Since there’s been a bit of confusion in last year’s thread (https://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/showthread.php?t=146321) I thought I would run my predictions for MSC this year.
I’m using the same methodology as I did to predict MSC last year, and that I’ve been using the predict the PNW district championship every year (https://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/showthread.php?t=156957)
Key:
in=will have enough points to make it in
out=won't make it
~in=probably going to have enough points
~out=probably won't have enough points
bubble=could easily go either way
Best-case points to make it to district cmp: 40
Worst-case points to make it to district cmp: 102
Best estimate: 57
{'bubble': 190, 'out': 55, '~in': 76, '~out': 110, 'in': 20}
0 in 2619 - The Charge
1 in 5053 - Lakers
2 in 3620 - Average Joes
3 in 33 - Killer Bees
4 in 4003 - TriSonics
5 in 1025 - IMPI Robotics
6 in 5675 - WiredCats
7 in 1481 - The Riveters
8 in 5166 - Fabricators
9 in 3770 - BlitzCreek
10 in 894 - THE POWER CHARGERS
11 in 494 - Martians
12 in 3656 - Dreadbots
13 in 1506 - Metal Muscle
14 in 3538 - RoboJackets
15 in 1322 - Genesee Robotics Area Youth Te...
16 in 6753 - CBA RoboKings
17 in 5980 - East Grand Rapids Robotics
18 in 67 - The HOT Team
19 in 245 - Adambots
20 ~in 2611 - Jacktown Vectors
21 ~in 3546 - Buc'n'Gears
22 ~in 5205 - FullMetal-Jackets
23 ~in 2137 - TORC
24 ~in 4327 - Q Branch
25 ~in 5915 - Mercy Midnight Storm
26 ~in 1023 - Bedford Express
27 ~in 5462 - 2PawR (2 Paw Robotics)
28 ~in 85 - B.O.B. (Built on Brains)
29 ~in 6618 - WARHBOTS
30 ~in 1701 - RoboCubs
31 ~in 5114 - Titanium Tigers
32 ~in 6117 - Wingspan
33 ~in 68 - Truck Town Thunder
34 ~in 3535 - Galaktech Invaders
35 ~in 70 - More Martians
36 ~in 5204 - Robocats
37 ~in 4325 - RoboRangers
38 ~in 4237 - Team Lance-A-Bot
39 ~in 548 - Robostangs
40 ~in 5067 - Steiner Steel Storm
41 ~in 4680 - Az-Tech Eagles
42 ~in 4216 - Blue Ops Robotics
43 ~in 5603 - Rise of the Warrior Bots
44 ~in 1188 - RoboRavens
45 ~in 6425 - Coldwater Cardinals
46 ~in 308 - The Monsters
47 ~in 6548 - Perry High School Ramblers
48 ~in 2832 - The Livonia Warriors
49 ~in 123 - Team - Cosmos
50 ~in 1918 - NC GEARS
51 ~in 5086 - Cadillac Connectors
52 ~in 6086 - Ignition
53 ~in 469 - Las Guerrillas
54 ~in 5756 - R.E.C'in Crew
55 ~in 1940 - The Tech Tigers
56 ~in 3357 - COMETS
57 ~in 5567 - Code Red Robotics
58 ~in 2767 - Stryke Force
59 ~in 3655 - Tractor Technicians
60 ~in 4381 - Twisted Devils
61 ~in 2474 - Excel
62 ~in 5561 - Raider Robotics
63 ~in 3604 - Goon Squad
64 ~in 2960 - Automation Nation
65 ~in 6101 - Strange Quarks
66 ~in 5623 - Robotic Rams
67 ~in 27 - Team RUSH
68 ~in 6066 - Rambler Robotics
69 ~in 141 - WOBOT
70 ~in 5144 - P.R.E.D.A.T.O.R.S
71 ~in 107 - Team R.O.B.O.T.I.C.S.
72 ~in 1250 - Gator-Bots
73 ~in 6108 - DRAGONBOTS
74 ~in 5173 - Robohawks
75 ~in 6193 - The Legend of Robotics
76 ~in 5090 - Torque-Nados
77 ~in 503 - Frog Force
78 ~in 2834 - Bionic Black Hawks
79 ~in 5248 - Robo-Saxons
80 ~in 5530 - The Lawnmowers
81 ~in 1504 - Desperate Penguins
82 ~in 5901 - Cougars
83 ~in 6545 - Tawas Braves
84 ~in 94 - The Ninetyfouriors
85 ~in 4391 - BraveBots
86 ~in 5610 - Turbulence (Saugatuck Robotic...
