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Unread 31-01-2008, 10:18
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Your game predictions - Car Nack Style

Here are mine...what are your predictions.



*85%+ of teams who build hurdlers will hurdle 1 or less times on average per match.

*The average winning match score will be below 30

*There will be an International team on Einstein this year

*Many teams who hurdle will see the rest of the match from their backs

* Less than 10% of the teams attempting to use the IR board will actually be successful of controlling their robot during competition.

*teams that have balls on top of the overpass at the end of the match will win 80%+ of the time.
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Unread 31-01-2008, 10:23
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Re: Your game predictions - Car Nack Style

Very interesting Greg.

i'll plop in a few of mine as well.

About 5% of the bots at each regional will do everything.

Out of that 5% 2 will be paired up and win 85% of the regionals.

There will be a rookie team on Einstein.

The game play from week 1 and 2 will be drastically changed from later weeks.
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Unread 31-01-2008, 10:27
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Re: Your game predictions - Car Nack Style

If a team wins auto by 20 points or more it will be to much to over come.
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Unread 31-01-2008, 11:10
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Re: Your game predictions - Car Nack Style

Quote:
Originally Posted by Alex Cormier View Post
The game play from week 1 and 2 will be drastically changed from later weeks.
Isn't it always like that?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alex Cormier
There will be a rookie team on Einstein.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Greg Needel
There will be an International team on Einstein this year
I believe both of these will happen.

Now for some predictions,
  • At least one team will knock down both of their trackballs and make it across 4 lines in hybrid mode
  • Defensive play will be apart of the winning alliance at each regional and championships
  • High score for the year, not including IRI, will be over 125 points
We really should keep tabs on these predictions and see who got theirs right at the end of the year.
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Unread 31-01-2008, 11:17
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Re: Your game predictions - Car Nack Style

Autonomous scores over 12 will be VERY rare. (For the whole alliance)

75% (at least) of the time, the team winning autonomous will win the match.

No more than 15 robots worldwide will average 2 or more hurdles per match.

The track will jam be constantly jammed.
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Last edited by Ian Curtis : 31-01-2008 at 13:08. Reason: clarified
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Unread 31-01-2008, 11:26
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Re: Your game predictions - Car Nack Style

At least once every regional there will be an "accidental" ramming incident where a robot is slammed into while hurdling. Severly damaging that robot.

In 25% of the matches there will be a robot or more flipping over due too cornering too fast with the trackball

Defensive strategies will become more prevalent as the season progresses.
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Unread 31-01-2008, 11:29
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Re: Your game predictions - Car Nack Style

Quote:
Originally Posted by iCurtis View Post
Autonomous scores over 12 will be VERY rare.
Per team, or per alliance? I predict that, in light of the No Robot Left Behind challenge that many teams are taking on, 20 will be a reasonably common hybrid score for an alliance. A non-trivial number of teams should be scoring 16 by themselves.

My prediction: The most commonly heard phrase in the stands at regionals, particularly in the early weeks, but persisting up until Einstein, is "Wow, there sure is a lot of defense in this game."
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Unread 31-01-2008, 11:55
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Re: Your game predictions - Car Nack Style

Quote:
Originally Posted by jgannon View Post
Per team, or per alliance? I predict that, in light of the No Robot Left Behind challenge that many teams are taking on, 20 will be a reasonably common hybrid score for an alliance. A non-trivial number of teams should be scoring 16 by themselves.

My prediction: The most commonly heard phrase in the stands at regionals, particularly in the early weeks, but persisting up until Einstein, is "Wow, there sure is a lot of defense in this game."
replace the word defense with violence.
People who want defense will find ways to get defense into the game and desperation will led people to make unfortunate decisions.
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Unread 31-01-2008, 12:37
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Re: Your game predictions - Car Nack Style

1: A Hybrid score of 28 points or more will actually be fairly common. Most teams will be able to move forward 30 feet (12pts), one team will be able to remove a trackball (8pts), at least two teams will be able to move forward, turn left and move forward again (8pts). A good hybrid bot, at least one per regional, will be able to cross two finish lines, a lane marker and remove at least one trackball (24 points).

