The rule would be invoked only the very final match of the competition when there would be no other matches in which a yellow card might be issued to the winning alliance and therefore could be turned into a red card in a subsequent match. (For example, this would not be used in QFs and SFs because the winning alliance moves on with a yellow card.) In other words, there is a clear opportunity to strategically incur a yellow card with no consequences in the determinative match. I don’t see how a replay under that singular circumstance would turn into an extra hour of competition. It would be no different than having a replay due to a tie or a field fault. We’ve had replays when field faults happened very late in a match and one alliance clearly was on the way to winning.
Other sports have end-of-game rules where the change in circumstances as the end approaches. For example, football charges a time out to a team in the last 2 minutes to treat an injured player to prevent strategic “injuries.”
Leaving the final discretion to a head ref as to who “would have won” is a recipe for even more controversy. Refs are not in a position to judge the “winner” of a match, which is exactly what we want to avoid. Look at how the 2016 championship tie was broken by “judging” (and the other ties broken similarly in 2016 and 2017) as examples of why we do NOT want refs making such decisions.
The issue is not whether the “right” team wins the replay–it’s that the play is reset, and the slate is wiped clean. The winning team loses the surety of having a win, but it is not eliminated entirely by the penalty, which I think is consistent with the intent of issuing a yellow card rather than a red. I’m not sure why fans would view a win by the carded team would be as “stealing” the win–under the current rules the team would have incurred a strategic yellow card and gotten away with it. Last thing that you want to have happen is to ACTUALLY have the refs steal the event by directly making the win/lose decision.
I think at the core of the controversy here is whether yellow cards are being issued during the playoffs for consequential fouls that affect match outcomes, or for incidental occurrences that are not really central to match play. To answer that seems to be in part an empirical question in which we see what is the breakdown of yellow card rule violations during the playoffs. Someone probably can pull that off FRC’s API data. Nevertheless, FIRST must believe that these fouls are significant enough that incurring them twice leads to a match forfeit. If one doesn’t think that these should rise to that level, then one needs to propose a different type of foul, and we’re back to my original point that the objection appeared to be tied to the issue of yellow cards offenses rather than the resolution of what happens when a yellow card is issued.