California District Rankings 2023

Since California is somehow still not in districts, here are some hypothetical district points and their rankings, like last year.

Methodology:

  • I determined a team’s first two official events of 2023 (or only event, if they didn’t attend more than one) using TBA’s team/{team_key}/events/{year}
  • I determined district points for those events using TBA’s /event/{event_key}/district_points which calculates district points for all events, including Regionals
  • If a team only attended one event, their score was doubled from their first event.
  • I did not make any effort to determine teams’ “home events.” Any Regional counted, even if it was out of California, if it was a team’s first or second event.
  • I added rookie bonuses in accordance with the 2023 game manual (10 points for 2023 rookies, 5 points for 2021 and 2022 rookies)
  • I didn’t factor in a hypothetical DCMP at all and assumed points would end after qualifying events, which isn’t realistic for a district model but may be realistic for a universal points system.
  • I also didn’t factor in automatic qualification based on certain awards. This is a points-only calculation.

Who would qualify?

  • If California hosted a District Championship, its capacity would be between 90 and 209. (I know this is a big range. I’d estimate it would be 100-120.)
  • California’s district would be allocated between 45 and 51 slots for the FIRST Championship, less than the 59 teams that qualified this year.
Math for who would qualify
District Teams DCMP Slots FIRST Championship Slots
FIN 56 32 57% 10 18%
FMA 127 67 53% 23 18%
PCH 95 50 53% 17 18%
FIM 479 160 33% 82 17%
FNC 76 40 53% 14 18%
FIT 174 80 46% 30 17%
ISR 58 45 78% 11 19%
NE 185 90 49% 32 17%
ONT 127 80 63% 23 18%
PNW 120 50 42% 22 18%
CHS 112 60 54% 19 17%
California 270
Min 56 32 33% 10 17%
Max 479 160 78% 82 19%
Avg 146 69 53% 26 18%

Without further ado, here are the full rankings:

CALIFORNIA DISTRICT POINT RANKINGS 2023
Rank Team Points Cmp Qualified 2023
1 frc254 146 Yes
2 frc1678 145 Yes
3 frc1323 141 Yes
4 frc4414 136 Yes
5 frc971 131 Yes
6 frc6036 129 Yes
7 frc1538 125 Yes
8 frc4415 117 Yes
9 frc2659 116 Yes
10 frc5940 116 Yes
11 frc7157 116 Yes
12 frc9084 113 Yes
13 frc8033 111 Yes
14 frc115 109 Yes
15 frc5199 109 Yes
16 frc604 108 Yes
17 frc973 108 Yes
18 frc1868 106 Yes
19 frc3476 105 Yes
20 frc687 101 Yes
21 frc114 99 No
22 frc2551 95 Yes
23 frc1351 93 No
24 frc5419 92 Yes
25 frc581 91 No
26 frc972 91 Yes
27 frc2073 90 Yes
28 frc4738 90 Yes
29 frc6560 90 No
30 frc5851 89 No
31 frc1671 88 No
32 frc599 87 Yes
33 frc8016 86 Yes
34 frc4123 85 No
35 frc4255 85 No
36 frc696 84 Yes
37 frc3970 84 No
38 frc3512 82 No
39 frc294 79 No
40 frc668 78 Yes
41 frc4322 78 No
42 frc9038 78 No
43 frc192 77 No
44 frc4201 76 Yes
45 frc6220 76 No
46 frc6657 76 Yes
47 frc8768 76 No
48 frc2485 75 No
49 frc5026 75 No
50 frc5507 75 No
51 frc1138 73 Yes
52 frc1388 73 No
53 frc2637 73 Yes
54 frc3859 73 No
55 frc9143 72 No
56 frc9271 72 No
57 frc846 71 No
58 frc5274 70 Yes
59 frc5458 70 No
60 frc670 69 No
61 frc3647 69 Yes
62 frc6995 69 Yes
63 frc8793 69 No
64 frc3255 68 No
65 frc8048 68 No
66 frc649 67 Yes
67 frc4 66 Yes
68 frc100 66 Yes
69 frc1072 66 Yes
70 frc4419 65 Yes
71 frc5089 65 Yes
72 frc5104 65 No
73 frc9125 65 Yes
74 frc3256 64 Yes
75 frc1148 63 No
76 frc2813 63 No
77 frc2839 63 No
78 frc8 62 No
79 frc597 62 No
80 frc3473 62 No
81 frc3749 61 Yes
82 frc2102 60 No
83 frc2584 60 No
84 frc3128 60 No
85 frc7447 59 No
86 frc968 58 Yes
87 frc1160 58 No
88 frc4276 58 Yes
89 frc1622 57 Yes
90 frc4135 57 Yes
91 frc8404 57 No
92 frc3669 56 No
93 frc4014 56 No
94 frc5171 56 No
95 frc399 55 Yes
96 frc2429 55 Yes
97 frc8888 55 No
98 frc9202 54 No
99 frc5924 53 No
100 frc7137 53 No
101 frc766 52 No
102 frc4159 52 No
103 frc6962 52 No
104 frc2288 51 No
105 frc5817 51 No
106 frc7042 51 Yes
107 frc2854 50 No
108 frc6000 50 No
109 frc1452 49 No
110 frc2135 49 No
111 frc3189 49 Yes
112 frc4501 49 No
113 frc2489 48 Yes
114 frc1572 46 No
115 frc6658 45 No
116 frc2658 44 No
117 frc5012 44 No
118 frc5700 44 No
119 frc8852 44 No
120 frc1700 43 Yes
121 frc6695 43 No
122 frc7419 43 No
123 frc3501 42 No
124 frc4698 42 No
125 frc6904 42 No
126 frc1967 41 No
127 frc4160 40 No
128 frc9172 40 No
129 frc2710 39 No
130 frc841 38 No
131 frc6662 38 No
132 frc7323 38 No
133 frc3257 37 No
134 frc3952 37 No
135 frc701 36 No
136 frc1515 36 No
137 frc2204 36 No
138 frc5025 36 No
139 frc5857 36 No
140 frc6238 36 No
141 frc852 35 No
142 frc3328 35 No
143 frc9114 35 No
144 frc589 34 No
145 frc3341 34 Yes
146 frc6059 34 No
147 frc7245 34 No
148 frc7415 34 No
149 frc1197 33 No
150 frc2473 33 No
151 frc5285 33 No
152 frc8751 33 No
153 frc1266 31 No
154 frc4141 31 No
155 frc5137 31 No
156 frc8262 31 No
157 frc3863 30 No
158 frc5124 30 No
159 frc9006 30 No
160 frc840 29 Yes
161 frc6884 29 No
162 frc7230 29 No
163 frc8840 29 No
164 frc1422 28 No
165 frc4990 28 No
166 frc5474 28 No
167 frc6305 28 No
168 frc2543 27 No
169 frc702 26 Yes
170 frc980 26 No
171 frc1458 26 No
172 frc3295 26 No
173 frc4711 26 No
174 frc6665 26 No
175 frc6418 25 No
176 frc6814 25 No
177 frc207 24 No
178 frc1280 24 No
179 frc1836 24 Yes
180 frc3925 24 No
181 frc4470 24 No
182 frc5728 24 No
183 frc6619 24 No
184 frc9111 24 No
185 frc299 23 No
186 frc5027 23 No
187 frc5869 23 No
188 frc8533 23 No
189 frc606 22 No
190 frc751 22 No
191 frc981 22 No
192 frc1972 22 No
193 frc2404 22 No
194 frc5136 22 No
195 frc6060 22 No
196 frc6499 22 No
197 frc6918 22 No
198 frc6981 22 No
199 frc8521 22 No
200 frc691 21 No
201 frc7667 21 No
202 frc8870 21 No
203 frc8898 21 No
204 frc867 20 No
205 frc2141 20 No
206 frc2643 20 No
207 frc3408 20 No
208 frc4019 20 No
209 frc4619 20 No
210 frc4669 20 No
211 frc4765 20 No
212 frc4973 20 No
213 frc4984 20 No
214 frc5500 20 No
215 frc5835 20 No
216 frc6515 20 No
217 frc8091 20 No
218 frc1661 19 No
219 frc3045 19 No
220 frc5430 19 No
221 frc6822 19 No
222 frc7777 19 No
223 frc8006 19 No
224 frc253 18 No
225 frc3020 18 No
226 frc3704 18 No
227 frc4919 18 No
228 frc4964 18 No
229 frc6711 18 No
230 frc7185 18 No
231 frc7327 18 No
232 frc8119 18 No
233 frc2035 17 No
234 frc3759 17 No
235 frc8537 17 No
236 frc8600 17 No
237 frc8891 17 No
238 frc199 16 No
239 frc1159 16 No
240 frc1662 16 No
241 frc3482 16 No
242 frc3598 16 No
243 frc4171 16 No
244 frc4186 16 No
245 frc6072 16 No
246 frc6398 16 No
247 frc6885 16 No
248 frc7401 16 No
249 frc8045 16 No
250 frc3309 15 No
251 frc4079 15 No
252 frc2984 14 No
253 frc5805 14 No
254 frc6934 14 No
255 frc7528 14 No
256 frc2827 12 No
257 frc5678 12 No
258 frc8060 12 No
259 frc812 11 No
260 frc4904 11 No
261 frc7607 11 No
262 frc1759 10 No
263 frc2367 10 No
264 frc4643 10 No
265 frc4999 10 No
266 frc6764 10 No
267 frc3965 8 No
268 frc5669 8 No
269 frc7413 8 No
270 frc7686 8 No

Some other interesting buckets:

There are ~19 teams who would have been likely to qualify for the FIRST Championship based on district points but didn’t qualify this year. These teams are, largely, the case for universal points.

Teams who would have qualified
Rank Team Points
21 frc114 99
23 frc1351 93
25 frc581 91
29 frc6560 90
30 frc5851 89
31 frc1671 88
34 frc4123 85
35 frc4255 85
37 frc3970 84
38 frc3512 82
39 frc294 79
41 frc4322 78
42 frc9038 78
43 frc192 77
45 frc6220 76
47 frc8768 76
48 frc2485 75
49 frc5026 75
50 frc5507 75

There are also ~27 teams who did qualify for the Championship this year that likely would not have under a district points system:

Teams who wouldn't have qualified, but did
Rank Team Points
53 frc2637 73
58 frc5274 70
61 frc3647 69
62 frc6995 69
66 frc649 67
67 frc4 66
68 frc100 66
69 frc1072 66
70 frc4419 65
71 frc5089 65
73 frc9125 65
74 frc3256 64
81 frc3749 61
86 frc968 58
88 frc4276 58
89 frc1622 57
90 frc4135 57
95 frc399 55
96 frc2429 55
106 frc7042 51
111 frc3189 49
113 frc2489 48
120 frc1700 43
145 frc3341 34
160 frc840 29
169 frc702 26
179 frc1836 24

Obviously the teams at the bottom of the “would have qualified” list are close to the top of the “wouldn’t have qualified” list. These teams would’ve been borderline and you shouldn’t take it too seriously if you’re at the bottom of the first list or top of the second list.

Did I make mistakes? I’m sure I did. Let me know what they are, and improve on the model!

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