87 bubble 4851 - JungleBots
88 bubble 5927 - iCademy Globetrotters
89 bubble 5234 - MarauderBots
90 ~in 302 - The Dragons
91 ~out 2959 - Robotarians
92 ~out 5674 - The Gearhounds
93 ~in 2612 - The Corsairs
94 ~out 5577 - Kinematic Wolves
95 ~out 5183 - Devil Bots
96 ~out 5222 - JackBotics
97 ~out 5559 - Gear Grinders
98 ~in 1243 - Dragons
99 ~out 5501 - Bobcats
100 ~in 2145 - HAZMATs
101 ~in 51 - Wings of Fire
102 ~out 4453 - The Red Hot Chili Bots
103 ~out 3602 - RoboMos
104 ~in 910 - The Foley Freeze
105 ~out 1076 - Pi Hi Samurai
106 ~out 3322 - Eagle Imperium
107 ~out 6002 - ZooBOTix
108 ~out 5676 - The H.E.R.O.E.S
109 ~out 4395 - Dundee Vi-Borgs
110 ~in 5150 - Hybrid Hornets
111 ~in 2075 - Enigma Robotics
112 ~in 5436 - Cyber Cats
113 ~out 5467 - RoboTractors
114 ~out 3668 - TroBots
115 ~out 6071 - Bot Central
116 ~out 3572 - Wavelength
117 bubble 3875 - Red Storm Robotics
118 ~out 5194 - Gobles Voltage
119 out 6570 - Whiteford Bobcats
120 bubble 5066 - Singularity
121 bubble 862 - Lightning Robotics
122 bubble 2337 - EngiNERDs
123 bubble 6075 - Leland Zebrotics
124 ~out 815 - Advanced Power
125 ~out 4819 - Flat Mountain Mechanics
126 ~out 5498 - Wired Devils
127 out 6589 - Cardinal.EXE
128 ~out 5661 - RoboCards
129 bubble 5505 - V2 Robotics
130 bubble 4405 - The Atoms Family
131 bubble 2771 - Code Red Robotics the Stray Do...
132 ~out 5316 - The Architects
133 bubble 3618 - Petoskey Paladins
134 ~out 5535 - Bionic Bison
135 ~out 6067 - Underdogs
136 ~out 5227 - Eagle Elite
137 bubble 6569 - Gladiators
138 bubble 857 - Superior Roboworks
139 bubble 5509 - Like a Boss.
140 bubble 226 - Hammerheads
141 out 6085 - Green Devil Bots
142 bubble 6538 - Linc-Bots
143 out 6627 - Nordic Knights Robotics
144 ~out 4737 - Atomigators
145 bubble 5072 - Raider Robotics
146 bubble 4779 - RoboSapiens
147 bubble 5215 - Steagles
148 out 6043 - Allegan Tigers Robotics Team
149 out 6150 - BlueBotics
150 ~out 5524 - MacroProcessors
151 bubble 1718 - The Fighting Pi
152 bubble 6615 - Belleville Tigers
153 bubble 904 - D cubed
154 ~out 2673 - Tenacious Technicians
155 ~out 5533 - Electric Horse Power
156 bubble 3539 - Byting Bulldogs
157 bubble 5843 - Flurb
158 bubble 6098 - bIrobot
159 ~out 5708 - Zebrotics
160 ~out 5084 - Corunna Robotics Team FridgeBo...
