For the past few years before the Super Bowl, my brother and I identify about 15-21 even money prop bets. We then take turns picking the outcome of each bet (while the other takes the opposite bet), and the winner is the one with the most correct outcomes.
Just for fun (or year long bragging rights), I’m going to post a bunch of true / false statements. Feel free to answer each one, we’ll see who does the best. I’ll “lock” the betting on Wednesday after load in, before match schedules are released.
If you have a suggestion for a bet, also post it. Please try to keep the outcome about even odds, and verifiable through posted numbers after the event.
The winning alliance of Einstein will be the Blue Alliance.
The winning alliance on Newton will have to play three or more finals matches.
The sum of the team numbers on the runner up alliance of Curie will be less than 2500.
The average elimination match score of Galileo will be 140.0 or more.
The average losing elimination match score of Archimedes will be 130.0 or more.
There will be a score of 300 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event.
There will be a losing score of 180 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event.
There will be a combined unpenalized score of 400 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event.
There will be an elimination alliance formed where the sum of the team numbers will be 7500 or more.
The highest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 32 or more.
The lowest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 25 or less.
After Qualifications, Newton will have a team with an OPR of 91.0 or more.
After Qualifications, Curie will have a team with a CCWM of 85.0 or more.
After Qualifications, Archimedes will not have a team with an OPR of -5.0 or less.
After Qualifications, Galileo will not have a team with a CCWM of -30 or less.
The red alliance will win the first qualification match on Newton.
The blue alliance will win the first qualification match on Curie.
The red alliance will win the last qualification match on Archimedes.
The blue alliance will win the last qualification match on Galileo.
There will be an 8 seed upsetting a 1 seed during eliminations.
A non #1 seed (from their division) will win Einstein.
Tiebreaker #1: Guess the sum of the points scored on Einstein. Closest (higher or lower than actual) will win.
Tiebreaker #2: Guess the sum of the team numbers of the winning alliance on Einstein. Closest (higher or lower than actual) will win.
The winning alliance of Einstein will be the Blue Alliance. False
2. The winning alliance on Newton will have to play three or more finals matches. Waiting until divisions
3. The sum of the team numbers on the runner up alliance of Curie will be less than 2500. waiting
4. The average elimination match score of Galileo will be 140.0 or more. Waiting
5. The average losing elimination match score of Archimedes will be 130.0 or more. Waiting
6. There will be a score of 300 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. False
7. There will be a losing score of 180 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. True
8. There will be a combined unpenalized score of 400 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. True
9. There will be an elimination alliance formed where the sum of the team numbers will be 7500 or more. Waiting
10. The highest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 32 or more. Waiting
11. The lowest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 25 or less. Waiting
12. After Qualifications, Newton will have a team with an OPR of 91.0 or more. Waiting
13. After Qualifications, Curie will have a team with a CCWM of 85.0 or more. Waiting
14. After Qualifications, Archimedes will not have a team with an OPR of -5.0 or less. Waiting
15. After Qualifications, Galileo will not have a team with a CCWM of -30 or less. Waiting
16. The red alliance will win the first qualification match on Newton. Waiting
17. The blue alliance will win the first qualification match on Curie. Waiting
18. The red alliance will win the last qualification match on Archimedes. Waiting
19. The blue alliance will win the last qualification match on Galileo. Waiting
20. There will be an 8 seed upsetting a 1 seed during eliminations. True
21. A non #1 seed (from their division) will win Einstein. False
The winning alliance of Einstein will be the Blue Alliance.
True
The winning alliance on Newton will have to play three or more finals matches.
Waiting for divisions to be announced
The sum of the team numbers on the runner up alliance of Curie will be less than 2500.
Waiting for divisions to be announced
The average elimination match score of Galileo will be 140.0 or more.
Waiting for divisions to be announced
The average losing elimination match score of Archimedes will be 130.0 or more.
Waiting for divisions to be announced
There will be a score of 300 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event.
False
There will be a losing score of 180 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event.
False
There will be a combined unpenalized score of 400 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event.
False
There will be an elimination alliance formed where the sum of the team numbers will be 7500 or more.
Waiting for divisions to be announced
The highest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 32 or more.
Waiting for divisions to be announced
The lowest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 25 or less.
True
After Qualifications, Newton will have a team with an OPR of 91.0 or more.
Waiting for divisions to be announced
After Qualifications, Curie will have a team with a CCWM of 85.0 or more.
Waiting for divisions to be announced
After Qualifications, Archimedes will not have a team with an OPR of -5.0 or less.
Waiting for divisions to be announced
After Qualifications, Galileo will not have a team with a CCWM of -30 or less.
