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Unread 14-12-2016, 13:00
Caleb Sykes's Avatar
Caleb Sykes Caleb Sykes is offline
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Re: Biggest upsets of 2016

Quote:
Originally Posted by weaversam8 View Post
Hey Caleb!

If you're working with prediction models for FRC, I'd suggest you checkout what my team, The Wired Wizards, did with ORB.

The link to the forum post is here: https://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/s...d.php?t=147817

We worked with match prediction specific to Stronghold, doing analysis based on teams affinity with different defenses... there's more information in the post...

Good luck!
Did you ever see how accurate your predictions were? After training with data from 2011-2014, my current Elo model gets a Brier score of 0.1792 for predicting the winners of the 2016 Championship qual and playoff matches. I'm planning to try to predict matches with OPR, CCWM, and win contribution in the future and compare results.
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