161 bubble 6344 - Yale Jiggawattz
162 bubble 3767 - TITAN
163 bubble 830 - The RatPack
164 bubble 4810 - I AM Robot
165 bubble 4970 - ICE Cubed
166 bubble 5424 - Rogue Robots
167 out 6033 - Gaget Agents
168 bubble 6637 - Wolf Robotics
169 out 5152 - Alotobots
170 bubble 573 - Mech Warriors
171 bubble 4811 - Majestic Eagles
172 bubble 3534 - House of Cards
173 bubble 3542 - S.P.E.E.D
174 bubble 66 - Grizzly Robotics
175 out 5713 - Beecher Cyber Bucs
176 bubble 6633 - Robo-Elephants
177 out 2405 - Techno Trojans
178 out 6594 - VIKING NATION
179 bubble 6020 - JGHS
180 bubble 6053 - Robusters
181 bubble 470 - Grizzly Robotics
182 out 453 - Rockem Sockem Robotics
183 out 6136 - Ravens
184 out 6580 - Griffons
185 bubble 2586 - Copper Bots
186 bubble 5155 - Bearcats
187 bubble 74 - Team C.H.A.O.S.
188 bubble 2054 - Tech Vikes
189 bubble 818 - Steel Armadillos
190 bubble 201 - The FEDS
191 bubble 5256 - Atomic Vikings
192 bubble 314 - The Megatron Oracles
193 out 5710 - The O-Bots
194 bubble 4409 - Ground Zero
195 bubble 5860 - Full Metal Muskrats
196 bubble 4961 - Shock and Awe-sum
197 bubble 1684 - Chimeras
198 out 6073 - Cav-Bots
199 bubble 4004 - M.A.R.S. Rovers
200 out 322 - Team F.I.R.E.
201 bubble 4983 - IronBots
202 bubble 1596 - The Instigators
203 bubble 3570 - Pheonix
204 out 5448 - CC Automationeers
205 bubble 5878 - The Great Lakers
206 out 6588 - Lawton High School
207 out 6635 - JPEC Falcons
208 bubble 5460 - Strike Zone
209 bubble 6561 - Omecha Wolf Pack
210 out 1528 - MTR (Monroe Trojan Robotics)
211 bubble 6558 - Aluminum Sting
212 bubble 3452 - GreengineerZ
213 bubble 6077 - Wiking Kujon
214 out 4568 - Robot Commander
215 out 6559 - Bay-Arenac
216 out 5263 - Robo-Bucs
217 out 6568 - Decatur Robotics Team
218 bubble 5560 - Central Lake Trobotics
219 bubble 4392 - The Deceivers
220 bubble 1711 - Raptors
221 bubble 5260 - Owosso Operating System
222 bubble 6088 - Stephenson Eagles
223 bubble 6121 - Robo Vikes
224 bubble 5046 - Jacked Up Jackets
225 bubble 6556 - Waldron Bot Heads
226 bubble 3098 - The Captains
227 bubble 5709 - Rudyard Nerf Herders
228 bubble 6081 - Digital Dislocators
229 bubble 5230 - The Resistance
230 bubble 5989 - Panthers
231 bubble 2048 - The Pink Panthers
232 bubble 6566 - Lamphere Robotics
233 out 6592 - Sexton Redbots
234 bubble 244 - RoboDawgs 3D
235 bubble 3175 - Knight Vision
236 out 5641 - Eagles
237 out 5214 - The Mighty CavBots
238 bubble 5926 - Da MOOse
239 out 6091 - Eagle 1
240 bubble 5502 - Cobrots
241 bubble 6099 - Knight Riders
242 out 1254 - Tech Force
243 bubble 3688 - Norsemen
244 out 2620 - Titans
245 bubble 4815 - ELECTROPANTHERS
246 bubble 3667 - Mecanum Knights
247 bubble 703 - Team Phoenix
248 bubble 6102 - Mustangs
249 out 240 - Tempest
250 bubble 5547 - The Talons
251 bubble 5612 - RoboRaptors
252 bubble 1189 - The Gearheads
253 bubble 6087 - Cybertronic Lancers
254 out 6119 - Prototype Pumas
255 out 6138 - Bulldogs
256 bubble 6493 - Red Steel
257 bubble 3096 - The Village Bulldogs
258 bubble 5622 - Green Hornets
259 bubble 5703 - Eagles Crew
260 bubble 6113 - M.A.R.C. 1
261 out 5282 - Railroaders
