Predictions: The Big Show -- Galileo

[Doug Leppard]

As a rookie team last year we had the privilege to be in Archimedes finals with 233 and 33. All three of us had an auto mode. It was just wonderful to watch.

233 and 33 were high shooters and nailed many. We were a low scorer and had to do it from the far position, we never thought we would use it but in the finals we did.

See Google video of one of those matches.
http://video.google.com/videoplay?do...323165601442&q

It would be fun to do that again with one of you at Galileo.

[Joe Ross]

Tips:
45 - division quarter finalists,
79 - division finalists
103 - not selected
217 - division quarter finalists
703 - division semifinalists
1251 - not selected
1680 - not selected
2056 - division semifinalists

Locks:
25 - division quarter finalists
56 - division quarter finalists
229 - division quarter finalists
503 - division finalists

Bonus:
65 - division finalists
123 - not selected
2158 - not selected

Tips that made the elims: 5/8 = 63%
Locks that made the elims: 4/4 = 100%
Locks that were finalists or better 1/4 = 25%

[dlavery]

Or let's look at it the other way. How many teams made it in to the elimination rounds that the predictions didn't see coming? When the full compliment of teams in the elimination rounds are lined up agains the prediction list, it plays out like this:

Legend:
Tip - Identified as a "Tip" in the prediciton
Lock -Identified as a "Lock" in the prediciton
Bonus - Identified as a "Bonus" in the prediciton
U-T-R - A team that flew "Under The Radar"
S-B-M - Teams that "Slipped By Me!"
R-M-T-O - We "Really Missed This One!"

- Quarter-Finals -
25 - Lock
45 - Tip
56 - Lock
65 - Bonus
79 - Tip
93 - U-T-R
116 - U-T-R
173 - U-T-R
191 - U-T-R
217 - Tip
229 - Lock
279 - U-T-R
341 - U-T-R
488 - U-T-R
503 - Lock
703 - Tip
1126 - U-T-R
1319 - U-T-R
1425 - U-T-R
1595 - U-T-R
1712 - U-T-R
1902 - U-T-R
2056 - U-T-R
2272 - U-T-R

Right - 37%
Missed - 63%


- Semi-Finals -
65 - Bonus
79 - Tip
93 - S-B-M
116 - S-B-M
173 - S-B-M
503 - Lock
703 - Tip
1319 - S-B-M
1595 - S-B-M
1712 - S-B-M
1902 - S-B-M
2056 - S-B-M

Right - 25%
Missed - 75%


- Finals -
65 - Bonus
79 - Tip
173 - R-M-T-O
503 - Lock
1319 - R-M-T-O
1902 - R-M-T-O

Right - 50%
Missed - 50%


Not too bad of a record. But just remind me not to bet with Dr. Joe if we ever go to Las Vegas together (partiularly during the NCAA semi-finals).*

-dave

* and, yes, it is all in fun!

[xzvrw2]

i believe 503 was a lock. haha

[Koko Ed]

Originally Posted by dlavery

Or let's look at it the other way. How many teams made it in to the elimination rounds that the predictions didn't see coming? When the full compliment of teams in the elimination rounds are lined up agains the prediction list, it plays out like this:

Legend:
Tip - Identified as a "Tip" in the prediciton
Lock -Identified as a "Lock" in the prediciton
Bonus - Identified as a "Bonus" in the prediciton
U-T-R - A team that flew "Under The Radar"
S-B-M - Teams that "Slipped By Me!"
R-M-T-O - We "Really Missed This One!"

