OCCRA
Go to Post There's more to the game then winning. - Gabriel [more]
Home
Go Back   Chief Delphi > Competition > District Events
CD-Media   CD-Spy  
portal register members calendar search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read FAQ rules

 
Reply
Thread Tools Rate Thread Display Modes
  #1   Spotlight this post!  
Unread 03-25-2018, 08:19 PM
SoftwareBug2.0's Avatar
SoftwareBug2.0 SoftwareBug2.0 is offline
Registered User
AKA: Eric
FRC #1425 (Error Code Xero)
Team Role: Mentor
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Rookie Year: 2004
Location: Tigard, Oregon
Posts: 550
SoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond repute
New England District Championship Projections 2018

I was asked for a point cutoff prediction for the New England district. Specifically, "amieagasino" asked me here: https://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/s...70&postcount=5

It's the same amount of work for me to predict the point cutoff or try to project who's in or out for the whole district, so I decided to do the whole district. I'm following the same methodology as in the other thread. Note that although the prediction is a cutoff of 59, this methodology tends to put cutoffs a little bit low.

So without further ado, here are my predictions:

Key:
Code:
in=will have enough points to make it in
out=won't make it
~in=probably going to have enough points
~out=probably won't have enough points
bubble=could easily go either way
Code:
Best-case points to make it to district cmp: 48
Worst-case points to make it to district cmp: 100
Best estimate: 59
{'bubble': 80, 'out': 40, '~in': 34, '~out': 42, 'in': 13}
0	in	133 - B.E.R.T. 
1	in	5687 - The Outliers 
2	in	88 - TJ(Squared) 
3	in	230 - Gaelhawks 
4	in	238 - Crusaders 
5	in	2168 - Aluminum Falcons 
6	in	4564 - Orange Chaos 
7	in	78 - AIR STRIKE 
8	in	125 - NUTRONs 
9	in	6328 - Mechanical Advantage 
10	in	95 - Grasshoppers 
11	in	1058 - PVC Pirates 
12	in	6329 - The Bucks' Wrath 
13	~in	58 - The Riot Crew 
14	~in	3461 - Operation PEACCE Robotics 
15	~in	3236 - TRIFORCE 
16	~in	4557 - FullMetal Falcons 
17	~in	3623 - Terror Bots 
18	~in	1100 - The T-Hawks 
19	~in	4905 - Andromeda One 
20	~in	663 - Robonauts 
21	~in	2067 - Apple Pi 
22	~in	811 - Cardinals 
23	~in	1729 - Team Inconceivable! 
24	~in	4041 - Iron Tigers 
25	~in	237 - Black Magic Robotics 
26	~in	319 - Big Bad Bob 
27	~in	6933 - Archytas, sponsored by NASA 
28	~in	2370 - IBOTS 
29	~in	195 - CyberKnights 
30	~in	5856 - Bullbots 
31	~in	176 - Aces High 
32	~in	6224 - The Saint Dominators 
33	~in	1768 - RoboChiefs 
34	~in	61 - The Intimidators 
35	~in	121 - Rhode Warriors 
36	~in	5846 - Southcoast Corsairs 
37	~in	1289 - Gearheadz 
38	~in	5735 - Control Freaks 
39	~in	7153 - Aetos Dios 
