Autonomous scoring - How many?

[Joel J]

2. I don't know if it will be worse than last year.. I'm expecting it to be about the same (you know, not that many teams could score through the 3pt goal in autonomous last year...)

You guys are spending a lot of time figuring out how to do it. I wish you'd spend about 1/10 of the time figuring out if you should do it. What's the maximum payoff? So you have an alliance of three robots that each can score a complete row of three in Autonomous, but have sacrificed other capabilities to do so. Say they are up against an alliance of three robots that can't score a single autonomous goal, and is really good at defense. They inhibit scoring so the margin on the rack is less then 30 points. Then they return to home zone and get one robot up for 30. Who is going to end up winning more frequently?

While be able to score in autonomous is cool, I just don't see it being the key to victory even if you are 100% effective at it.

My Predictions:

A single scored keeper <10% (at Nationals)
Both Alliances scoring single keeper each <5%
Any Alliance scoring 2 keepers <1%
3 keepers any combination <0.5%
4 Keepers <.1
5 keepers about the same as the California lottery <.0000001
6 keepers about the same odds as all the atoms of air in the room suddenly being sucked out of the room and you suffocating, while a massive earthquake strikes you as the solar system is destroyed by a giant black hole.

[Guy Davidson]

I'm pretty sure every match will feature at least 1-2 teams scoring. As one of the programmers for our team, I'd be really surprised (and disappointed) if we don't end up being able to score in autonomous.