Offensive Power Rankings for 2008

[IndySam]

Originally Posted by Karthik

I don't think you're following what Bongle and others are doing. They're not calculating simple averages. They're using basic linear algebra to calculate the average expected value of pure points contributed to the alliance by a single team. This is used by setting up a system of equations which sum to the amount points scored at the regional. Since penalties are already removed from the final scores of all matches, this method takes them into account. The penalties are already "added in". This method is a far more accurate predictor of a team's contribution then just looking at a simple mean. Naturally you team's result is going to be lower than your average score, because this statistic is just looking at your team's contribution.

I understand that, what I am saying is that their calculation of my teams expected contribution is no where near my teams actual contribution including subtracting the penalties.

Also I see several teams who's expected contribution is way to high from my experience of their performance this year.

If you guys want this tool to be useful you need to figure out why.

It's just my theory that it can't property calculate the impact of penalties, if you think this theory is wrong then you need to figure out what is causing the figure to be so different than the actual results.