40	~in	1519 - Mechanical Mayhem 
41	~in	3555 - Aluminati 
42	~in	5000 - Hammerheads 
43	~in	1153 - The Walpole Revolution 
44	~in	467 - The Colonials 
45	~in	178 - The 2nd Law Enforcers 
46	bubble	4176 - Iron Tigers 
47	~in	177 - Bobcat Robotics 
48	bubble	23 - PNTA Pilgrim Nuclear Technolog... 
49	~out	2876 - Devilbotz 
50	~out	228 - GUS Robotics 
51	~out	4906 - The Collective 
52	~out	348 - Norwell Robotics 
53	~out	155 - The Technonuts 
54	~out	5112 - The Gongoliers 
55	~out	1517 - The Lumberjacks 
56	~out	3719 - STEM Whalers 
57	bubble	7127 - LongMetal Robotics 
58	~out	4908 - Duxbury Dragons 
59	~out	3930 - SMART Spruce Mountain Area Ro... 
60	~out	2648 - Infinite Loop 
61	~out	3958 - Schrodinger's Cat 
62	out	6335 - Terminal Velocity 
63	bubble	5813 - Morpheus 
64	~out	157 - AZTECHS 
65	out	6731 - Record Robotics 
66	bubble	558 - Elm City Robo Squad 
67	bubble	6763 - FUSION 
68	out	1099 - DiscoTechs 
69	out	3466 - VIKINGS ROBOTICS 
70	out	716 - Who'sCTEKS 
71	out	126 - Gael Force 
72	out	6172 - The Mad Dogs 
73	out	6153 - Blue Crew 
74	out	6324 - The Blue Devils 
75	out	6620 - The Northmengineers 
76	out	172 - Northern Force 
77	out	5122 - robOTies 
78	bubble	131 - C.H.A.O.S. 
79	bubble	236 - Techno-Ticks 
80	bubble	2836 - Team Beta 
81	bubble	138 - Entropy 
82	out	4169 - Warrior Robotics 
83	bubble	2342 - Team Phoenix 
84	out	4761 - The Robockets 
85	out	4055 - NRG 
86	out	5265 - Radical Impact 
87	out	2079 - 4H ALARM Robotics 
88	bubble	3467 - Windham Windup 
89	bubble	5129 - Digital Devils 
90	bubble	6691 - Torque 
91	out	4048 - Redshift 
92	bubble	5142 - Robo Dominators 
93	out	3205 - Patriots 
94	bubble	4909 - Bionics 
95	out	4473 - Delta Prime 
96	out	7164 - RHODE HAZARD 
97	out	4097 - Devilbots 
98	out	5556 - Carriagetown Robotics 
99	bubble	1073 - The Force Team 
100	bubble	2877 - LigerBots 
101	out	4572 - BArlow RobAutics 
102	out	1474 - Tewksbury Titans 
103	bubble	181 - Birds Of Prey 
104	bubble	5746 - Human Error 
105	bubble	1699 - Robocats 
106	bubble	571 - Team Paragon 
107	out	4151 - SCRAP 4151 
108	bubble	175 - Buzz Robotics 
109	out	3525 - The Nuts & Bolts of Fury 
110	out	6337 - Terror Bytes 
111	bubble	246 - Overclocked 
112	bubble	6367 - The ElectroLights 
113	bubble	2170 - Titanium Tomahawks 
114	bubble	7240 - Nitro Knights 
115	bubble	213 - The Dirty Birds 
116	bubble	509 - Red Storm 
117	bubble	7266 - NBHS Steampunks 
118	bubble	2084 - Robots by the C 
119	bubble	2064 - The Panther Project 
120	bubble	885 - THE GREEN TEAM 
121	bubble	6201 - The Highlanders 
122	bubble	5563 - Phalanx 
123	bubble	839 - Rosie Robotics 
124	out	2262 - Robo-Panthers 
125	bubble	7259 - Mechanical Mustangs 
126	bubble	3654 - TechTigers 
127	out	4796 - Cyber Dragons 
128	out	5459 - Ipswich TIGERS 
