Welcome to the New York State of Mind, where we try to shine a light on another area that desperately needs to switch over to districts.
New York has historically had two distinct and separate blocks of teams, upstate and downstate, that have competed mostly separately. With the advent of the MAR, New England, Ontario and Virginia districts, as well as scheduling conflicts, and the downsizing of the New York City regional, 2017 will be a year where New York comes together.
Last year was a watershed year for New York teams, with 16 NY teams selected for championship eliminations, and 4 of those teams making it to Einstein.
To de-clutter CD, predictions for each week will be added to the bottom of this thread.
Already in the first two weeks of competition, some New York teams have headed out to compete out of state.
Weeks 1 and 2
Week 1 saw 263 and Einstein Alliance Captain 694 head down to South Florida, where eliminations had them face off in quarterfinals. Both were first round selections in the draft, and are expected to improve before their next events.
Also in week 1, the consistent eliminations threat 329 headed down to Palmetto with their mecanum machine. They were selected for the first seeded alliance as the last selection of the draft, and ended up losing to an alliance that scored 4 rotors, putting up the high score of the regional.
Week 2 saw just one NY team compete: Devil Tech from Victor, NY. 1559 did exceptionally well, coming in at the fourth seed and second overall draft selection, only losing to the eventual regional champions in three hard-fought semifinal matches. In addition, 1559 has a propensity to improve drastically throughout the season, so expect them to show up as the most ready team at the Finger Lakes Regional.
The Finger Lakes Regional
Speaking of Finger Lakes, a conflict of dates for college spring breaks has separated the usual competitors at Finger Lakes and the Tech Valley Regional from one another this year. Despite this, both are shaping up to be extremely competitive events.
The Finger Lakes Regional this year is host to three teams that made it to the last real Einstein in 2016: 3015, 1405, and 1511. The three teams have taken quite different approaches to STEAMWorks from one another. 1511’s triple wide key shooter contrasts greatly with 1405’s single shooter, gear floor pickup, and aggressively geared drivetrain. 3015’s drivetrain is purpose built for a high scoring fuel autonomous, so expect them to be on one of the top few alliances at the event, assuming they get everything working.
Another team trying for that high scoring autonomous is 5254, who revealed a robot made seemingly entirely out of perforated lexan and wood. However, with a number of key students graduating, it remains to be seen if 5254 can live up to the HYPE they generated their last two seasons and earn their first banner.
Other fuel scoring machines at FLR with tuned shots are 1126 and 639, but without the autonomous upside of 3015 or 5254 they might have difficulty claiming that role on a high seeded alliance.
The last critical fuel scorer at FLR is likely 1507, with only space for 10 balls on their robot. 1507’s plan to hit a 10 ball, 1 gear autonomous might make them a great partner for one of the other autonomous fuel scorers, but whether their gear floor pickup has a high enough potential is another question entirely.
1507 isn’t the only gear floor pickup in the mix, with 3003 buying into a gears-only strategy as well, and an octocanum drivetrain to boot. 271’s nice looking machine also boasts an integrated gear floor pickup and well-engineered shooting setup.
340 wowed Chief Delphi with their reveal of a finely tuned gear scoring masterpiece. With high expectations of their gear scoring, 340 seems to be the most likely team to be on the #1 alliance, and a likely first seed if one of the aforementioned fuel scorers doesn’t figure out how to secure that extra kpa ranking point.
The one thing that’s certain about Finger Lakes every year is that nothing is certain. In 2015 and 2016, the #1 seed fell to the #7 and #5 seeds respectively. Strong mid seeds regularly find the right mix of robots to dethrone the favorites. It all depends on who does their scouting, and who can peak at the right time.
The New York Tech Valley Regional
The New York Tech Valley Regional plays host to a number of incredible out-of-state teams each year. Last year, teams 359 and 4481 flew in from afar to play Stronghold in New York’s Capital Region. This year, one team from India, another from Turkey, as well as five teams from the Great White North are joining in. Among these, 195 and 3990 are returning, both with banners from their previous times attending the Tech Valley event, and both boasting turreted shooters.
195’s rapidfire fuel scoring machine impressed at Waterbury during week 1, but couldn’t take home a banner due to their alliance’s inconsistent climbing. But 195 has a habit of starting slow, only to come back strong. With a new gear mechanism and the potential for consistently clenching the kPa bonus, they’re likely to bring a banner out of state this weekend.
3990 has yet to compete this season, but has been a nearly unstoppable force at regional events. If their shooting rate can increase, and if they can pull a powerful autonomous mode out, 3990 could land another blue banner for their collection.
Of the hometown favorites, 2791 has a twin-barreled beautiful machine this year called “Stoker”. If Shaker Robotics can get their high scoring autonomous mode running and get their drivers some much-needed practice, they stand a good chance of winning their third consecutive event with 195, and their first ever win in the regular season.
3044 and 20 round out the hometown favorites, with 3044 making eliminations at the championship for the first time for them last season, these two have as good a shot as any to pair with or take down 195. 3044’s mecanum drive and low goal shooting make them seem like less of a top threat compared to 20’s wide key shooter and potential autonomous shooting, but don’t be fooled, the 0x’s have a tendency to make their way into the finals even in their worst years.
The Rocketeers have a longer list of successes than 3044, however, including 2 Regional Championships with 195 and banners from events in every year since 2012. 20 will find a way to put something competitive together from any seed, even if they don’t pair up with the Cyberknights to do it.
From downstate is 333, who has a good looking, well practiced gear machine this year. They have yet to show off what they can do with the fuel they collect, but regardless, their otherwise simple design should earn them a spot in eliminations.
229 and 5236 are two teams that find success at TVR most years, and both have focused solely on scoring gears this season, with minimalist machines. 229, however, does have some ball scoring up their sleeve, if they could get it working during these last few weeks. 5236 is hoping their consistent practice and floor gear intake will earn them a high seed once again, after their breakout success last year as a highly seeded captain. Teams won’t make the mistake of rejecting 5236 this time around.
Last, but certainly not least, are a few hometown teams that vary in quality from year to year, and a rookie team with high expectations. 250 and 1493 have been producing machines of varied ability in the last few seasons. 250, like 3044, is playing the gears and low goal game with a mecanum drive, a surprise from a team that has played more of a defensive role in past years. 1493’s gear floor pickup and tall low goaler is reminiscent of the WCP MCC this year, and their strategy is likely to earn them a spot on a solid alliance once again, if not as a captain themselves.
6300 is a team that brought not one, but two robots to an off-season event as a pre-rookie. Their laser focus on scoring gears efficiently and quickly should earn them a spot in the eliminations rounds as well.
TVR should largely come down to who seeds first. If one of the favorites seeds first, expect a regional largely determined by who can put together a high risk strategy to defeat them. If a lesser known team seeds first, alliances will be made and broken by the backside of the draft.
Elsewhere
Last this week is one New York team attending The Pittsburgh Regional. 2053 has a slick machine with nice machining and a helical Hopper for fuel. Their scoring from the key in autonomous should prove valuable in the elimination rounds, especially as they face off with expected favorites like 359 and 217.