2017 IRI Bracket Challenge

Now that we have our list of confirmed teams, I would like to make the annual IRI prediction and speculation a bit more interesting with a competition, featuring fabulous prizes.

OBJECTIVE:
Players compete to construct a bracket that matches the results of the 2017 Indiana Robotics Invitational as closely as possible with respect to alliance selection, playoff results, and teamups.

PRIZES:
The winner will receive a $25 Amazon gift card and second place will receive a $10 Amazon gift card, courtesy of yours truly.

SUBMISSION:

[LIST="1’]
[li]To submit, post a bracket on this thread with the following format:[/li]


1) 2056 118 33 4587 W
2) 1114 195 225 1405 F
3) 3620 67 3683 5254 SF
4) 1619 1241 133 868 SF
5) 217 2451 494 3641 QF
6) 2481 330 3824 1640 QF
7) 45 179 1806 233 QF
8) 2771 16 1024 1023 QF

Note: I will be using automated scoring and will only accept brackets with EXACTLY this format.

[li]Only one submission will be considered per player. If a player makes multiple submissions, only the most recent will be considered. [/li]
[li]Submissions must be posted by 11:59 pm Eastern time (not CD time) on July 7th to be considered and may not be edited after the deadline.[/li][/LIST]

SCORING:
All players will be ranked by their submissions. The first sort is total score, from greatest to fewest. Ties will be broken in favor of the player who submitted their bracket first. The player ranked #1 is the Winner. This scoring system is designed to reward correct predictions by penalizing both underestimation and overestimation of a team’s performance.

Scores for each player are calculated as the sum of three components, representing the quality of their submitted bracket’s predictions for playoff performance, alliance selection, and teamups:

[ul]

[li]Playoff performance: The sum, for each team in the submitted bracket, of min{ predicted_playoff_points, actual playoff performance district points }, where: [/li] predicted_playoff_points = predicted district points as if that team played in all playoff matches = 10 * (number of playoff rounds predicted to be won by the alliance)

[li]Alliance selection: The sum, for each team in the submitted bracket, of min{ predicted alliance selection district points, actual alliance selection points}. Note: third round picks receive no alliance selection points, and the second round points are awarded in the reverse order that they are given at district events, to account for the reversed second round.[/li]
[li]Teamups: The sum, for each teamup (i.e. pair of teams playing on the same playoff alliance) predicted in the submitted bracket:[/li]+0 if the teamup does not occur in an actual playoff alliance
+5 if the teamup does occur in an actual playoff alliance but the round (captain/first/second/third pick) in which one or both teams are selected is not correctly predicted
+10 if the teamup does occur in an actual playoff alliance and the round in which both teams are selected is correctly predicted
[/ul]

Where min{ a, b } denotes the minimum of a and b.

Disclaimer: my decision regarding the interpretation of any of these rules is final. I reserve the right to modify the rules and scoring criteria to provide clarification.

Ooh, looks like fun. Time to do some OP strats.


1) 2056 118 225 1806 W
2) 195 125 503 1477 SF
3) 33 2767 217 1885 F
4) 1114 2481 1511 4587 QF
5) 2122 67 3452 1024 SF
6) 2337 910 2137 2590 QF
7) 1619 4967 2468 2791 QF
8) 469 2451 2168 1640 QF

1) 33 1640 1619 1806 F
2) 118 195 910 503 SF
3) 2481 1732 2122 2791 QF
4) 2056 1114 5406 4039 SF
5) 2451 469 4967 191 QF
6) 225 125 1477 51 W
7) 2767 4143 234 2169 QF
8) 67 1746 2337 1511 QF


1) 118 195 365 829 W
2) 2056 2337 217 3847 SF
3) 2122 2767 384 4967 F
4) 33 125 2168 2137 SF
5) 1987 1114 1885 1024 QF
6) 2468 1619 469 48 QF
7) 2481 67 1732 503 QF
8) 1477 1746 910 4587 QF

No 1676, a FoC team?! Bold.

I’m using a more precise method to generate my list. Let’s see how it stacks up.


1) 4587 1080 4265 2590 QF
2) 1477 3847 33 67 F
3) 1710 2169 1114 1806 SF
4) 2481 2832 5842 3452 W
5) 503 1511 4188 3824 QF
6) 1885 2168 1018 2194 QF
7) 4967 2337 2468 125 QF
8) 51 2056 118 195 SF 

Seems legit

Uh, … ok.:confused: Thanks for sharing your scouting data.

Having run the Championship prop bets contest, I find it amazing how varied the entries are, even with SPECIFIC instructions on how to enter.

Even more amazing, the 1st and 2nd entries don’t follow your specific format. ::ouch::

1) 2056 118 1885 4265 SF
2) 195 2767 2168 1676 QF
3) 2122 1619 217 2137 F
4) 1114 2451 340 2791 W
5) 2481 4967 1732 3824 QF
6) 2337 33 469 234 QF
7) 225 67 910 1640 SF
8) 2590 125 4039 1746 QF

Oops, thanks for pointing that out, I can’t believe I didn’t notice :ahh:

My predictions may have been silly, but the alliances present on them were not.


1) 118 195 5842 234 SF
2) 125 2056 1885 1676 W
3) 1114 2767 33 4188 SF
4) 2122 1619 5406 340 F
5) 225 2590 469 2791 QF
6) 2481 2451 1746 2168 QF
7) 2337 1732 910 1987 QF
8) 4967 217 67 3452 QF


1) 1114 2056 340 2791 W
2) 2451 118 1885 4265 F
3) 33 2767 3452 1640 SF
4) 2337 910 1477 1806 SF
5) 225 67 2169 217 QF
6) 125  1018 4039 1746 QF
7) 195 469 1732 2137 QF
8) 1619 1024 2122 1710 QF

Shots fired.

Alright. Time to pray to RNGesus. None of this looks remotely likely.

 
1) 191 234 2614 107 QF
2) 217 1080 4206 2337 QF
3) 1477 4188 5842 1114 QF
4) 4272 2169 2168 2832 QF
5) 4039 67 118 3847 F
6) 2481 2767 4143 503 W
7) 3478 1024 1676 2590 SF
8) 1806 195 225 1720 SF

My goodness, that #8 alliance is insane.

Hi Brian!


1) 2056 2767 48 2590 W
2) 118 384 365 910 F
3) 1619 1511 4039 2337 QF
4) 33 2122 1676 1732 SF
5) 2481 1885 67 2451 QF
6) 2168 469 4188 1746 SF
7) 1114 195 2137 3478 QF
8) 217 125 2614 3452 QF

Always enjoy trying these.


1) 2056 118 1477 384 W
2) 195 33 2791 3824 SF
3) 1114 2767 1640 340 QF
4) 1619 2481 1885 503 SF
5) 469 2122 217 4188 QF
6) 225 67 910 5406 F
7) 125 2451 4967 1732 QF
8) 1024 2337 2169 4039 QF

Eight quarterfinalists? If the giant meteor hits before we play the second quarterfinal matches, I don’t think anyone’s going to be around to laud your foresight.


1) 195 2056 1619 1640 W
2) 118 2767 910 1511 F
3) 2122 125 217 2468 SF
4) 4967 33 503 4143 QF
5) 1114 67 1477 469 SF
6) 2337 5406 1676 1024 QF
7) 2451 67 2169 1806 QF
8) 2481 225 2168 2791 QF