Top Seed Regional Success Rate Poll

[Alex Cormier]

Originally Posted by The Lucas

Regionals are over so here are the results:

		#1 Alliance Won	
All Events	50.00%				
FiM		75.00%
Not FiM		45.00%
>50 teams	40.91%
<=50		57.69%

So looks like I was wrong . All those people who picked 50% - 60% win. I guess those people with 40%- 50% could make a case that they have 50% as well. They also could say district events aren't regionals and thus 45% is correct. I'm only correct (<40%) if you look at >50 team regionals not MSC: 38.09%.

So since I'm already wrong I'm going double or nothing with another prediction:
Only a single #1 alliance will advance to Einstein. It's Lunacy!
(2 #1s advanced last year)

Spreadsheet is attached with more analysis. Tell me if I have any errors. I collected seed data by looking at the alliance brackets on TBA.

I'd like to think we will see a middle alliance on the big stage and a 8th seed on there also.