Top Seed Regional Success Rate Poll

[The Lucas]

Judging by the Week 1 results I (and most of poll participants) have quite a wide margin to makeup. In Week 1, 75% (6/8) of the Regionals (including Traverse City MI District Event) were won by the #1 alliance.

Additionally, I expected very few teams to go undefeated but instead there are 2 teams that went 13-0 over the weekend. Interestingly enough, these teams are an original team, 45 and a rookie, 2753.

Despite the overall results, thus weekend wasn't without it share of upsets. Most notable of which it the pairing of 2 of the most dominant teams ever, 71 & 1114, seeding 1 & 2, forming a dream alliance, and then being upset in the QF of the Midwest Regional. Last week if you told anyone that would happen, they would assume you were joking, but anything can happen in this game.

The other upset was the #4 (I think that is what they were after the redraft) alliance of 121 175 & 2621 beating #1 in the semis and winning at BAE. Since both of these regionals are very competitive, it sets a precedence that the more competitive regionals will be more likely for upset. This is not entirely surprising, but I expected the less competitive regionals that rely more on payload specialist scoring to be more ripe for upset.

I attended the DC regional so it is the only one I watched. When 2377 lost the last match of the day and their shot at #1 seed it was clear that the alliance of 45 and 234 would form. Although it was a competitive regional, no other alliance was poised to give them much of a challenge. In fact the #2 - #4 alliances all were upset in the QF.

It is only Week 1, and the results can all change as teams figure out how to play the game. Last year the #1 seed won 80% (4/5) of Week 1 regionals and the final number was 54%. This year it is 75% in Week 1 and could very well drop below 40% when all is said and done. Everyone still has till Friday morning to vote in this poll.