A statistical look at G14

[Bongle]

Originally Posted by Laaba 80

Did you do this calculations based on scores before or after penaltys? If it is after, your calculation will be completely off.

Joey

I can't get un-penalized scores, so it's after. However, its usefulness as an upper-bound is not hurt by that:
-The losing team probably would amass more penalties than the winning team, though the distribution of penalties would probably be close to 50/50 or 60/40 for the winners/losers.
-Therefore, this will say that more cells would be missing than would really be the case, and is therefore still useful as telling us what the worst-case number of cells missing would be.

There aren't many games like this one. 2006 would be ok, but since autonomous granted a HUGE bonus both points-wise and gameplay-wise, the winning team would probably be 2x or 3x the losing team much more often than will happen in lunacy.