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#106
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Re: [FF]: 2010 IRI
Well there's a team the folks who ditched the draft can pick up if they want.
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#107
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Re: [FF]: 2010 IRI
Disclaimer: This is only for fun
I thought it might be fun to compare how I would have drafted in each one of the positions versus the actual draft. OK, here is a comparison according to my pick list: Draw Theo * IER * Ratio Vikesrock.............1114.........71.........234 168 * 193 * 1.15 Basel A.................67..........573..........1501 .. 167 * 194 * 1.16 Chris is me............33........1714..........51 .. 166 * 195 * 1.17 Alex Cormier..........469..........1538..........118 165 * 176 * 1.07 Akash Rastogi........294..........1519..........1058 .. 164 * 205 * 1.25 Koko Ed................1718.........2949..........980 163 * 131 * 0.80 bobwrit.................217..........399.........1 71 162 * 117 * 0.72 rtfgnow.................2056..........343......... .868 . 161 * 173 * 1.07 JackN....................1625..........330........ ..70 160 * 191 * 1.19 jblay....................107.........135.........2 92 .. 159 * 82 * 0.52 Jamie Kalb.............910..........2337..........2771 . 158 * 179 * 1.13 hill........................359.........3138...... ....1730 157 * 142 * 0.90 James1902................48..........68..........8 29 156 * 54 * 0.35 TheNotoriousLB........832..........888.........141 .. 155 * 78 * 0.50 dodar.....................1592..........1732...... ...2775 154 * 107 * 0.69 Is 2775 going? sgreco....................1086..........233....... ..830 153 * 185 * 1.21 EricH......................2481..........148...... ...1902 .. 152 * 158 * 1.04 IKE........................16..........111........ .2062 151 * 201 * 1.33 ericgehrken..............116..........45.......... 93 .. 150 * 73 * 0.49 XaulZan11...............494..........1018........5 37 .. 69 * 93 * 1.35 So, here is how my comparison worked. I took the picking order and assigned a theoretical scoring. #1 pick worth 81, #2 worth 80......down the line. Adding those up is the theoretical scoring each drafter could get (theo). I then assigned my picklist to be "the key" as I had ranked teams 1-81. I gave my #1 81 points, and so on and so forth. I then summed the scores relative to the order I would have picked things. Naturally since I am grading against my own curve, I should have a score of 1.0 or higher (assuming somone chooses off picks earlier in the draft). Please take this little comparison with a giant grain of salt. So by the looks of it, Akash has the best picks of all getting what I felt were first round picks for all three of his. I have a really good feeling about my picks. Biggest bargains I felt were 330 and 1058. Note: If 2775 is going, then Dodar should have about an extra 60 or so points, but I thought they had dropped from the IRI roster. Note2: My picks were largely (though not exclusively) based off of OPR. Many teams recieved what I felt was a proper boost due to unusual playing styles (2337 was one of them). I have a feeling bots like 2337 will fair very well at an event with the depth like the IRI. That being said, it is an off-season, so relying heavily on "in-season" data is not always a strong bet. |
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#108
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Re: [FF]: 2010 IRI
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PS. 2775 isn't attending. |
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#109
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Re: [FF]: 2010 IRI
Since 2775 isnt going =[ i guess i'll take 1038
So IKE, do you think you could do that list over again with my change with 2775 and 1038 Last edited by dodar : 11-07-2010 at 15:29. |
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#110
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Re: [FF]: 2010 IRI
Quote:
dodar.....................1592..........1732...... ...1038… 154 * 145 * 0.94 I would welcome others to do similar analysis. Its fun to see how your picks would have stacked up. I will looking into old FF threads to see who were the solid predicters. Last edited by IKE : 11-07-2010 at 16:24. Reason: removal of repeat data. |
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#111
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Re: [FF]: 2010 IRI
]Vikesrock.............1114.........71.........234
Basel A.................67..........573..........1501 Chris is me............33........1714..........51 Alex Cormier..........469..........1538..........118 Akash Rastogi........294..........1519..........1058 Koko Ed................1718.........2949..........980 bobwrit.................217..........399.........1 71 rtfgnow.................2056..........343......... .868 JackN....................1625..........330........ ..70 jblay....................107.........135.........2 92 Jamie Kalb.............910..........2337..........2771 hill........................359.........3138...... ....1730 James1902................48..........68..........8 29 TheNotoriousLB........832..........888.........141 dodar.....................1592..........1732...... ..1038 sgreco....................1086..........233....... ..830 EricH......................2481..........148...... ...1902 IKE........................16..........111........ .2062 ericgehrken..............116..........45.......... 93 XaulZan11...............494..........1018........5 37 TEAMS: 393 461 503 1024 1094 1108 1327 1477 1529 1640 1646 1675 1720 1741 1747 2081 2171 2194 2826 3176[ |
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#112
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Re: [FF]: 2010 IRI
Quote:
Same thing based on my list (pre Dewalt sub): Code:
Vikesrock 168 180 1.071428571 Basel A 167 182 1.089820359 Chris is me 166 207 1.246987952 Alex Corimer 165 191 1.157575758 Akash Rastogi 164 214 1.304878049 Koko Ed 163 124 0.760736196 bobwrit 162 109 0.672839506 rtfgnow 161 171 1.062111801 JackN 160 199 1.24375 jblay 159 87 0.547169811 Jamie Kalb 158 167 1.056962025 hill 157 159 1.012738854 James1902 156 53 0.33974359 TheNotoriousLB 155 82 0.529032258 dodar 154 159 1.032467532 sgreco 153 191 1.248366013 EricH 152 149 0.980263158 IKE 151 184 1.218543046 ericgehrken 150 68 0.453333333 XaulZan11 69 90 1.304347826 Last edited by Chris is me : 11-07-2010 at 17:41. |
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#113
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Re: [FF]: 2010 IRI
I used a somewhat different approach. I assigned the number system, but backwards, giving #1 pick 1 point. Each person wanted to accumulate the least # of points. Their theoretical yield was divided by their actual yield. That means the higher the ratio, the better.