262 bubble 5712 - Hemlock's Gray Matter
263 bubble 4994 - Kingston Robo-Cards
264 bubble 3603 - Cyber Coyotes
265 bubble 4967 - That ONE Team-OurNextEngineers
266 out 6094 - Manic Mechanics
267 out 6610 - Robot Roll Call
268 bubble 6528 - Terror Byte{s}
269 bubble 5201 - North Branch Bad News Broncos
270 bubble 5774 - Maximum Overload
271 bubble 5660 - A.R.T. Atherton Robotics Team
272 bubble 5162 - The Big Red Theory
273 bubble 3707 - TechnoDogs
274 bubble 5239 - Harper Woods Pioneers
275 bubble 4130 - The Blue Devils
276 out 5182 - Chieftainators
277 out 5225 - The Shambotz
278 out 5161 - Trojan Technicians
279 out 6092 - Q-Bots
280 out 6128 - The Automatics
281 out 6011 - Cyber Trojans
282 bubble 6599 - Northport Wildcats
283 bubble 6591 - Stockbridge Panthers
284 bubble 6550 - Wildcat Robotics
285 bubble 6567 - Lake Shore High School
286 bubble 5216 - E-Ville Empire
287 bubble 6638 - Fulton Pirates
288 bubble 6611 - Au Gres Robotics
289 bubble 3547 - VIRUS
290 bubble 5534 - Onaway Onabots
291 out 5685 - Robo Terriers
292 bubble 6582 - Vestabots
293 bubble 1502 - Technical Difficulties
294 bubble 6090 - Wayland Wildcats
295 out 4408 - The Robo Panthers
296 bubble 6531 - Redhawks
297 bubble 6557 - Vikings
298 bubble 6533 - Beaver Tech
299 bubble 6571 - Lakeview Wildcats
300 bubble 6631 - Reese Rockets High School Robo...
301 bubble 6065 - Titanium Dragons
302 out 3658 - Robo - Beavers
303 bubble 247 - Da Bears
304 ~out 6552 - Robocats
305 ~out 6573 - Alanson Vikings
306 ~out 6581 - Hancock Bulldogs
307 bubble 5702 - Robotawatomi
308 bubble 3536 - Electro Eagles
309 bubble 5050 - Cow Town Robotics
310 bubble 4375 - Westend Gearbusters
311 bubble 6089 - Cyber Cougars
312 bubble 5982 - Circuits of Destruction
313 ~out 6345 - Nimrod Nation
314 out 4758 - RoboBlazers
315 bubble 6093 - Unplugged
316 ~out 6534 - Saints Scholars
317 ~out 6428 - STEMINEERS
318 bubble 3641 - The Flying Toasters
319 ~out 6595 - QUAKE
320 ~out 6532 - Ben Carson Blue Jays
321 ~out 6649 - CHA Circuits
322 bubble 5706 - Tahquamenon Phenomenon
323 bubble 5527 - Cyber Phoenix
324 bubble 4376 - Raydernators
325 out 5619 - Jaguars
326 bubble 6078 - RoboRams
327 bubble 5907 - CC Shambots
328 bubble 2604 - Metal and Soul
329 ~out 6642 - Harrison Hornets
330 ~out 6583 - Human Error
331 bubble 5697 - Bearcats
332 bubble 4998 - TESLA
333 out 4854 - Trobots
334 out 4838 - Panthers
335 out 5532 - The G.O.A.T.S
336 bubble 5470 - The Cowpunchers
337 bubble 6074 - RoscoBots
338 bubble 6122 - Bear Lake
339 bubble 6013 - Robowolves
340 ~out 6597 - Eagles
341 bubble 5531 - Orange Crush
342 bubble 5213 - St. Ignace SHIELD
343 out 313 - The Bionic Zebras
344 out 468 - Aftershock
345 bubble 5555 - Spartans
346 bubble 5175 - Robo Panthers
347 bubble 5478 - Pershing Doughbots
348 ~out 6100 - MSMohawks
349 bubble 4380 - Dynomite
350 ~out 6190 - Will-er Run
351 bubble 5203 - Volatile Chaos Inhibitors
352 bubble 5193 - Pantheon
353 out 5447 - Team Robotica
354 bubble 2246 - The Army of Sum
355 bubble 280 - TnT
356 bubble 1896 - Concussive Engineers
357 bubble 2224 - RoboPhoenix
358 ~out 6116 - Cougar Robotics
359 ~out 6114 - Do the Thing