129	out	6723 - Team redbot 
130	out	3566 - Gone Fishin' 
131	out	5471 - W.Hi.R.R. 
132	bubble	5422 - Stormgears FRC 
133	bubble	7133 - STEAM Makers 
134	bubble	190 - Gompei and the H.E.R.D. 
135	out	1831 - Screaming Eagles 
136	bubble	6811 - Gunnery Gears 
137	bubble	999 - MechaRAMS 
138	bubble	3146 - GRANBY GRUNTS 
139	out	4042 - Murphy's Lawyers 
140	bubble	6333 - Scavenger Robotics 
141	bubble	5494 - Bizarbots Robotics 
142	bubble	3464 - Sim-City 
143	bubble	5686 - Wirecats 
144	out	1757 - Wolverines 
145	bubble	1071 - Team Max 
146	out	1277 - The Robotomies 
147	out	1350 - The Rambots 
148	bubble	3182 - Athena's Warriors 
149	out	1735 - Green Reapers 
150	bubble	6301 - Nerointellect-sim Engineering ... 
151	~out	7314 - Tornados 
152	bubble	2523 - Tech Storm 
153	bubble	4546 - ShockWave 
154	bubble	1247 - Blood, Sweat, and Gears 
155	bubble	1965 - Firebirds 
156	bubble	6346 - Norwalk High School Robotics 
157	bubble	3609 - Duct Tape Dragons 
158	bubble	6161 - Equilibrium 
159	bubble	1085 - Aquatic Robotics 
160	bubble	97 - Bionic Beef 
161	bubble	2713 - iRaiders 
162	bubble	3451 - The ANOMALY 
163	bubble	1991 - Dragons 
164	~out	6762 - Oscats 
165	bubble	166 - Chop Shop 
166	bubble	5506 - Midcoast MAINEiacs 
167	bubble	5347 - Gryphons 
168	bubble	1512 - The Big Red 
169	bubble	173 - RAGE Robotics 
170	bubble	3104 - The Cyber Rams 
171	bubble	1307 - Robosaints 
172	bubble	2423 - The KwarQs 
173	~out	6529 - Beantown Blitz 
174	~out	6812 - Andover Snowflakes 
175	~out	6895 - Mechanical Madness 4-H 
176	~out	7126 - RoboMules 
177	~out	7212 - LCS Warriors 
178	~out	7269 - ISB VoltBots 
179	~out	7306 - Epping High School 
180	bubble	4925 - The Resistance 
181	bubble	5962 - perSEVERE 
182	bubble	4958 - Robocats 
183	bubble	4987 - MegaRams 
184	bubble	5902 - The Wire Clippers 
185	bubble	5633 - Hyde Cyber Wolves 
186	bubble	69 - HYPER 
187	bubble	4034 - Pelham πthons Team 4034 
188	bubble	5491 - Cognitive Hazard 
189	~out	3323 - Potential Energy 
190	~out	5752 - Bevbotics 
191	~out	1922 - Oz-Ram 
192	~out	1124 - UberBots 
193	~out	151 - Tough Techs 
194	~out	1740 - Ledyard Cyber Colonels 
195	~out	1786 - The Robotics Team 
196	~out	1027 - Project Jabberwocky 
197	~out	501 - The PowerKnights 
198	~out	4311 - Swampscott Currents 
199	~out	4555 - Sprocketology 
200	~out	6690 - MV roboPride 
201	~out	1761 - STEAMpunk Tigers 
202	~out	1973 - Burning Tiger #1973 
203	~out	3634 - Spark City 
204	~out	2785 - Prometheus 
205	~out	1721 - Tidal Force 
206	~out	3499 - River's Edge Robotics 
207	~out	3597 - Robo-Rangers 
208	~out	4929 - Maroon Monsoon
Reply With Quote
  #2   Spotlight this post!  
Unread 03-28-2018, 12:04 PM
amieagasino's Avatar
amieagasino amieagasino is offline
Registered User
FRC #3654 (TechTigers)
Team Role: Mechanical
 
