Championship Community Predictions

[Lij2015]

A couple teams in Newton I think people are going to be underestimating are 1241 (I know this is kinda obvious) and 1519. Absolutely great robots that have proven their worth.

[jajabinx124]

Archimedes:
Winners: 1986, 2338
Finalists: 1540, 1310

Carson:
Winners: 1024, 973
Finalists: 610, 225

Carver:
Winners: 330, 1114
Finalists: 27, 2481

Curie:
Winners: 1983, 3310
Finalists: 876, 25

Galileo:
Winners: 987, 341
Finalists: 195, 2468

Hopper:
Winners: 971, 1678
Finalists: 148, 1538

Newton:
Winners: 254, 5172
Finalists: 1241, 118

Tesla:
Winners: 2056, 2451
Finalists: 33, 4488

[LDiDomenico]

Now that alliance selections are out here is my attempt to predict the brackets for all divisions and Einstein.

Archimedes:

Alliance 1 1501 1986 5050 4828 : W
Alliance 2 4003 4564 5842 1257 : QF
Alliance 3 3166 180 3211 999 : QF
Alliance 4 2064 4039 2338 5401 : F
Alliance 5 1747 1768 107 207 : QF
Alliance 6 4103 1318 1310 1923 : SF
Alliance 7 45 1540 1671 236 : SF
Alliance 8 3534 3098 2637 4911 : QF

Carson:

Alliance 1 973 610 2474 319 : W
Alliance 2 2590 225 2067 11 : SF
Alliance 3 5895 1024 233 3688 : F
Alliance 4 2122 2052 3538 41 : SF
Alliance 5 1718 1918 135 4362 : QF
Alliance 6 2137 868 1625 1369 : QF
Alliance 7 1619 525 4028 3352 : QF
Alliance 8 4264 3824 2771 5572 : QF

Carver:

Alliance 1 133 230 910 1775 : QF
Alliance 2 330 2481 120 1086 : F
Alliance 3 27 1114 20 5924 : W
Alliance 4 842 2767 4451 1058 : SF
Alliance 5 5460 3357 85 1746 : QF
Alliance 6 1305 3419 2648 3452 : QF
Alliance 7 57 360 3478 4536 : QF
Alliance 8 503 359 4607 228 : SF

Curie:

Alliance 1 3546 166 858 3618 : W
Alliance 2 1089 1983 4469 836 : F
Alliance 3 25 2848 4329 1885 : SF
Alliance 4 5803 3310 2168 5940 : SF
Alliance 5 5406 3641 1261 2883 : QF
Alliance 6 4639 3990 1662 287 : QF
Alliance 7 3005 876 2557 4061 : QF
Alliance 8 694 3339 379 1511 : QF

Galileo:

Alliance 1 195 987 1197 1065 : W
Alliacne 2 3683 341 2383 4525 : F
Alliance 3 365 1124 870 68 : QF
Alliance 4 3539 175 4009 623 : SF
Alliance 5 5813 2468 1153 2907 : QF
Alliance 6 558 494 2502 4740 : SF
Alliance 7 333 1023 5448 6175 : QF
Alliance 8 2987 245 176 2642 : QF

Hopper:

Alliance 1 148 1678 364 2990 : W
Alliance 2 1425 1538 2046 2471 : SF
Alliance 3 971 1323 193 5254 : F
Alliance 4 4334 294 2013 1732 : QF
Alliance 5 303 4587 1796 4085 : SF
Alliance 6 1712 869 1730 1736 : QF
Alliance 7 346 4967 1011 172 : QF
Alliance 8 231 4920 3604 70 : QF

Newton:

Alliance 1 1241 254 1731 708 : F
Alliance 2 1519 118 3309 1676 : SF
Alliance 3 67 5172 1477 3481 : W
Alliance 4 179 3620 3937 3360 : SF
Alliance 5 5150 125 1640 48 : QF
Alliance 6 4001 16 2614 1296 : QF
Alliance 7 217 3476 4678 188 : QF
Alliance 8 1418 229 3314 3663 : QF

Tesla:

Alliance 1 2056 1690 3015 1405 : W
Alliance 2 2451 1806 2194 1306 : SF
Alliance 3 2834 33 1756 329 : F
Alliance 4 2823 3130 3042 2415 : QF
Alliance 5 4488 548 2362 1250 : SF
Alliance 6 4391 5114 2337 5854 : QF
Alliance 7 1675 177 111 3044 : QF
Alliance 8 74 2054 4468 3238 : QF

