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Unread 10-04-2008, 23:17
Kims Robot's Avatar Unsung FIRST Hero
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Highest Seed Statistics?

I tried to see if I saw these stats in any other threads, but didnt see them, so I put them together (Im sure someone else has but again I couldnt find them).

So I was reading the threads about intentionally loosing matches and trying to think about the importance of Rank this year and how I had seen regionals play out. So my quick pass seemed to reveal the following stats for the winning alliances:
1st Alliance Won: 22 Regionals - 54%
2nd Alliance Won: 8 Regionals - 20%
3rd Alliance Won: 4 Regionals - 10%
4th Alliance Won: 2 Regionals - 5%
5th Alliance Won: 0 Regionals
6th Alliance Won: 1 Regional - 2%
7th Alliance Won: 2 Regionals - 5%
8th Alliance Won: 2 Regionals - 5%
(yes I know my rounding leaves me off 1%)

So more than half the time the First seed won the Regional. Nearly three quarters of the time the First or Second seeds won the Regional. If you look at the alliance selections, I would bet that most all the teams picked a hurdler as their first selection.

Is this game so heavily offense weighted in the regionals that its nearly impossible for the lower alliances to form strong enough alliances to be two strong robots? It would seem so by the numbers.

I realize that obviously there are ways and strategies for these lower 4 seed teams to beat the higher teams, we saw it in 5 regionals. But 5 out of 41 makes me think that its not just strategy, that its really hard to beat two strong offensive robots.

Im looking forward to championships where perhaps the fields will be deep enough that we will see the higher seeds de-seated more often (yeah they deserve to be there, but dont you always have the urge to root for the underdog??).

I was wondering if anyone else examined this and if anyone had comparisons for past years... is this game really TOO offense based? or is it something else? or is this typical?
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