Here's the ratios: Vikesrock: 1.56 Basel A: 2.08 Chrisisme: 1.21 Alex Cormier: 1.27 Akash Rastogi: 1.21 Koko Ed: 0.70 bobwrit: 0.88 rtfgnow: .87 JackN: 2.26 jblay: 0.51 Jamie Kalb: 1.51 hill: 0.92 James1902: 0.60 TheNotoriousLB: .57 dodar: 0.98 sgreco: 1.52 EricH: 1.07 IKE: 1.67 ericgehrken: 0.74 XaulZan11: 1.09 JackN actually scored better than I did with the steal of the night, 330. In many cases people had third picks that I didn't agree with, which bombed some scores. By-and-large this system has larger margins of difference between similar people than the other system. |
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#114
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Re: [FF]: 2010 IRI
Ranking based on average regular-season FF scores (Note that this does include awards, which are not given out nearly as much at IRI):
Player.................Picks...................... ...........Sum of averages......Outcome Vikesrock.............1114.........71.........234. ........230.5................1 Basel A.................67..........573..........1501... ....189.5...............8 Chris is me............33........1714..........51.......... .207................4 Alex Cormier..........469..........1538..........118... ....221.4............3 Akash Rastogi........294..........1519..........1058.... .192..............7 Koko Ed................1718.........2949..........980.. ......147.8..........14 bobwrit.................217..........399.........1 71.........156.7............12 rtfgnow.................2056..........343......... .868.......203.............6 JackN....................1625..........330........ ..70........188.1............9 jblay....................107.........135.........2 92..........65.2...............19 Jamie Kalb.............910..........2337..........2771.. ...124.5..........15 hill........................359.........3138...... ....1730.......205.8..........5 James1902................48..........68..........8 29......53.4..............20 TheNotoriousLB........832..........888.........141 ......92.5............16 dodar.....................1592..........1732...... ..1038....165.8..........10 sgreco....................1086..........233....... ..830......158.4..........11 EricH......................2481..........148...... ...1902.....223..............2 IKE........................16..........111........ .2062......153.7..............13 ericgehrken..............116..........45.......... 93......77.7................18 XaulZan11...............494..........1018........5 37.....90.0..............17 Yes, this is based on actual numbers from the 2010 regular season, including the Championship. As noted, the average scores do include awards; rankings are based on the sum of the average scores. Last edited by EricH : 11-07-2010 at 19:03. |
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#115
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Re: [FF]: 2010 IRI
What I did was take each team and added their wins and total matches and then calculated their winning percentages
Vikesrock.............1114.........71.........234 = 73% Basel A.................67..........573..........1501 = 77% Chris is me............33........1714..........51 = 65% Alex Cormier..........469..........1538..........118 = 67% Akash Rastogi........294..........1519..........1058 = 70% Koko Ed................1718.........2949..........980 = 63% bobwrit.................217..........399.........1 71 = 67% rtfgnow.................2056..........343......... .868 = 73% JackN....................1625..........330........ ..70 = 71% jblay....................107.........135.........2 92 = 48% Jamie Kalb.............910..........2337..........2771 = 56% hill........................359.........3138...... ....1730 = 68% James1902................48..........68..........8 29 = 42% TheNotoriousLB........832..........888.........141 = 40% dodar.....................1592..........1732...... ..1038 = 68% sgreco....................1086..........233....... ..830 = 67% EricH......................2481..........148...... ...1902 = 73% IKE........................16..........111........ .2062 = 67% ericgehrken..............116..........45.......... 93 = 49% XaulZan11...............494..........1018........5 37 = 47% |
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#116
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Re: [FF]: 2010 IRI
Funny story about my alliance. I knew I was going to be gone last night during picking and I didn't really want to actually go through the process of making a list. So I told my mom and dad to come up with a list of teams and that they could make my picks for me. They came up with a list and I give minimal input on it (we disagreed a little between picks 30-40 on the list). My mom was informing me of her alliance and I thought she was joking. So I can't take any credit on stealing 330, since I didn't actually make my picks.
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#117
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Re: [FF]: 2010 IRI
hahaha Picone! nice pickss
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#118
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Re: [FF]: 2010 IRI
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#119
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Re: [FF]: 2010 IRI
]Vikesrock.............1114.........71.........234
Basel A.................67..........573..........1501 Chris is me............33........1714..........51 Alex Cormier..........469..........1538..........118 Akash Rastogi........294..........1519..........1058 Koko Ed................1718.........2949..........980 bobwrit.................217..........399.........1 71 rtfgnow.................2056..........343......... .868 JackN's MOM..........1625..........330........ ..70 jblay....................107.........135.........2 92 Jamie Kalb.............910..........2337..........2771 hill........................359.........3138...... ....1730 James1902................48..........68..........8 29 TheNotoriousLB........832..........888.........141 dodar.....................1592..........1732...... ..1038 sgreco....................1086..........233....... ..830 EricH......................2481..........148...... ...1902 IKE........................16..........111........ .2062 ericgehrken..............116..........45.......... 93 XaulZan11...............494..........1018........5 37 TEAMS: 393 461 503 1024 1094 1108 1327 1477 1529 1640 1646 1675 1720 1741 1747 2081 2171 2194 2826 3176[ There I fixed it! ![]() |
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#120
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Re: [FF]: 2010 IRI
Quote:
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