Announcing the public alpha launch of Cheesecake Live!
What is it?
Cheesecake is a website focused on FRC predictions and forecasting.
Forecasts created with the Monte Carlo method, visualized over time using Tufte-style graphics.
Breakdown table with predictions for each match.
How does it work.
Currently, the website runs on two models: Elo ratings for win/loss predictions and Beta distributions for bonus rank points in qualification matches.
The current calibration for the 2020 Elo model during week one looks like this:
https://twitter.com/carlcolglazier/status/1234589957223829504
Links
Predictions should become available throughout the day during the next week of competition; however, I do expect there to be some bugs. Thank you for your patience and I hope you enjoy the website!