Einstein:

Archimedes: QF : 1501 1986 5050 4828
Carson: QF : 973 610 2474 319
Carver: SF: 27 1114 20 5924
Curie: QF: 3546 166 858 3618
Galileo: F : 195 987 1197 1065
Hopper: QF : 148 1678 364 2990
Newton: W : 67 5172 1477 3481
Tesla: SF : 2056 1690 3015 1405

[mjc49]

Originally Posted by hutchMN

If you haven't heard of 5172 you will after Champs

+1

World class shooter. Really small school that has made great robots in each of their first 3 seasons.

[Charles Boehm]

Originally Posted by hutchMN

If you haven't heard of 5172 you will after Champs

100% agree. This team will do great.

[Arteezy_RL]

I'm surprised that I'm not seeing more of RUSH 27 in here. They are probably the strongest bot coming out of Michigan this year.

[djperry1009]

Originally Posted by Arteezy_RL

I'm surprised that I'm not seeing more of RUSH 27 in here. They are probably the strongest bot coming out of Michigan this year.

I agree, however, they are up some extremely good competition, with 330, 359, 1114, and 2481. I think these traditional powerhouse teams are the one's being predicted because of reliability and consistency over the years, as well as reputation. I think 27 stacks up well with the competition, should be exciting to watch!

[M217]

Originally Posted by Liam Fay

There's of course the Canadian cohort - 1114, 2056, 610, 1241, as well as the more recent 4678.

Don't forget Makeshift! I had the privilege of watching them at Carver division finals last year, and their bot was spectacular; they seem to have only gotten better this year.

[Dan Petrovic]

195's got their 2-ball auto dialed in, so I expect them to do very well.

[Theseusgoats]

I don't know enough about each division to pick a good second pick for each so only the top two robots listed here.

Archimedes: 1986-1501
Carson: 2052-2771 (potentially 1024)
Carver: 1114-359
Curie: 1983+3506
Galileo: 195-987
Hopper: 1678-971 (or 148, too hard to decide)
Newton: 254-1241 (or 118)
Tesla: 2056-33 (with the possibility of an upset from 4488-2363-2451, any 2 of 3, obviously not all 3 together)

Anyway, good luck to all the Indiana teams who went..
1501
868
1024
461
1747
4103
1529
45
135
6012

Also, I saw 3147 on hopper I think. Did they get through by the wait list thing.

[JABot67]

I'll take a stab at predictions for the 2016 championship! I made these picks with the idea of maximizing the chances of one or both of the teams being right. There is definitely a lot of variability in this year's game and it seems guaranteed that some unexpectedly awesome alliances will make Einstein this year. I just tried to choose 2 teams from each division that I thought had pretty good chances of winning their divisions. So without further ado:

Newton: 67/254
Tesla: 1690/2056
Galileo: 195/987
Hopper: 148/1678
Curie: 3339/3990
Carver: 1114/359
Carson: 1024/1619
Archi: 1501/1986

I think there will be a lot of Michigan teams on Einstein, especially in the 3rd/4th bot slots. I was impressed with the Israeli teams when watching their regional so I picked 3339 and 1690 to win their divisions - hopefully they got lots of practice! Newton was hard to decide but I thought a 67-254 alliance would be awesome. They've never paired up before! On Carson, 1024 has to win their division. Last time they won all their pre-CMP events (2008), they also won their division. Also I'm a big 1619 homer.

We'll see what happens!

[RonAyyyyyyyy]

My own predictions, made from perusing the data and based on the predicted rankings:

Archimedes:
Winner- 45, 4564, 4039, 5050
Finalist- 1986, 2338, 2064, 4003
(45 uses scorched earth)

Carson:
Winner-2590, 225, 2137, 41
Finalist-319, 610, 1619, 2474

Carver:
Winner-330, 1114, 5980, 3452
Finalist-133, 2481, 3419, 1836

Curie:
Winner-25, 3310, 3147, 166
Finalist-5406, 2168, 2848, 5279

Galileo:
Winner-987, 341, 3132, 245
Finalist-1153, 195, 6012, 5448

Hopper:
Winner-2013, 5254, 5546, 1684
Finalist-4334, 4587, 5847, 2046

Newton:
Winner-254, 118, 3360, 217
Finalist-1241, 5172, 5505, 125

Tesla:
Winner-2056, 33, 4488(i know), 3015
Finalist-4468, 1690, 2363, 2194

Einstein:

