Predictions for Chairman's Winner Districts & HOF

[Jay O'Donnell]

Originally Posted by robotenthusiast

hmm just another thought, what underdog teams do you think might come up and possibly take the win?

For example in 2015, lots of teams predicted 987 to win HOF and 597 (the actual winners) went under the radar but clearly stood out to judges as they may not have been in the 'limelight' or as big as some other teams.

Who do you think has a high chance?

I think 1511 definitely has a good shot, they have a really well run program. 2648 isn't quite there yet but they've become the closest team to being a "sure thing" for CA's in New England.

[Jacob Bendicksen]

North champs I have to think 503 is a lock -- they're in a league of their own.

South champs is more of a toss-up. 3132 has a phenomenal program but would be the youngest member of the Hall of Fame by a significant margin, whereas 1311 and 1540 are quite a bit older but perhaps a bit less flashy and well-known.

(I'd prefer 1540, of course, but that's just me )

[Doug G]

Originally Posted by Doug G

604 is a team in that same area that should be in the conversation as well... They've won Chairman's 9 out of the last 10 years...

3132 is a good pick for the Southern Cross event and South Champs... you know.. getting a whole continent going and such...

987 is a great pick for Utah and South Champs... just a matter of time for them.

I'm such a dork... not enough sleep these days I've been rooting for 987 for several years now and totally forgot they won last year!

[Lil' Lavery]

We just did this a couple months ago:
https://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/s...d.php?t=152151

[cadandcookies]

Originally Posted by Lil' Lavery

We just did this a couple months ago:
https://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/s...d.php?t=152151

I'm sure the OP is aware of this, considering they posted the last one of these threads...

[Oromus]

I dropped these stats in the last Chairman's prediction thread, so I'll just plop them in this one too. I have this script I've been using for the past year now that calculates CPR (Chairman's Power Rating) values for teams at varying events. It's been pretty accurate for regionals (multiple 2016 regionals had 100% prediction accuracy), so I'll post what it's predictions are for North and South Champs. For Champs, it generates a list of a couple "possible candidates" and then vaguely ranks them. All CCA (Champion Chairman's Award) winners from the past 10 years (that's as far as I've checked presently) have been on the possible candidate list my script generates. Note that rankings go off of the team's award history and can't take into account the "quality" of the team's outreaches and Chairman's submissions, and the teams processed by the script for this predictions were selected from the 2016 Chairman's winners that attended Champs. For those interested, I'll probably be posting predictions like this on a weekly basis once competition season comes around (along with a 2.0 version of the script for increased accuracy).

North (St. Louis):

1. 1241 (THEORY6) - 4.91 CPR
2. 1305 (Ice Cubed) - 4.5 CPR
3. 1710 (The Ravonics Revolution) - 4.33 CPR
4. 1885 (ILITE Robotics) - 4.0 CPR
5. 503 (Frog Force) - 4.0 CPR
6. 1511 (Rolling Thunder) - 3.92 CPR
7. 2614 (Mountaineer Area RoboticS (MARS)) - 3.83 CPR
8. 384 (Sparky 384) - 3.83 CPR
9. 537 (Charger Robotics) - 3.5 CPR
10. 1086 (Blue Cheese) - 3.25 CPR
11. 11 (MORT) - 1.5 CPR

South (Houston):

1. 2468 (Team Appreciate) - 4.33 CPR
2. 604 (Quixilver) - 4.0 CPR
3. 2486 (CocoNuts) - 4.0 CPR
4. 1311 (Kell Robotics) - 4.0 CPR
5. 1540 (Flaming Chickens) - 4.0 CPR
6. 1902 (Exploding Bacon) - 3.67 CPR
7. 3132 (Thunder Down Under) - 2.74 CPR
8. 812 (The Midnight Mechanics) - 2.58 CPR
9. 233 (The Pink Team) - 2.58 CPR
10. 932 (Circuit Chargers) - 2.25 CPR
11. 1868 (Space Cookies) - 2.0 CPR