl;dr. I did some fancy number crunching (shown here) and then took teams based on goal score in a mock draft.

[Lidor51]

1. 195, 1241, 624, 3620 W
2. 2056, 5172, 3824, 5460 SF
3. 330, 2481, 2771, 2468 F
4. 133, 118, 3683, 1619 QF
5. 217, 67, 33, 1640 SF
6. 1024, 1114, 4039, 1718 QF
7. 16, 2052, 4587, 233 QF
8. 225, 179, 27, 20 QF

[Kevin Leonard]

Originally Posted by Lidor51

1. 195, 1241, 624, 3620 W
2. 2056, 5254, 3824, 5460 SF
3. 330, 2481, 2771, 2468 F
4. 133, 118, 3683, 1619 QF
5. 217, 67, 33, 1640 SF
6. 1024, 1114, 4039, 1718 QF
7. 16, 2052, 4587, 233 QF
8. 225, 179, 27, 20 QF

What
If we're the second overall pick at IRI, something went very, very wrong for at least half the robots at the event.

New predictions with the updated team list:

195-2056-133-1058
1114-67-1718-4039 SF
118-330-4587-624 W
1241-33-179-3683 F
4967-27-3641-20
225-2481-2502-5254
1024-217-1747-1619
1806-16-1023-2451 SF

EDITED with the revelation that 341 isn't going

[jajabinx124]

Originally Posted by Kevin Leonard

What
If we're the second overall pick at IRI, something went very, very wrong for at least half the robots at the event.

New predictions with the updated team list:

195-2056-133-1058
1114-67-1718-4039 SF
118-330-4587-624 W
1241-33-179-3683 F
4967-27-217-20
225-341-2502-5254
1024-2481-1747-1619
1806-16-1023-2451 SF

341 is not on the final team list.

[hutchMN]

Originally Posted by Kevin Leonard

What
If we're the second overall pick at IRI, something went very, very wrong for at least half the robots at the event.

New predictions with the updated team list:

195-2056-133-1058
1114-67-1718-4039 SF
118-330-4587-624 W
1241-33-179-3683 F
4967-27-217-20
225-341-2502-5254
1024-2481-1747-1619
1806-16-1023-2451 SF

I think you switched 2502 and 2052. 2052 is the much better team this year.

[jtrv]

W. 2481, 67, 2468, 3620
F. 195, 133, 494, 5254
SF. 330, 118, 27, 1619
SF. 2056, 1241, 1023, 217
QF. 225, 1806, 1746, 2590
QF. 2451, 16, 4587, 20
QF. 3683, 179, 2052, 1718
QF. 3130, 33, 1024, 2338

I'm a big fan of 1114, but 2016 just isn't their year.