Political Probabilities

[Jack Jones]

Suppose that the war in Iraq was a multiple choice test (1 of 4) that George had failed with 50% correct. Now suppose that John also took the test and answered not just one, or a few, but every question differently than did George. The test was extremely hard, so both boys were guessing.

Q: What was the probable score for John?
A: 16.67%

Q: What, instead of 50%, would George's score had to have been for John to have done as well or better?
{HINT: Law of Large Numbers}
A:

Q: Assuming Bush has done a half-assed job on Iraq, what could we expect from Kerry?
A: