2006 Official Game Hint Discussion

[Katy]

Originally Posted by Bill Moore
So, you're saying the closer someone gets to figuring the game out this year, the more red herrings Dave is going to loose upon us? That would indicate that the answer is already posted. Has anyone been following the timeline of posts vs. Dave's extraneous clues?

I'm going to put the whole "we don't know that Dave is doing that" idea aside and just look at the problems with collecting meaningful data on the trend.

I think we have to take into account that Dave (as far as I know) is not a program which downloads all entries to chiefdelphi and responds within a few seconds. If he logs in and out then time becomes divided up into a series of discreet blocks between logins. The pictures are also probably not made instantaneously and it is fairly likely he could put an idea aside and come back to it later (even making other posts in the meanwhile). Now consider that this entire thread is roughly five days old. The only way we could have enough points of reference would be if he was logged in/was posting very frequently. If he posts too frequently then he (presumably being human) begins multi-tasking and this wrecks the idea of a simple direct correlation because when you multi-task you are doing several things at once but at the same time prioritizing the amounts of effort you put into each. This reorders the tasks from their natural chronological order. If Dave has any sort of holiday celebrations this would put more constraints on his time and encourage more multi-tasking. I think if we were tracking this over a period of weeks or months we might be able to collect valid data but I don't think we can do it on such a short time span.