Join Date: Apr 2017
Rookie Year: 2015
Location: Connecticut, USA
Posts: 12
amieagasino is an unknown quantity at this point
Re: New England District Championship Projections 2018

Thank you for sharing! I am hoping that the point cutoff won't be drastically different than your prediction.
Reply With Quote
  #3   Spotlight this post!  
Unread 04-01-2018, 10:42 PM
ChrisTeam1289's Avatar
ChrisTeam1289 ChrisTeam1289 is offline
Captain | Drive Captain | 1289
AKA: Cristian W.
FRC #1289 (Gearheadz)
Team Role: Driver
 
Join Date: Feb 2015
Rookie Year: 2014
Location: Massachusetts
Posts: 7
ChrisTeam1289 is an unknown quantity at this point
Re: New England District Championship Projections 2018

Do you suspect that point cutoff to change at all within the next week? Or has it changed at all after UNH (seeing as this hasn't been updated since UNH occured).

Thank you for sharing this as well!
Reply With Quote
  #4   Spotlight this post!  
Unread 04-01-2018, 10:55 PM
SoftwareBug2.0's Avatar
SoftwareBug2.0 SoftwareBug2.0 is offline
Registered User
AKA: Eric
FRC #1425 (Error Code Xero)
Team Role: Mentor
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Rookie Year: 2004
Location: Tigard, Oregon
Posts: 550
SoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond repute
Re: New England District Championship Projections 2018

Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisTeam1289 View Post
Do you suspect that point cutoff to change at all within the next week? Or has it changed at all after UNH (seeing as this hasn't been updated since UNH occured).

Thank you for sharing this as well!
Here's an update. The bounds on where the cutoff might be are converging, but the guess of where it is most likely to be changed by only one point (59->60).

