IRI popularity index

[Joe Ross]

Kind of like what I did with BtB, I made a list of the teams and their draft order in each of the FF divisions. The idea is that the better teams will go higher in the drafts, overall, but occasionally, a division will overlook a team, and somebody will get a steal, by drafting a good team quite a bit later then everyone else, or make a bad pick, by overlooking several good teams to draft one lower on the list.

Now, someone might say that if they know a team will do very well, it makes sense to draft it early (a bad pick, as classified above). However, in that case, you should have traded down and gotten a better pick elsewhere, knowing that team would be availible later, so it's still a "bad" pick.

Anyway, the best teams, based on average draft positions are

71
469
45
571
33
494
980
27
47
222

The full list is in the team popularity tab of the spreadsheet. Personally, those would be my top 10 teams, also, not exactly in that order, but close.

The people who made the best single picks (by drafting a team later then they should have gone:

The difference shows how many spots later the person got the team then average.

Best Picks	Team	Difference	Division
Andy Baker	234	13	Division 3
David Hoff	461	11	Division 2
David Hoff	65	10	Division 2
boodah	        1272	10	Division 1
Pitt Bull 1126	447	8	Division 2
Joel J.	        292	8	Division 3
Ryan Dognaux	47	7	Division 1
Joe Ross	107	7	Division 3
Amanda Morrison	868	6	Division 1
Jessica Boucher	240	6	Division 1
jgannon	        808	6	Division 1
Matt Shea	378	6	Division 2
Joel J.	        93	6	Division 3
JVN	217	6	Division 3

And the people who made the worst single team picks

Worst Picks			
Andy Grady	65	-11	Division 3
Chris	        447	-10	Division 3
Steve Horn	47	-8	Division 2
diobsidian	240	-8	Division 2
JVN	48	-8	Division 3
jgannon	        1038	-7	Division 1
crazykid234	234	-7	Division 2
MATT_kaplan108	1083	-7	Division 2
811SmallFry	716	-6	Division 1
811SmallFry	1243	-6	Division 1
HHSJosh	        1272	-6	Division 3

And the people who made the best and worst picks for all three teams:

Best Picker	Difference	Division
David Hoff	23	Division 2
Pitt Bull 1126	14	Division 2
Ryan Dognaux	14	Division 1
Joel J.	        13	Division 3
Andy Baker	10	Division 3
		
Worst Picker		
Andy Grady	-19	Division 3
crazykid245	-16	Division 2
811SmallFry	-13	Division 1
Chris	        -12	Division 3
diobsidian	-11	Division 2

Finally, I used the sum of all three picks to figure out who is most likely to win each division. The person who made the best picks in a division but with poor draft position may still get beaten by somebody with slightly worse picks, but better draft position.

Most Likely to win Division 1	
punkrawker303	64
Ryan Dognaux	64
boodah	        65
HHSJosh	        66
	
Most Likely to win Division 2	
David Hoff	44
	
Most Likely to win Division 3	
Joel J.	        29

All of that information is contained for everyone on the person tab of the attached spreadsheet.

Anyway, I had fun making that up, I hope somebody else has fun looking at it. We'll see how it all plays out at IRI.