360 ~out 6029 - Railbots
361 bubble 4988 - Yooper Troopers
362 bubble 5238 - Falconators
363 out 5065 - Knights
364 bubble 5255 - Robotic Tigers
365 bubble 5314 - Ice Bots
366 bubble 5486 - Robotic Turmoil
367 bubble 4482 - ID Robotics
368 bubble 4390 - ATA Coregears
369 bubble 3773 - Cobalt Commanders
370 bubble 3537 - Delta Force
371 bubble 5662 - A Flock of Nerds
372 ~out 6019 - Metabots
373 ~out 6005 - Cardinaltronics
374 ~out 6096 - UPSM Cobras
375 ~out 5853 - FEAR The Termigators
376 ~out 6079 - Mech Tech
377 bubble 4855 - Ramageddon
378 bubble 3302 - TurboTrojans
379 bubble 5069 - The Iron Giants
380 bubble 5487 - Tiger Robotics
381 bubble 5714 - Accidental Success
382 bubble 4827 - Minerbotics
383 bubble 5197 - DCP @ NW
384 ~out 5963 - CA Frost High School
385 bubble 858 - Demons
386 ~out 6338 - DRIVING STEEL
387 ~out 6549 - caseville eagles
388 ~out 6600 - Baldwin Panthers
389 ~out 6616 - Mechanical Pumas
390 ~out 6742 - Blue Jays
391 bubble 216 - More RoboDawgs
392 bubble 4398 - Imprimis Deo
393 bubble 5229 - Heritage Hawkbots
394 bubble 5473 - Team Spitfire.
395 bubble 5231 - Radical Jays
396 bubble 2676 - Ecorse Robo Raiders
397 bubble 3632 - D-Techs
398 bubble 835 - The Sting
399 bubble 1 - The Juggernauts
400 bubble 4384 - Benzene Bots
401 bubble 4715 - Big Bay de Noc Bear Bots
402 ~out 6057 - Thunderbots
403 ~out 6112 - Cyberstangs
404 ~out 6097 - Botcats
405 ~out 4337 - R 13
406 ~out 4956 - Robosharks
407 ~out 4362 - Gems
408 ~out 5167 - Vi-Bots
409 ~out 5257 - CometKaze
410 ~out 5504 - The Loose Connections
411 ~out 4835 - Junkyard Dawgs
412 ~out 4507 - TARminators
413 ~out 5642 - Mumford Mustangs
414 ~out 5525 - Alcona Tool Cats
415 ~out 5517 - District 5517 The Engineers on...
416 ~out 4840 - The Panthers
417 ~out 5704 - Blended Learning Academies
418 ~out 5235 - Gears of Fortune
419 ~out 1677 - Quantum Ninjas
420 ~out 5247 - Red Devil Robotics
421 ~out 5562 - Laker Logistics
422 ~out 3458 - Code Blue
423 ~out 5056 - MegaHurtz
424 ~out 4382 - Team Trobot
425 ~out 3568 - RoboEagles
426 ~out 5156 - Laker Robots
427 ~out 3234 - Red Arrows
428 ~out 5688 - Robo Cats
429 ~out 3398 - Crushing Crusaders
430 ~out 3617 - Cold Logic
431 ~out 6120 - Cyberstangs
432 ~out 6152 - ROBO-FALCONS
433 ~out 288 - The RoboDawgs
434 ~out 5251 - C3 WAYbots
435 ~out 5664 - Big Red Robotics
436 ~out 217 - ThunderChickens
437 ~out 2591 - RedTails
438 ~out 2851 - Crevolution
439 ~out 3414 - Hackbots
440 ~out 3619 - Blackhawks
441 ~out 4377 - Boyne City Blaze
442 ~out 4768 - Comets
443 ~out 4776 - S.C.O.T.S. Bots
444 ~out 5048 - Spartronics
445 ~out 5110 - Robo Herd
446 ~out 5217 - Robocats
447 ~out 5523 - RoboWarriors
448 ~out 5538 - Vikingbots
449 ~out 5694 - Hamady Hawks
450 ~out 5695 - Heavy Duty Eagles
I am aware that Orthofort has also made an effort to forecast what the district point cutoff will be. See here: https://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/showthread.php?t=157248 Our estimates of the cutoff are slightly different, but my methodology has tended to skew slightly low and his estimate is well within the range that I consider to be likely.