Some may recall that a few weeks ago I did a stats and analysis prior to Houston Championships. Well, I just landed back at home so I’m ready to provide one for St Louis, a whopping 8 hours because qualifications start.
At the conclusion of both championships (and all the uni work I have to do ;-; ), I’ll do a Championships Recap, probably with both St Louis and Houston combined into one post.
For convenience, I’ve added in the values from Houston Champs for comparison.
Let’s get right into it.
Preface
St Louis is looking to be a lot more competitive than Houston. There are more award wins, higher average scores, and higher average OPRs.
I predict we’re going to see 500+ score matches more commonly than in Houston. Archimedes appears to be the weakest division across the board, with Daly and Curie being the strongest.
Divisions - Events
Carson Divisions has the most events attended at North Champs, but interestingly enough sits 30 events lower than Carver from South Champs.
Divisions - Awards
Note: Award winner counts have been adjusted with the above events attendance to ensure a fair comparison.
Although the average event attendance is smaller, there are a lot more awards won by those attending North Champs. Darwin, Daly and Carson are all roughly equal in total award wins, although Daly is really asserting their dominance with the most regional/district wins.
Something to notice is that the “Regional Winners” category also includes “District Winners” in the same category. The higher amount of award wins for the north championships is likely due to the higher concentration of district events in the north, including the powerhouse district of FIRST in Michigan, boasting just over 400 teams.
Divisions - OPRs
Unlike Houston Champs, the OPRs in St Louis are all over the gaff. That being said, the average OPR of all divisions is a good 6 points higher than Houston. The only division with a minimum OPR above 0 is Tesla, at 7.7 points. Carson has a flattering minimum OPR of -18.2, and archimedes at -10.4.
Daly has the closest grouping of OPRs, as well as the highest maximum OPR at a whopping 181.5. Curie’s OPRs are not so closely grouped, but has the highest average of all the divisions, including those in Houston.
Looking at the OPRs, it’s hard to tell how things will play out. Daly and Carson will likely have the most in-division competitiveness due to closely grouped OPRs, while Curie is likely to advance to Einstein since the likelyhood of winning playoffs will be highly skewed to the #1 alliance.
Divisions - Score Breakdowns
Please note: Pressure and kPa bonuses are very low since this includes both quals and elims (in quals, bonuses are given in RP, not match points).
See the second graph for playoffs only.
Each division seems to be approximately equal in avg. foul points, as well as mobility points. Auto rotor points, as well as takeoff points, seem to have the biggest impact on match scores in each division.
In playoffs, Curie and Archimedes have the highest concentration of 4-rotor bonus points.
Unlike Houston, every single division appears to have at least one occurrence of a red card infraction. Since Chief limits me to 5 images per post, see the graph in the first reply to this thread for details.
Conclusion
This concludes my stats dump for today. Like always, feel free to discuss in the thread below.
Let the games begin.