Biggest upsets of 2016

[rhinobot]

Is no one going to mention Einstein Finals 3? 120-2481-330 vs. 1690-2056-1405, finals match 3 score was 225-225 and the champion title was awarded to teams 120-2481-330 for playing the cleaner match. (Both amazing alliances, by the way, but the crowd was in an uproar!)

[Chris is me]

Originally Posted by rhinobot

Is no one going to mention Einstein Finals 3? 120-2481-330 vs. 1690-2056-1405, finals match 3 score was 225-225 and the champion title was awarded to teams 120-2481-330 for playing the cleaner match. (Both amazing alliances, by the way, but the crowd was in an uproar!)

"Upset" generally implies the underrated alliance won. Both alliances here were excellent, and it's hard to say one was heavily favored over the other to win the series.

[Caleb Sykes]

Here are the biggest playoff upsets for individual matches using my Elo model.

[rhinobot]

Originally Posted by Chris is me

"Upset" generally implies the underrated alliance won. Both alliances here were excellent, and it's hard to say one was heavily favored over the other to win the series.

Ah well then I agree 100% with Curie playoffs

I was interpreting the term upset as "people were upset about it", carry on

[Caleb Sykes]

Originally Posted by rhinobot

Ah well then I agree 100% with Curie playoffs

I was interpreting the term upset as "people were upset about it", carry on

Hahahaha
I wouldn't dare to open that can of worms.

[jajabinx124]

Originally Posted by Caleb Sykes

Here are the biggest playoff upsets for individual matches using my Elo model.

Wow, I didn't expect that semi-final match from the 2016 10,000 lakes regional to be on there. I'm surprised the win likelihood was only 2.6% for blue alliance.

[Torvando]

Originally Posted by jajabinx124

Wow, I didn't expect that semi-final match from the 2016 10,000 lakes regional to be on there. I'm surprised the win likelihood was only 2.6% for blue alliance.

That is surprising to me as well. I thought our alliances were quite even with your alliance having a slight advantage. It would have been fun to see if we could have won if we didn't have technical problems.

[Caleb Sykes]

Originally Posted by jajabinx124

Wow, I didn't expect that semi-final match from the 2016 10,000 lakes regional to be on there. I'm surprised the win likelihood was only 2.6% for blue alliance.

SF 1-1 had the blue alliance with a 11.3% chance to win, but replacing 2502 with 2470 dropped the chances quite a bit for SF 1-2.

[blueyoshi256]

I'm actually not that surprised by the 10,000 lakes match.
I mean, on the red alliance, you had 2052 and 525, with a combined total of 1 loss (by 525 to 2052). Each of them was scoring like 5+ high goals average.
And on the blue side...
2502, who were capable of scoring 5+ high goals easy, but were broken
2823, who could score 5 high goals, but only if we were really lucky. A good match would be like 2, and 0 was pretty common at 10k
3038, who were an awesome breacher and 3rd bot, (with no high goal scoring)
and 2470, who also couldn't score a high goal (but turns out that they were great at defense!)

So, I'd estimate a 10 high goal difference on average between the alliances going into the match. That's an insane deficit.

[Whatever]

I think the other odd thing to note about that match was 2470 went into the elimination rounds as the 4th replacement available. The reason they were out there was because there had already been two robots swapped in. I haven't actually heard what happened to the 3rd team. I thought it really spoke highly of 2470 that they were ready for the match.

[jayred1127]

The upset on Newton this year. That was cool to watch and unexpected.

[Harrison.Smith]

Going with the majority here.. although I'd say just all of Newton elims. That 7th seed was fun to watch!

[percyjackson]

Not really a match but 4130 was upsetting not bevahse of there team but how it played out. I was at Kettering #2 and they were just killing those defenses. It's a shame that they didn't make it to states and even worlds. They really had a solid defense destroyer robot.

[Brian Maher]

Originally Posted by percyjackson

Not really a match but 4130 was upsetting not bevahse of there team but how it played out. I was at Kettering #2 and they were just killing those defenses. It's a shame that they didn't make it to states and even worlds. They really had a solid defense destroyer robot.

This thread is dedicated to the notion of an upset as an unexpected win in a game/sport. While there could be a conversation on losses we're all disappointed about this season, this is meant to be a discussion of against-the-odds victories.

[Connor McBride]

Originally Posted by BaileyJoseph166

Not sure I wanted to be reminded of Curie division eliminations from this year...

I second this