Code:
Best-case points to make it to district cmp: 53
Worst-case points to make it to district cmp: 93
Best estimate: 60
{'bubble': 59, 'out': 69, '~in': 33, '~out': 30, 'in': 18}
0	in	133 - B.E.R.T. 
1	in	319 - Big Bad Bob 
2	in	5687 - The Outliers 
3	in	88 - TJ(Squared) 
4	in	230 - Gaelhawks 
5	in	238 - Crusaders 
6	in	2168 - Aluminum Falcons 
7	in	1519 - Mechanical Mayhem 
8	in	4564 - Orange Chaos 
9	in	78 - AIR STRIKE 
10	in	125 - NUTRONs 
11	in	6328 - Mechanical Advantage 
12	in	95 - Grasshoppers 
13	in	1058 - PVC Pirates 
14	in	5813 - Morpheus 
15	in	6329 - The Bucks' Wrath 
16	in	58 - The Riot Crew 
17	in	138 - Entropy 
18	~in	3461 - Operation PEACCE Robotics 
19	~in	3236 - TRIFORCE 
20	~in	4557 - FullMetal Falcons 
21	~in	3623 - Terror Bots 
22	~in	1100 - The T-Hawks 
23	~in	4905 - Andromeda One 
24	~in	663 - Robonauts 
25	~in	2067 - Apple Pi 
26	~in	811 - Cardinals 
27	~in	1729 - Team Inconceivable! 
28	~in	4041 - Iron Tigers 
29	~in	237 - Black Magic Robotics 
30	~in	1073 - The Force Team 
31	~in	6933 - Archytas, sponsored by NASA 
32	~in	131 - C.H.A.O.S. 
33	~in	2370 - IBOTS 
34	~in	195 - CyberKnights 
35	~in	5856 - Bullbots 
36	~in	1699 - Robocats 
37	~in	176 - Aces High 
38	~in	6224 - The Saint Dominators 
39	~in	1768 - RoboChiefs 
40	~in	61 - The Intimidators 
41	~in	121 - Rhode Warriors 
42	~in	5846 - Southcoast Corsairs 
43	~in	1289 - Gearheadz 
44	~in	5735 - Control Freaks 
45	~in	7153 - Aetos Dios 
46	~in	3555 - Aluminati 
47	~in	5000 - Hammerheads 
48	~in	1153 - The Walpole Revolution 
49	~in	467 - The Colonials 
50	bubble	178 - The 2nd Law Enforcers 
51	bubble	1071 - Team Max 
52	~out	4176 - Iron Tigers 
53	~in	177 - Bobcat Robotics 
54	~out	23 - PNTA Pilgrim Nuclear Technolog... 
55	~out	6367 - The ElectroLights 
56	~out	2876 - Devilbotz 
57	~out	509 - Red Storm 
58	~out	228 - GUS Robotics 
59	~out	4906 - The Collective 
60	~out	348 - Norwell Robotics 
61	~out	155 - The Technonuts 
62	~out	213 - The Dirty Birds 
63	~out	5112 - The Gongoliers 
64	out	1517 - The Lumberjacks 
65	out	5506 - Midcoast MAINEiacs 
66	out	3719 - STEM Whalers 
67	bubble	7127 - LongMetal Robotics 
68	out	4908 - Duxbury Dragons 
69	out	3930 - SMART Spruce Mountain Area Ro... 
70	out	2648 - Infinite Loop 
71	out	3958 - Schrodinger's Cat 
72	out	6335 - Terminal Velocity 
73	out	157 - AZTECHS 
74	out	501 - The PowerKnights 
75	out	6731 - Record Robotics 
76	bubble	558 - Elm City Robo Squad 
77	bubble	6763 - FUSION 
78	out	4555 - Sprocketology 
79	out	1099 - DiscoTechs 
80	out	3466 - VIKINGS ROBOTICS 
81	out	716 - Who'sCTEKS 
82	out	126 - Gael Force 
83	out	6172 - The Mad Dogs 
84	out	6153 - Blue Crew 
85	out	6324 - The Blue Devils 
86	out	6620 - The Northmengineers 
87	out	172 - Northern Force 
88	out	5422 - Stormgears FRC 
89	out	5122 - robOTies 
90	bubble	236 - Techno-Ticks 
91	bubble	2836 - Team Beta 
92	out	4546 - ShockWave 
93	out	4169 - Warrior Robotics 
94	bubble	2342 - Team Phoenix 
95	out	4761 - The Robockets 
96	out	6691 - Torque 
97	out	4055 - NRG 
98	out	5265 - Radical Impact 
99	out	2079 - 4H ALARM Robotics 
100	bubble	3467 - Windham Windup 
101	out	3609 - Duct Tape Dragons 
102	bubble	5129 - Digital Devils 
103	out	6762 - Oscats 
104	out	7314 - Tornados 
105	out	1512 - The Big Red 
106	out	4048 - Redshift 
107	bubble	5142 - Robo Dominators 
108	out	3323 - Potential Energy 
109	out	3205 - Patriots 
110	bubble	4909 - Bionics 
