That looks like what I would expect a polycarb failure to look like. As you said, one or more cracks that expanded and linked up until it split. But I wouldn’t call that shattering - it just split into two pieces. I can believe the forces it was under… In 2013 we had a thick aluminum bellypan supported by 1" angle, and when we fell from the top of the pyramid it would bulge and bend like it was paper. Remove the battery and sit there with a mallet for 10 minutes to get it back where it’s supposed to be and we were good… I can only imagine how bad it would have been with polycarb. On the plus side, it acted as a cushion to help protect the battery from those big falls 
The only time I’ve seen polycarb shatter was when additional chemicals were applied. Specifically Locktite. It works on a chemical level to weaken polycarb, and you’ll see spiderweb cracks start to appear radiating out from the hole where it was used. Overtighten or give it a decent impact at that point and it’s done.