Fouls and Tiebreakers

[Jaci]

There's been a lot of talk about the final Einstein match, where the win was swept up by the 1st Tiebreaker level: foul points. As a lover of stats, I decided to run an analysis and see how common this was throughout the season. I've split foul-decided matches into two categories:

The first type (Tie) is a match where the ending scores are tied, and the 1st tiebreaker is used to determine the winner (i.e. both alliances score the same, but the alliance creating the least fouls wins)

The second type (Sway) describes a match where fouls 'sway' the final score of the match (i.e. red scores 100, blue scores 97, but red got 5 points due to a blue foul. If this foul didn't occur, blue would have won, hence 'swaying' the match)

Let's take a look, starting off at the Top.

Einstein Field
Ties: 1 (Finals 1 Match 3)
Sways: 3 (Quarters 1 Match 1, Semis 1 Match 1, Semis 1 Match 2)
Total: 4 foul-decided matches

Championship Divisions
Ties: 8 (Arch: 2, Carson: 1, Curie: 3, Galileo: 1, Hopper: 1)
Sways: 46 (Arch: 9, Carson: 5, Carver: 8, Curie: 3, Galileo: 5, Hopper: 2, Newton: 9, Tesla: 5)
Total: 54 foul-decided matches

Season Events
Ties: 87
Sways: 587
Total: 674 foul-decided matches

Thoughts?