111	out	4473 - Delta Prime 
112	out	7164 - RHODE HAZARD 
113	out	4097 - Devilbots 
114	out	5556 - Carriagetown Robotics 
115	bubble	2877 - LigerBots 
116	out	4572 - BArlow RobAutics 
117	out	1247 - Blood, Sweat, and Gears 
118	out	1474 - Tewksbury Titans 
119	bubble	181 - Birds Of Prey 
120	bubble	5746 - Human Error 
121	out	166 - Chop Shop 
122	out	7133 - STEAM Makers 
123	bubble	571 - Team Paragon 
124	out	5902 - The Wire Clippers 
125	out	4151 - SCRAP 4151 
126	bubble	175 - Buzz Robotics 
127	bubble	1721 - Tidal Force 
128	out	3525 - The Nuts & Bolts of Fury 
129	out	6337 - Terror Bytes 
130	bubble	246 - Overclocked 
131	bubble	3597 - Robo-Rangers 
132	bubble	2170 - Titanium Tomahawks 
133	bubble	7240 - Nitro Knights 
134	out	5633 - Hyde Cyber Wolves 
135	bubble	7266 - NBHS Steampunks 
136	bubble	2084 - Robots by the C 
137	bubble	2064 - The Panther Project 
138	bubble	885 - THE GREEN TEAM 
139	bubble	6201 - The Highlanders 
140	bubble	5563 - Phalanx 
141	bubble	839 - Rosie Robotics 
142	out	2262 - Robo-Panthers 
143	out	4958 - Robocats 
144	bubble	7212 - LCS Warriors 
145	bubble	6895 - Mechanical Madness 4-H 
146	bubble	7259 - Mechanical Mustangs 
147	bubble	3654 - TechTigers 
148	out	4796 - Cyber Dragons 
149	out	5459 - Ipswich TIGERS 
150	out	6723 - Team redbot 
151	bubble	7126 - RoboMules 
152	out	4925 - The Resistance 
153	out	3566 - Gone Fishin' 
154	out	3451 - The ANOMALY 
155	out	5471 - W.Hi.R.R. 
156	bubble	190 - Gompei and the H.E.R.D. 
157	out	1831 - Screaming Eagles 
158	bubble	6811 - Gunnery Gears 
159	bubble	999 - MechaRAMS 
160	bubble	3146 - GRANBY GRUNTS 
161	out	4042 - Murphy's Lawyers 
162	out	1307 - Robosaints 
163	bubble	6333 - Scavenger Robotics 
164	bubble	5494 - Bizarbots Robotics 
165	bubble	3464 - Sim-City 
166	bubble	5686 - Wirecats 
167	out	1757 - Wolverines 
168	out	1277 - The Robotomies 
169	out	1350 - The Rambots 
170	bubble	4929 - Maroon Monsoon 
171	bubble	3182 - Athena's Warriors 
172	out	1735 - Green Reapers 
173	bubble	6690 - MV roboPride 
174	bubble	6301 - Nerointellect-sim Engineering ... 
175	bubble	2523 - Tech Storm 
176	out	151 - Tough Techs 
177	bubble	1965 - Firebirds 
178	~out	6346 - Norwalk High School Robotics 
179	out	1786 - The Robotics Team 
180	bubble	6161 - Equilibrium 
181	bubble	1085 - Aquatic Robotics 
182	bubble	97 - Bionic Beef 
183	bubble	2713 - iRaiders 
184	bubble	1991 - Dragons 
185	bubble	5347 - Gryphons 
186	bubble	173 - RAGE Robotics 
187	bubble	3104 - The Cyber Rams 
188	bubble	2423 - The KwarQs 
189	~out	6529 - Beantown Blitz 
190	~out	6812 - Andover Snowflakes 
191	~out	7269 - ISB VoltBots 
192	~out	7306 - Epping High School 
193	bubble	5962 - perSEVERE 
194	bubble	4987 - MegaRams 
195	~out	69 - HYPER 
196	~out	4034 - Pelham πthons Team 4034 
197	~out	5491 - Cognitive Hazard 
198	~out	5752 - Bevbotics 
199	~out	1922 - Oz-Ram 
200	~out	1124 - UberBots 
201	~out	1740 - Ledyard Cyber Colonels 
202	~out	1027 - Project Jabberwocky 
203	~out	4311 - Swampscott Currents 
204	~out	3499 - River's Edge Robotics 
205	~out	1761 - STEAMpunk Tigers 
206	~out	1973 - Burning Tiger #1973 
207	~out	3634 - Spark City 
208	~out	2785 - Prometheus
Reply With Quote
  #5   Spotlight this post!  
Unread 04-03-2018, 11:20 PM
ChrisTeam1289's Avatar
ChrisTeam1289 ChrisTeam1289 is offline
Captain | Drive Captain | 1289
AKA: Cristian W.
FRC #1289 (Gearheadz)
Team Role: Driver
 
