PNW District Championship Projections 2018

[SoftwareBug2.0]

One item to note when comparing to last year - the number of district slots has dropped for PNW from 39 in 2017 to 32 in 2018.

Using last year’s ranking, the 32nd team had 133 points. It may be safer to do this analysis assuming a target of 134.

Regardless - there are a lot of points still on the table at DCMP, so anything is possible.

Good point. That does considerably change things for teams in the middle. For example, the Flaming Chickens would have to rank 10th instead of 27th.

64	1425 - Error Code Xero
64	2811 - StormBots
64	4513 - Circuit Breakers
64	2471 - Team Mean Machine
64	2910 - Jack in the Bot
64	1983 - Skunk Works Robotics
64	2046 - Bear Metal
64	5803 - Apex Robotics
63	957 - SWARM
62	2990 - Hotwire
62	1318 - Issaquah Robotics Society
55	2557 - SOTAbots
51	4061 - SciBorgs
47	2147 - CHUCK
38	6831 - A-05 Annex
32	3711 - Iron Mustang
32	3218 - Panther Robotics
32	488 - Team XBot
27	4980 - Canine Crusaders
27	1778 - Chill Out
23	3674 - 4-H / CAM Academy CloverBots
23	4488 - Shockwave
23	4911 - CyberKnights
18	2605 - Seamonsters
14	4125 - Confidential
14	4450 - Olympia Robotics Federation
10	1540 - Flaming Chickens
8	2635 - Lake Monsters
8	4915 - Spartronics
8	2521 - SERT
8	2374 - Crusader Bots
8	3024 - My Favorite Team
8	948 - NRG (Newport Robotics Group)
8	1510 - Wildcats
8	847 - PHRED
8	997 - Spartan Robotics
8	4469 - R.A.I.D. (Raider Artificial In...
8	5920 - VIKotics
8	5450 - St. Helens Robotics and Engine...
8	2733 - Pigmice
8	4512 - BEAR bots
8	5468 - Chaos Theory
8	3238 - Cyborg Ferrets
8	360 - The Revolution
8	7034 - 2B Determined
8	2930 - Sonic Squirrels
8	2522 - Royal Robotics
8	1595 - The Dragons
8	1359 - Scalawags
8	492 - Titan Robotics Club
8	3663 - CPR - Cedar Park Robotics
8	4662 - Byte Sized Robotics
8	2906 - Sentinel Prime Robotics
8	3223 - Robotics Of Central Kitsap
8	6465 - Mystic Biscuit
8	2976 - Spartabots
8	4495 - Kittitas County Robotics/ Team...
8	6076 - Mustangs
8	2928 - Viking Robotics
8	6445 - CTEC Robotics
8	6845 - River Bots
8	6443 - AEMBOT
8	4131 - Iron Patriots
7	2944 - Titanium Tigers

[Jsteel]

Based on what was communicated during the conference call, I think there are only 26 slots available based on ranking score, with the others going to Chairmans and other ways to auto qualify.

[Ian_Curtis]

Based on what was communicated during the conference call, I think there are only 26 slots available based on ranking score, with the others going to Chairmans and other ways to auto qualify.

It looks like 24 teams will advance on points alone. Typically the majority of the Chairman’s, EI, and RAS teams will have otherwise had enough points to qualify. In the worst case it would be 150 points based on 2017 – but I would bet the actual cut off is closer to 134 than 150.

[nedwards28]

Thanks for posting this. That is interesting to look at as we try to gauge where we are. Shout out to you for your data and hard work. We are fairly young team and this has been a helpful tool as we have been learning exactly how this district point system works.

[SoftwareBug2.0]

Thanks for posting this. That is interesting to look at as we try to gauge where we are. Shout out to you for your data and hard work. We are fairly young team and this has been a helpful tool as we have been learning exactly how this district point system works.

I’m glad you’re finding this useful. I’m not always right but I try to come close. Speaking of which, since we have the official list of teams at the district championship, I can do my annual meta-analysis to see how my predictions fared:

March 20th predictions:

Predicted	Actual In	Actual Out
bubble		32		52
in		4		0
out		0		6
~in		27		3
~out		1		29

March 25th predictions:

Predicted	Actual In	Actual Out
bubble		21		34
in		15		0
out		0		32
~in		27		2
~out		1		22

And since there did turn out to be exactly one decline, my guess of 58 points to make it in turned out to be right.