Newton beats Hopper
Carver beats Curie
Galileo beats Carson
Tesla beats Archimedes

Newton beats Carver
Tesla beats Galileo

Tesla beats Newton

[JABot67]

Originally Posted by JABot67

Newton: 67/254
Tesla: 1690/2056
Galileo: 195/987
Hopper: 148/1678
Curie: 3339/3990
Carver: 1114/359
Carson: 1024/1619
Archi: 1501/1986

Over 50%! Not too shabby...

Most prognosticators got 195/987 and 1501/1986 right, with a tad fewer correctly predicting 148/1678 (usually throwing 971 in the mix instead). Most people also got 2056 right. From there it was all downhill, with Newton at the bottom. I think one person guessed 4678 right....

[Basel A]

Predictions collectively generated by myself, JABot67, and Zebra_Fact_Man

Archimedes:
1) 1501 1986 5050 4828 W
2) 4003 4564 5842 1257 F
3) 3166 180 3211 999 QF
4) 2064 4039 2338 5401 QF
5) 1747 1768 107 207 SF
6) 4103 1318 1310 1923 SF
7) 45 1540 1671 236 QF
8) 3534 3098 2637 4911 QF

Carson:
1) 973 610 2474 319 W
2) 2590 225 2067 11 SF
3) 5895 1024 233 3688 F
4) 2122 2052 3538 41 QF
5) 1718 1918 135 4362 SF
6) 2137 868 1625 1369 QF
7) 1619 525 4028 3352 QF
8) 4264 3824 2771 5572 QF

Carver:
1) 133 230 910 1775 W
2) 330 2481 120 1086 SF
3) 27 1114 20 5924 F
4) 842 2767 4451 1058 QF
5) 5460 3357 85 1746 SF
6) 1305 3419 2648 3452 QF
7) 57 360 3478 4536 QF
8) 503 359 4607 228 QF

Curie:
1) 3546 166 858 3618 SF
2) 1089 1983 4469 836 SF
3) 25 2848 4329 1885 QF
4) 5803 3310 2168 5940 QF
5) 5406 3641 1261 2883 F
6) 639 3990 1662 287 W
7) 3005 876 2557 4061 QF
8) 694 3339 379 1511 QF

Galileo:
1) 195 987 1197 1065 W
2) 3683 341 2383 4525 QF
3) 365 1124 870 68 QF
4) 3539 175 4009 623 SF
5) 5813 2468 1153 2907 QF
6) 558 494 2502 4740 F
7) 333 1023 5448 6175 SF
8) 2987 245 176 2642 QF

Hopper:
1) 148 1678 364 2990 W
2) 1425 1538 2046 2471 SF
3) 971 1323 193 5254 F
4) 4334 294 2013 1732 SF
5) 303 4587 1796 4085 QF
6) 1712 869 1730 1736 QF
7) 346 4967 1011 172 QF
8) 231 4920 3604 70 QF

Newton:
1) 1241 254 1731 708 F
2) 1519 118 3309 1676 SF
3) 67 5172 1477 3481 W
4) 179 3620 3937 3360 SF
5) 5150 125 1640 48 QF
6) 4001 16 2614 1296 QF
7) 217 3476 4678 188 QF
8) 1418 229 3314 3663 QF

Tesla:
1) 2056 1690 3015 1405 W
2) 2451 1806 2194 1306 F
3) 2834 33 1756 329 SF
4) 2823 3130 3042 2415 QF
5) 4488 548 2363 1250 SF
6) 4391 5114 2337 5854 QF
7) 1675 177 111 3044 QF
8) 74 2054 4468 3238 QF

[Basel A]

nikeairmancurry decided to actually wake up and join us in our Einstein predictions

Newton: 67 5172 1477 3481 W
Galileo: 195 987 1197 1065 F
Archimedes: 1501 1986 5050 4828 QF
Curie: 639 3990 1662 287 QF
Carver: 133 230 910 1775 SF
Tesla: 2056 1690 3015 1405 SF
Carson: 973 610 2474 319 QF
Hopper: 148 1678 364 2990 QF