Join Date: Feb 2015
Rookie Year: 2014
Location: Massachusetts
Posts: 7
ChrisTeam1289 is an unknown quantity at this point
Re: New England District Championship Projections 2018

Do you believe the point cutoff will remain at 60, or will it go any higher then that.

Also if you don't mind could you explain the in, out, best case, worst case numbers you have at the top of that list? I was a bit confused.
Reply With Quote
  #6   Spotlight this post!  
Unread 04-04-2018, 12:00 AM
SoftwareBug2.0's Avatar
SoftwareBug2.0 SoftwareBug2.0 is offline
Registered User
AKA: Eric
FRC #1425 (Error Code Xero)
Team Role: Mentor
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Rookie Year: 2004
Location: Tigard, Oregon
Posts: 550
SoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond reputeSoftwareBug2.0 has a reputation beyond repute
Re: New England District Championship Projections 2018

Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisTeam1289 View Post
Do you believe the point cutoff will remain at 60, or will it go any higher then that.

Also if you don't mind could you explain the in, out, best case, worst case numbers you have at the top of that list? I was a bit confused.
My program tends to guess a little bit low, meaning that if the actual cutoff was slightly higher than 60 I would not be surprised.

As far as the "best case" and "worst case", those are the lowest and highest possible values that there might be for the cutoff. So there is still quite a range of values that still seem to be possible.
Reply With Quote
  #7   Spotlight this post!  
Unread 04-04-2018, 06:31 AM
Hitchhiker 42's Avatar
Hitchhiker 42 Hitchhiker 42 is offline
Roboter
AKA: Mark Lavrentyev
FRC #4557 (FullMetal Falcons)
Team Role: Programmer
 
Join Date: Oct 2015
Rookie Year: 2015
Location: Connecticut
Posts: 990
Hitchhiker 42 has a reputation beyond reputeHitchhiker 42 has a reputation beyond reputeHitchhiker 42 has a reputation beyond reputeHitchhiker 42 has a reputation beyond reputeHitchhiker 42 has a reputation beyond reputeHitchhiker 42 has a reputation beyond reputeHitchhiker 42 has a reputation beyond reputeHitchhiker 42 has a reputation beyond reputeHitchhiker 42 has a reputation beyond reputeHitchhiker 42 has a reputation beyond reputeHitchhiker 42 has a reputation beyond repute
Re: New England District Championship Projections 2018

Quote:
Originally Posted by SoftwareBug2.0 View Post
My program tends to guess a little bit low, meaning that if the actual cutoff was slightly higher than 60 I would not be surprised.
Historically, I remember the cut-off usually being in the mid-60's before teams that decline the invitation, and around low-60's to high-50's after declines. Seems to coincide with what you have, roughly.
__________________
Don't forget your towel!

Reply With Quote
  #8   Spotlight this post!  
Unread 04-04-2018, 06:57 AM
ChrisTeam1289's Avatar
ChrisTeam1289 ChrisTeam1289 is offline
Captain | Drive Captain | 1289
AKA: Cristian W.
FRC #1289 (Gearheadz)
Team Role: Driver
 
Join Date: Feb 2015
Rookie Year: 2014
Location: Massachusetts
Posts: 7
ChrisTeam1289 is an unknown quantity at this point
Re: New England District Championship Projections 2018

Alright thanks to the both of you, yeah from what I've seen from previous years that cutoff is usually in the 60's.
Reply With Quote
  #9   Spotlight this post!  
Unread 04-04-2018, 07:14 AM
EmileH's Avatar
EmileH EmileH is offline
Passion breeds passion.
FRC #1058 (PVC Pirates)
 
Join Date: Dec 2014
Rookie Year: 2011
Location: New Hampshire
Posts: 796
EmileH has a reputation beyond reputeEmileH has a reputation beyond reputeEmileH has a reputation beyond reputeEmileH has a reputation beyond reputeEmileH has a reputation beyond reputeEmileH has a reputation beyond reputeEmileH has a reputation beyond reputeEmileH has a reputation beyond reputeEmileH has a reputation beyond reputeEmileH has a reputation beyond reputeEmileH has a reputation beyond repute
Re: New England District Championship Projections 2018

Do consider that the points distribution of the top teams from last year compared to prior years is slightly skewed because of the nature of Steamworks - only one team in NE won more than one district event last year, meaning there were more teams at the mid/top with higher points, raising the cutoff, but less teams at the very very top with 140+ points.
__________________
2016-present: FRC 1058
2013-2015: FRC 3467

Member of the New England FRC community? Join the FRC New England Alliance Facebook Group!
Reply With Quote
  #10   Spotlight this post!  
Unread 04-04-2018, 08:53 AM
JamesCH95's Avatar
JamesCH95 JamesCH95 is offline
Hardcore Dork
AKA: JCH
FRC #0095 (The Grasshoppers)
Team Role: Engineer
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Rookie Year: 2001
Location: Enfield, NH
Posts: 2,568
JamesCH95 has a reputation beyond reputeJamesCH95 has a reputation beyond reputeJamesCH95 has a reputation beyond reputeJamesCH95 has a reputation beyond reputeJamesCH95 has a reputation beyond reputeJamesCH95 has a reputation beyond reputeJamesCH95 has a reputation beyond reputeJamesCH95 has a reputation beyond reputeJamesCH95 has a reputation beyond reputeJamesCH95 has a reputation beyond reputeJamesCH95 has a reputation beyond repute
Re: New England District Championship Projections 2018

https://www.frclocks.com/index.php?d=ne
__________________
Theory is a nice place, I'd like to go there one day, I hear everything works there.

Maturity is knowing you were an idiot, common sense is trying to not be an idiot, wisdom is knowing that you will still be an idiot.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 03:13 AM.

The Chief Delphi Forums are sponsored by Innovation First International, Inc.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright © Chief Delphi