Waiting for divisions to be announced
The red alliance will win the first qualification match on Newton.
True
The blue alliance will win the first qualification match on Curie.
True
The red alliance will win the last qualification match on Archimedes.
True
The blue alliance will win the last qualification match on Galileo.
True
There will be an 8 seed upsetting a 1 seed during eliminations.
False
A non #1 seed (from their division) will win Einstein.
True
Tiebreaker #1: Guess the sum of the points scored on Einstein. Closest (higher or lower than actual) will win.
2599
Tiebreaker #2: Guess the sum of the team numbers of the winning alliance on Einstein. Closest (higher or lower than actual) will win.
Waiting for divisions to be announced
This is going to be interesting:D
Edited since I realized we get to see divisions first.
The winning alliance of Einstein will be the Blue Alliance. FALSE
The winning alliance on Newton will have to play three or more finals matches. FALSE
The sum of the team numbers on the runner up alliance of Curie will be less than 2500. FALSE
The average elimination match score of Galileo will be 140.0 or more. TRUE
The average losing elimination match score of Archimedes will be 130.0 or more. FALSE
There will be a score of 300 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. TRUE
There will be a losing score of 180 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. TRUE
There will be a combined unpenalized score of 400 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. TRUE
There will be an elimination alliance formed where the sum of the team numbers will be 7500 or more. FALSE
The highest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 32 or more. TRUE
The lowest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 25 or less. FALSE
After Qualifications, Newton will have a team with an OPR of 91.0 or more. TRUE
After Qualifications, Curie will have a team with a CCWM of 85.0 or more. TRUE
After Qualifications, Archimedes will not have a team with an OPR of -5.0 or less. FALSE
After Qualifications, Galileo will not have a team with a CCWM of -30 or less. TRUE
The red alliance will win the first qualification match on Newton. TRUE
The blue alliance will win the first qualification match on Curie. FALSE
The red alliance will win the last qualification match on Archimedes. FALSE
The blue alliance will win the last qualification match on Galileo. FALSE
There will be an 8 seed upsetting a 1 seed during eliminations. FALSE
A non #1 seed (from their division) will win Einstein. TRUE
Tiebreaker #1: Guess the sum of the points scored on Einstein. Closest (higher or lower than actual) will win. 2,337
Tiebreaker #2: Guess the sum of the team numbers of the winning alliance on Einstein. Closest (higher or lower than actual) will win. 1,529
I’m not sure why waiting for divisions will help that much. I find it unlikely that FIRST will sort teams by OPR
The winning alliance of Einstein will be the Blue Alliance. False
The winning alliance on Newton will have to play three or more finals matches. False
The sum of the team numbers on the runner up alliance of Curie will be less than 2500. True
The average elimination match score of Galileo will be 140.0 or more. True
The average losing elimination match score of Archimedes will be 130.0 or more. False
There will be a score of 300 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. False
There will be a losing score of 180 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. True
There will be a combined unpenalized score of 400 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. True
There will be an elimination alliance formed where the sum of the team numbers will be 7500 or more. True
The highest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 32 or more. False
The lowest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 25 or less. False
After Qualifications, Newton will have a team with an OPR of 91.0 or more. True
After Qualifications, Curie will have a team with a CCWM of 85.0 or more. False
After Qualifications, Archimedes will not have a team with an OPR of -5.0 or less. True
After Qualifications, Galileo will not have a team with a CCWM of -30 or less. True
The red alliance will win the first qualification match on Newton. False
The blue alliance will win the first qualification match on Curie. True
The red alliance will win the last qualification match on Archimedes. False
The blue alliance will win the last qualification match on Galileo. True
There will be an 8 seed upsetting a 1 seed during eliminations. False
A non #1 seed (from their division) will win Einstein. True
Tiebreaker #1: Guess the sum of the points scored on Einstein. Closest (higher or lower than actual) will win. 2400
Tiebreaker #2: Guess the sum of the team numbers of the winning alliance on Einstein. Closest (higher or lower than actual) will win. 2124
The winning alliance of Einstein will be the Blue Alliance. True
The winning alliance on Newton will have to play three or more finals matches. False
The sum of the team numbers on the runner up alliance of Curie will be less than 2500. False
The average elimination match score of Galileo will be 140.0 or more. True
The average losing elimination match score of Archimedes will be 130.0 or more. True
There will be a score of 300 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. False
There will be a losing score of 180 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. True
There will be a combined unpenalized score of 400 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. True
There will be an elimination alliance formed where the sum of the team numbers will be 7500 or more. True
The highest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 32 or more. False
The lowest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 25 or less. True
After Qualifications, Newton will have a team with an OPR of 91.0 or more. True
After Qualifications, Curie will have a team with a CCWM of 85.0 or more. False
After Qualifications, Archimedes will not have a team with an OPR of -5.0 or less. True
After Qualifications, Galileo will not have a team with a CCWM of -30 or less. True
The red alliance will win the first qualification match on Newton. True
The blue alliance will win the first qualification match on Curie. False
