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Re: Chezy Champs 2016
For anyone interested in some last minute predictions/stats:
Using the preliminary match schedule and some component OPR / averages calculations, I ran some match predictions, which I used to predict overall rankings. The ranking predictions, match predictions, and data used are here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...#gid=176192934 It should allow you to manually change match results to update the rankings automatically, but I haven't fully tested it out. Here's a visual representation of the effect the match schedule has on teams (green = predicted rank is higher than opr rank, red = opposite): ![]() More details on my formulas: - Winning alliances are predicted on the alliances' total OPR - Auto points are predicted on the alliances' total auto OPR - Capturing is predicted on the alliances' total boulder OPRs (auto low, auto high, teleop low, teleop high), with 10 as the cutoff. Challenging/scaling wasn't taken into account . - Breaching is kind of messy and I think I messed up the calculations somewhere (but every alliance is predicted to breach anyway so it doesn't really matter), but I used 4 as the cutoff for breaching a defense, with an alliance needing 5 to guarantee a breach (since defenses are randomized) - Teams are ranked with RPs as the 1st order sort and auto points as the 2nd Good luck to everyone! |
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