PNW Predictions- Week Two
Rookies and Empty Comp’s
AMV has been cancelled. All predictions are pre-cancelization
This week we have an event, AMV, with 6 rookies competing, at an event already known for is lack of competitive teams. We also have an event that resorted to paying teams to attend the event, and now only sits at 24 competitors, at West Valley. Will they be void of fun? Certainly not.
Welcome to the 2020 PNW prediction thread! PNW predictions is your one stop shop for all things PNW competition. In addition to a pre-season “What to watch out for,” and a worlds summary, we will be making weekly threads breaking down every PNW comp into easily digestible predictions. Each comp will get their top 8 teams ranked, as well as our winner predictions.
@Miklast Is a former drive coach and Chief Administrative Officer of FRC 4513, The Circuit Breakers, from Medical Lake, WA. He has been involved in FIRST for 9 years and is a current Computer Science student at Eastern Washington University. Currently, he is mentoring for the Circuit Breakers on strategy and scouting, and volunteers at FLL and FRC events across Eastern Washington.
@EricKline is a former Team Captain, Business Lead, and Scouting Lead of FRC 2412, The Robototes, out of Bellevue, WA. He has been involved in FIRST for 6 years, and is a current Supply Chain Management student at the Honors College at Boise State. He is now mentoring for the Robototes, and continues to be heavily involved in the FIRST community by running the FIRST Alumni Association at Boise State.
Post week 1, scouting data from both 2412 and 4513 will be used at relevant events to help enhance our predictions. If YOUR PNW TEAM has comp data, and you want to contribute to our predictions, please send your data to either Eric or MikLast.
After you’ve read our predictions, throw yours bellow! Let’s start a friendly conversation and see who can predict the best.
Week One Recap:
Glacier peak was, as always, unpredictable. It did, however, heavily suffer from week one syndrome, in that, a lot of teams that made top 8, and bellow, were struggling heavily with constancy. While the top seed’s were heavily contested, there was no question who the best robot at the event was: 2910. They were, in my opinion, twice as good as our second seed, 4911. The constancy in auto, the cycle times they could pull off, the last second climbs, it all came together for them.
They picked up 4911 as their first pick, no surprise there at all. And as soon as that alliance formed, it was instantly a race for second. There was heavy inter 8 picking, creating some strong alliances, and our finalists 6th seed alliance of 2976, 2930, and 4918. Both alliance’s sailed through their respective bracket, and despite a hiccup in the first match, the 1st seed was able to take it handily in the second finals match.
Congratulations to 2910, 4911, and 4173 as our event winners. 4131 took away the Chairman’s award, and 4915 took EI.
We were told multiple times by multiple people to not underestimate 3674, and they really did prove themselves at this event. They finished as the 3rd seed captain, and picked up the 6th seed 4488. The first seed, who I think everyone saw coming out on top, of 1540 and 2471, struggled, heavily. They were offed in the semi’s by the eventual finalists of 3711, 1425, and 360. The bracket was a surprise. Sitting at Glacier Peak, checking TBA every so often, I was shocked when I saw the 1st seed go down.
The finals were fierce, but the 3rd seeded alliance took it in three.
Congratulations to 3674, 4488, and 6465 for winning the blue banner. Chairmans went to 6831 and EI went to 2521.
Week Two Predictions
AMV has been canceled due to covid-19. Read more here.
Auburn Mountain View
AMV has 6 rookie teams competing this week. Most in PNW would agree that AMV is one of the least competitive events in the PNW, and this year, more so. While it does host some top teams, most are mid tear at best, and will likely struggle with having a finished bot. We only have one team who has comp time coming in, giving any team who has a finished robot, that can be constant, an opportunity to make a run. These early events heavily favor done robots over complicated robots, so there will be an opening for lower teams to be a top contender, if they can work every match.
There is no question here. While we don’t know anything about 2046’s robot, they will likely be taking the top seed. They have been so dominant year after year, their robots are undeniably top in the world. 1983 will likely be hot on their heels, with their fair share of dominance in the PNW, but they will likely fall short. Once these two team up in elms, there will be no stopping them, (unless 2046’s robo rio decides to die on them again). The third seed was contentious. I felt reigning world EL winner 2557 was best for the 3rd seed, but as they struggle with early events, the honor goes the Chezy Champs veteran 3218. Though, if someone can manage to rank over 2046 or 1983 (just by chance), we might end up with a much more interesting bracket.
Reigning world finalists 948 is going to be coming in with high expectations, and the former largest team in the world is not one to underperform. They have had a fully functional robot for weeks, and so if it is working constantly, they could easily seed in the top 4. 2557 is a strong member of the PNW. Not only
a strong chairman team, they produce robots that year after year have proved to be top contenders by the end of the year. They have struggled in early events historically, but with no bag, that might change.
Unlike previous years, West Valley has a high amount of teams who are already experienced match play in 2020 joining them for the weekend, with 20% on their second event. This should bump match play up considerably for those teams, and chances are with its very small event size of just 24 teams we will see a few different fairly powerful combinations in quals. Along with this, of the teams with public information, another 20% are confirmed to be swerve drive, making it potentially the largest percentage of teams with swerve drives at an event. (hows that for useless stats?)
WV is also no stranger to out of area teams popping in, this year having both 2910 and 4911, Glacier Peak winners, both coming back for an early second event appearance and a shot at a 2nd set of banners for their shop. Coming from down south is 3711, looking to try and grab their first banner of the decade after their impressive finalist run at Clackamas just last week.
WV has a fair amount of mid tier teams joining the event, with previous event winners 4513 and 2147 looking to keep the banners local, while former PNW defense kings 6443 are looking to shake things up. While all of these teams have good shots of making it far, the real question is if any of these teams can manage to seed #1 and put a real wrench in everyone’s weekend.