The red alliance will win the last qualification match on Archimedes. False
The blue alliance will win the last qualification match on Galileo. True
There will be an 8 seed upsetting a 1 seed during eliminations. True
A non #1 seed (from their division) will win Einstein. True
Tiebreaker #1: Guess the sum of the points scored on Einstein. Closest (higher or lower than actual) will win. 2000
Tiebreaker #2: Guess the sum of the team numbers of the winning alliance on Einstein. Closest (higher or lower than actual) will win. 5040
The winning alliance of Einstein will be the Blue Alliance. Yes
The winning alliance on Newton will have to play three or more finals matches. No
The sum of the team numbers on the runner up alliance of Curie will be less than 2500. Wait until divisions
The average elimination match score of Galileo will be 140.0 or more. Wait until divisions
The average losing elimination match score of Archimedes will be 130.0 or more. Wait until divisions
There will be a score of 300 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. No
There will be a losing score of 180 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. No
There will be a combined unpenalized score of 400 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. No
There will be an elimination alliance formed where the sum of the team numbers will be 7500 or more. Yes
The highest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 32 or more. Yes
The lowest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 25 or less. No
After Qualifications, Newton will have a team with an OPR of 91.0 or more. Wait until Divisions
After Qualifications, Curie will have a team with a CCWM of 85.0 or more. Wait until divisions
After Qualifications, Archimedes will not have a team with an OPR of -5.0 or less. Wait until divisions
After Qualifications, Galileo will not have a team with a CCWM of -30 or less. Wait until Divisions
The red alliance will win the first qualification match on Newton.No
The blue alliance will win the first qualification match on Curie. Yes
The red alliance will win the last qualification match on Archimedes. Yes
The blue alliance will win the last qualification match on Galileo. No
There will be an 8 seed upsetting a 1 seed during eliminations. No
A non #1 seed (from their division) will win Einstein. No
Tiebreaker #1: Guess the sum of the points scored on Einstein. Closest (higher or lower than actual) will win. 1876
Tiebreaker #2: Guess the sum of the team numbers of the winning alliance on Einstein. Closest (higher or lower than actual) will win. 1058
The winning alliance of Einstein will be the Blue Alliance. False
2. The winning alliance on Newton will have to play three or more finals matches. False
3. The sum of the team numbers on the runner up alliance of Curie will be less than 2500. True
4. The average elimination match score of Galileo will be 140.0 or more. True
5. The average losing elimination match score of Archimedes will be 130.0 or more. True
6. There will be a score of 300 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. True
7. There will be a losing score of 180 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. True
8. There will be a combined unpenalized score of 400 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. True
9. There will be an elimination alliance formed where the sum of the team numbers will be 7500 or more. True
10. The highest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 32 or more. False
11. The lowest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 25 or less. False
12. After Qualifications, Newton will have a team with an OPR of 91.0 or more. True
13. After Qualifications, Curie will have a team with a CCWM of 85.0 or more. False
14. After Qualifications, Archimedes will not have a team with an OPR of -5.0 or less. True
15. After Qualifications, Galileo will not have a team with a CCWM of -30 or less. **False **
16. The red alliance will win the first qualification match on Newton.False
17. The blue alliance will win the first qualification match on Curie. True
18. The red alliance will win the last qualification match on Archimedes. False
19. The blue alliance will win the last qualification match on Galileo. True
20. There will be an 8 seed upsetting a 1 seed during eliminations. True
21. A non #1 seed (from their division) will win Einstein. False
The winning alliance of Einstein will be the Blue Alliance. NO
The winning alliance on Newton will have to play three or more finals matches. NO
The sum of the team numbers on the runner up alliance of Curie will be less than 2500. NO
The average elimination match score of Galileo will be 140.0 or more. NO
The average losing elimination match score of Archimedes will be 130.0 or more. NO
There will be a score of 300 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. YES
There will be a losing score of 180 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. YES
There will be a combined unpenalized score of 400 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. NO
There will be an elimination alliance formed where the sum of the team numbers will be 7500 or more. Yes
The highest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 32 or more. YES
The lowest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 25 or less. NO
After Qualifications, Newton will have a team with an OPR of 91.0 or more. NO
After Qualifications, Curie will have a team with a CCWM of 85.0 or more. NO
After Qualifications, Archimedes will not have a team with an OPR of -5.0 or less. NO
After Qualifications, Galileo will not have a team with a CCWM of -30 or less. NO
The red alliance will win the first qualification match on Newton.NO
The blue alliance will win the first qualification match on Curie. YES
The red alliance will win the last qualification match on Archimedes. NO
The blue alliance will win the last qualification match on Galileo. NO
There will be an 8 seed upsetting a 1 seed during eliminations. NO
A non #1 seed (from their division) will win Einstein. YES
Tiebreaker #1: Guess the sum of the points scored on Einstein. Closest (higher or lower than actual) will win. 2321
Tiebreaker #2: Guess the sum of the team numbers of the winning alliance on Einstein. Closest (higher or lower than actual) will win. 1126
Now that divisions are out, here’s my revised bets.