2: Trackball control will either win for offense if you can control your own trackball or win for defense if you can keep your opponents trackball away from them.

3: Being able to place two trackballs at the end will make or break most matches. If defense can keep the trackballs away or descore a placed trackball, the defense will win.

4: Chipping away two points at a time doing laps while occasionally bumping your opponents trackball in a clockwise direction and occasionally bumping yours over your finish line will be valuable.
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Unread 31-01-2008, 13:05
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Re: Your game predictions - Car Nack Style

1> The alliance that wins hybrid will win the match 85% of the time

2> One of the winners on Einstien will have a higher number than any previous winner on Einstien.

3> The best hurdlers will average just over 1 hurdle per match.

4> Trackballs on the overpass at the end of the match will be rare ... under 10% of the possible number.

5> The winning alliance on Einstien will have 1 excellent hurdler and 2 very good, very fast herders

6> At the regionals at least 20% of the teams will have robots that go too fast to control properly.

7> 50% of the matches will see at least 1 robot overturned.
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Unread 31-01-2008, 13:17
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Re: Your game predictions - Car Nack Style

My favorite thread every year!! My first time to actually post on it though.

-- More then 50 points a match for an alliance will be a HIGH score, maybe one or two of these each regional.
-- Most points scored in a match will be 75-80.
-- 8 seeded team will beat a 1 seeded team through strategy
-- If a robot can hurdle 3+ times in one match, they are amazing. Less then 5% of robots can do that consistently
-- A robot will tip every other match
-- Many teams wont beable to control their robots nad there will be a few cards
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Unread 31-01-2008, 13:37
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Re: Your game predictions - Car Nack Style

At least once during the regular season, a robot will accidentally fire a trackball into the stands. The crowd will respond by using it as a beachball. The footage will appear in most highlight reels.

At least once during each regional, a robot will turn too early and recross its own finish line.
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Unread 31-01-2008, 13:40
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Re: Your game predictions - Car Nack Style

Quote:
Originally Posted by vhcook View Post
At least once during the regular season, a robot will accidentally fire a trackball into the stands. The crowd will respond by using it as a beachball. The footage will appear in most highlight reels.

At least once during each regional, a robot will turn too early and recross its own finish line.
In 2002 there was this trackball sized ball being gleefully (and strangely competitively) bounced around the stands during the closing ceremonies. One of our mentors snagged it and tried to run away with it and she got jumped by three kids from another team who took it away from her.
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Unread 31-01-2008, 14:50
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Re: Your game predictions - Car Nack Style

--> No less than 25% of robot manipulators will be damaged beyond repair due to falling trackballs

--> There will be an average of 2 flags per match that need to be replaced due to trackball damage or the fact that the flag is taller than the bottom of the trackball on the overpass in hybrid mode

--> 40% of the bots that successfully knock off a ball in hybrid mode will have knocked off their opponents' ball instead of their own

--> The best drive train by the end of the championships will have been deemed any drive train that utilises a differential

--> There will be rampant IR interference at the championships as more teams learn how to better use their 4 hybrid commands

--> Placement of a trackball on the overpass at the end of a match this year is synonymous with ramping last year -- it's an end-game decision, not a goal

--> There will be an average of at least 20 matches per regional where no trackballs are knocked off of the goals for the entirety of hybrid mode, regardless of how many attempts are made

--> There will be an average of at least 1 match per regional where no trackball leaves the overpass for the entirety of the match due to launcher-only or racing-only style robots, either due to lack of design or damage to said would-be manipulators
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Unread 31-01-2008, 13:39
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Re: Your game predictions - Car Nack Style

Quote:
Originally Posted by Daniel_LaFleur View Post
One of the winners on Einstien will have a higher number than any previous winner on Einstien.
It is worth noting that this has happened every year since 2003.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ricksta121 View Post
Defense will be almost non-existant in the first week.
Quite the contrary... defense will be most prevalent in the first week, as teams discover that their manipulators don't work. This game will look a lot like 2005 in a lot of ways for many teams.
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Last edited by jgannon : 31-01-2008 at 13:41.
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