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Unread 03-07-2017, 01:11 PM
Whatever Whatever is offline
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MN State Tournament

Since the week 1 round of points are out I wanted to see who was on the bubble for qualifying for the state tournament.

Applying this years criteria to last years numbers (36 teams and no 10 point bonus for applying for chairman's) the cut off would have been 31 points. 3750, 5271, and 3102 would have been in with 31 points - 2169 and 2181 would have been out with 31 points.

The other way to look at it is 29 of 36 teams would have qualified based on Duluth last year. This does not include 4607 who is listed as Lake Superior but qualified by being the Chairman's winner at North Star.

So using those two points, it looks like the bubble teams are:
5913 (32 points, 21st place)
2502 (31 points)
3042 (31 points)
5690 (30 points)
2503 (29 points)
3723 (29 points)
2491 (29 points)
3313 (28 points)
2227 (28 points)
6453 (28 points, 30th place)

The points in the bubble area do appear to be down a bit coming out of Duluth this year versus last year. It will be interesting to see if that carries forward or if it means more teams will make it in from later events.

Outlook going forward:
Week 2 - 1 new team will be added to the rankings
Week 3 - 3 new teams
Week 4 - 17 new teams (5 at Wisconsin and 12 at Iowa)
Week 5 - 0 new teams
Week 6 - 74 new teams (32 at North Star and 42 at 10k)
Week 7 - 4 new teams

The number of teams yet to compete is more or less the same as last year. Last year there were 38 at North Star and 45 at 10k. Iowa and Central Illinois are the same. 4 teams used Wisconsin last year. The 1 in Arkansas and 4 at Seven River are new this year.

There are 3 rookie teams yet to compete - this is up from 2 last year.
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Unread 03-07-2017, 01:21 PM
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Jon Stratis Jon Stratis is offline
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Re: MN State Tournament

For those wondering, the current rankings are linked from this page: http://mnfirst.org/offseason/mshsl

I think it's premature to say 29/36 will qualify from Duluth, since half the teams in the state haven't played yet

Traditionally, we do get more qualifying teams from Duluth than we do from Minneapolis, as teams that play in both events often "eat up" points in Minneapolis. There are fewer and fewer teams that can get into both Duluth and Minneapolis though, as all 4 events tend to fill up very quickly!
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Unread 03-19-2017, 09:48 PM
Whatever Whatever is offline
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Re: MN State Tournament

The three MN teams that went to Central Illinois all put up scores that should easily land them in the MN state tournament. Using this years scoring/criteria on last years results, at this point last year the top 30 teams would have eventually qualified. The 30th place team is currently 2491 at 29 points.

It took 31 points to make state last year so the scoring is still down. Team 2502 and 3042 both have 31 points and are sitting at 25th and 26th place.

This week is Wisconsin and Iowa with 17 teams being added to the standings. Last year only one team cracked the state tournament from those two tournaments. That seems unlikely to repeat so we will see how things look after next weekend.
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Unread 03-19-2017, 10:41 PM
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Re: MN State Tournament

Quote:
Originally Posted by Whatever View Post
This week is Wisconsin and Iowa with 17 teams being added to the standings. Last year only one team cracked the state tournament from those two tournaments. That seems unlikely to repeat so we will see how things look after next weekend.
Here's to that! We hated to miss the party last year, as did I'm sure many other MN teams playing their first event week 4.

Iowa looks to be pretty tough again this year (especially after watching 3528, 1987, and 2410 at Kansas City this weekend), but that doesn't stop us from having high hopes of qualifying this time around.
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Unread 03-20-2017, 08:59 AM
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Re: MN State Tournament

Quote:
Originally Posted by Whatever View Post
The three MN teams that went to Central Illinois all put up scores that should easily land them in the MN state tournament. Using this years scoring/criteria on last years results, at this point last year the top 30 teams would have eventually qualified. The 30th place team is currently 2491 at 29 points.
The rankings were updated at 8:15PM yesterday, and the results you were looking at were the updated ones

2169 gets in based on their Chairman's win (their 53 points would have put them 10th and most likely gotten them in anyways).

2220 got 56 points, landing them in 9th currently, a sure thing to get in.

And 3184 got 48 points, putting them in 12th, also a sure thing to get in.

I hope we get some more teams up there this weekend! After this weekend, we take a break in week 5, then get right back to it with a bunch of teams in weeks 6 and 7!
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