The winning alliance of Einstein will be the Blue Alliance.
True
The winning alliance on Newton will have to play three or more finals matches.
False
The sum of the team numbers on the runner up alliance of Curie will be less than 2500.
False
The average elimination match score of Galileo will be 140.0 or more.
True
The average losing elimination match score of Archimedes will be 130.0 or more.
True
There will be a score of 300 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event.
False
There will be a losing score of 180 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event.
False
There will be a combined unpenalized score of 400 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event.
False
There will be an elimination alliance formed where the sum of the team numbers will be 7500 or more.
True
The highest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 32 or more.
True
The lowest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 25 or less.
False
After Qualifications, Newton will have a team with an OPR of 91.0 or more.
True
After Qualifications, Curie will have a team with a CCWM of 85.0 or more.
True
After Qualifications, Archimedes will not have a team with an OPR of -5.0 or less.
True
After Qualifications, Galileo will not have a team with a CCWM of -30 or less.
True
The red alliance will win the first qualification match on Newton.
True
The blue alliance will win the first qualification match on Curie.
True
The red alliance will win the last qualification match on Archimedes.
True
The blue alliance will win the last qualification match on Galileo.
True
There will be an 8 seed upsetting a 1 seed during eliminations.
False
A non 1 seed (from their division) will win Einstein.
True
Tiebreaker #1: Guess the sum of the points scored on Einstein. Closest (higher or lower than actual) will win.
2499
Tiebreaker #2: Guess the sum of the team numbers of the winning alliance on Einstein. Closest (higher or lower than actual) will win.
2001
The winning alliance of Einstein will be the Blue Alliance. False
The winning alliance on Newton will have to play three or more finals matches. False
The sum of the team numbers on the runner up alliance of Curie will be less than 2500. True
The average elimination match score of Galileo will be 140.0 or more. False
The average losing elimination match score of Archimedes will be 130.0 or more. True
There will be a score of 300 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event.False
There will be a losing score of 180 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. True
There will be a combined unpenalized score of 400 or more during some qualification match at the Championship Event. True
There will be an elimination alliance formed where the sum of the team numbers will be 7500 or more. True
The highest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 32 or more. True
The lowest average OPR of any Championship Event division will be 25 or less. False
After Qualifications, Newton will have a team with an OPR of 91.0 or more. False
After Qualifications, Curie will have a team with a CCWM of 85.0 or more. True
After Qualifications, Archimedes will not have a team with an OPR of -5.0 or less. False
After Qualifications, Galileo will not have a team with a CCWM of -30 or less. True
The red alliance will win the first qualification match on Newton. True
The blue alliance will win the first qualification match on Curie. True
The red alliance will win the last qualification match on Archimedes. False
The blue alliance will win the last qualification match on Galileo. False
There will be an 8 seed upsetting a 1 seed during eliminations. True
A non #1 seed (from their division) will win Einstein. True
Tiebreaker #1: Guess the sum of the points scored on Einstein. Closest (higher or lower than actual) will win. 2230
Tiebreaker #2: Guess the sum of the team numbers of the winning alliance on Einstein. Closest (higher or lower than actual) will win. 2566
In response to below, yes, bets are locked because of the preliminary match schedule. I posted Wednesday because I didn’t expect them to release any sort of match schedule, but since this preliminary match schedule has a good chance of being the actual match schedule, bets are locked. I wanted people to make bets before they saw which alliances were formed to make guessing outcomes more difficult.
You can still post your bets, and if they end up changing the schedule I’ll take them. As things are right now, betting is closed.
I’ve already copied the bets to a spreadsheet, also if there is any editing of bets you can see when the post is edited.
Why don’t we have until Wednesday? The match schedule is still preliminary, and those who already submitted still have the chance to change their answers.