- Quarter-Finals -
25 - Lock
45 - Tip
56 - Lock
65 - Bonus
79 - Tip
93 - U-T-R
116 - U-T-R
173 - U-T-R
191 - U-T-R
217 - Tip
229 - Lock
279 - U-T-R
341 - U-T-R
488 - U-T-R
503 - Lock
703 - Tip
1126 - U-T-R
1319 - U-T-R
1425 - U-T-R
1595 - U-T-R
1712 - U-T-R
1902 - U-T-R
2056 - U-T-R
2272 - U-T-R

Right - 37%
Missed - 63%


- Semi-Finals -
65 - Bonus
79 - Tip
93 - S-B-M
116 - S-B-M
173 - S-B-M
503 - Lock
703 - Tip
1319 - S-B-M
1595 - S-B-M
1712 - S-B-M
1902 - S-B-M
2056 - S-B-M

Right - 25%
Missed - 75%


- Finals -
65 - Bonus
79 - Tip
173 - R-M-T-O
503 - Lock
1319 - R-M-T-O
1902 - R-M-T-O

Right - 50%
Missed - 50%


Not too bad of a record. But just remind me not to bet with Dr. Joe if we ever go to Las Vegas together (partiularly during the NCAA semi-finals).*

-dave

* and, yes, it is all in fun!

I wouldn't call 2056 UTR. They were getting mad hype.
How did everybody miss 1425? They were spectacular!

[Lil' Lavery]

Originally Posted by Kristian Calhoun

In my last post, I listed the teams in Galileo that have an autonomous mode that at least attempt to score - whether or not it works consistently is a different story, but at least this narrows down the list of possible teams.

I'd say that 79, 237, 1126, 1425, 1730, and 2056 all have pretty consistent autonomous modes. 1680 also has one of the more accurate autonomous modes.

Don't forget 1902, who is (statistically speaking) one of the 4 or 5 most accurate autonomous teams during regional competition. They are also probably the quickest, typically scoring in well under 10 seconds, with plenty of time to also get prepared to start operator control.
I'd expect several others team to have made significant improvements from the regional season as well.

[Doug Leppard]

Originally Posted by Lil' Lavery

Don't forget 1902, who is (statistically speaking) one of the 4 or 5 most accurate autonomous teams during regional competition. They are also probably the quickest, typically scoring in well under 10 seconds, with plenty of time to also get prepared to start operator control.
I'd expect several others team to have made significant improvements from the regional season as well.

Thanks. One of our guys just put this video together.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=04WOql6JqQI

I know this is bragging but as a mentor I can't help but to be proud of the team.

[beemusicgeek]

1369, 1319, and 34 also seem to be high up there, can't wait to watch the live feed.

[Andy Baker]

Originally Posted by Squirrel Lord

Shhh!
Nobody knows we are in this division evidently, do not ruin it for us!

Nooo... no one knows that you have flame side panels, elevator lift, quick drive system.

I'm positive that this same lack of attention is taking place after being drafted second in Portland, and being alliance captains in San Diego and Las Vegas.

No one pays attention to a team who didn't score below 3 ringers in a match in SD, averaging 4.4.

Yep.. and no one knows that you won the Las Vegas regional, with the Poofs and Skunkworks and has the "spoiler D" up your sleeve.

oh... did I just say all of that?

A FIRST strategy geek since '98,
Andy B.

[lynca]

Originally Posted by Joe Johnson

#2158 AusTIN CANs were my heart pick for TX. They had some tough tough seeding matches and fell through the drafting cracks. This should not happen in Atlanta. I suppose that they will not have lightening strike twice so they should seed okay but if they don't, hopefully some scout will see their potential. This is a heck of a team with a heck of a robot. Well serving of their Rookie All Star Award. Again, if they are available late in the draft give them a hard look before passing them by.

Thanks Joe, we encourage Galileo teams to watch a few of 2158's matches 30, 42, 46 at the Lone Star Regional,
hopefully we won't fall through the drafting cracks at Championship,

[Jon Jack]

Originally Posted by Joe Johnson

They were Regional Chairmans from FL in 2006...[/size]

Actually they won Regional Chairmans at the Las Vegas regional in 2006.

[ScoutingNerd175]

Don't count out 1902 or 1126. Both of these teams are proven both this year and last. And the match algorithm will be to their advantage as they are higher numbered teams.

[DBiehl]

I think that Technokats have more than a slight chance in the finals of galileo myself. They had a great run in St. Louis and were great during competition at Boilermaker. If it wasn't for a few little mistakes (such as their autonomous that flipped their robot during qualifications), they would've made a great run Saturday afternoon at Boilermaker. I expect them to be putting up scores with the best of them this weekend.