I was curious if anyone has a good estimate to a point cut off to make it to NE District Champs. We have never even been close to making it before so it has never really been on our radar before. ( how many total teams go?)
Our second district event will be at Pine Tree, therefore we would only have about 2 days to try to plan for championships after Hartford finishes on 4/2.
We had 32 points at the end of our first district.
Last year it was around 56 and then a bunch (10?) declined - so more spots -
You are in a good position, do the same and good! - though I see you are going to Pine tree - those Mainers can be tough!
Hope to see you at NEDCMPs
I think your team is right on the bubble. I’m projection 60 points to make the New England district championship this year.
I’m calculating this the same way I’ve made a guess for the PNW district the past few years. See more details here: https://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/showthread.php?t=156957
Here’s my guess for all the teams in the New England district:
Key:
in=will have enough points to make it in
out=won't make it
~in=probably going to have enough points
~out=probably won't have enough points
bubble=could easily go either way
Best-case points to make it to district cmp: 40
Worst-case points to make it to district cmp: 106
Best estimate: 60
{'bubble': 31, 'out': 13, '~in': 45, '~out': 101, 'in': 4}
0 in 5687 - The Outliers
1 in 95 - Grasshoppers
2 in 6763 - FUSION
3 in 4761 - The Robockets
4 ~in 2084 - Robots by the C
5 ~in 1071 - Team Max
6 ~in 2648 - Infinite Loop
7 ~in 1058 - PVC Pirates
8 ~in 4169 - Warrior Robotics
9 ~in 2067 - Apple Pi
10 ~in 3958 - Schrodinger's Cat
11 ~in 6201 - The Highlanders
12 ~in 78 - AIR STRIKE
13 ~in 4908 - Duxbury Dragons
14 ~in 3623 - Terror Bots
15 ~in 230 - Gaelhawks
16 ~in 5563 - Phalanx
17 ~in 125 - NUTRONs
18 ~in 5735 - Control Freaks
19 ~in 236 - Techno-Ticks
20 ~in 3654 - TechTigers
21 ~in 2168 - Aluminum Falcons
22 ~in 1519 - Mechanical Mayhem
23 bubble 319 - Big Bad Bob
24 ~in 4151 - SCRAP
25 ~in 2370 - IBOTs
26 ~in 3464 - Sim-City
27 ~in 88 - TJ(Squared)
28 ~out 4055 - NRG4055
29 ~out 1831 - Screaming Eagles
30 ~in 177 - Bobcat Robotics
31 ~in 1721 - Tidal Force
32 ~out 3205 - Patriots
33 ~in 1991 - Dragons
34 ~out 1517 - The Lumberjacks
35 ~in 6328 - Mechanical Advantage
36 ~in 4909 - Bionics
37 ~out 1289 - Gearheadz
38 out 6324 - The Blue Devils
39 ~in 190 - Gompei and the H.E.R.D.
40 ~in 5556 - Carriagetown Robotics
41 ~out 178 - The 2nd Law Enforcers
42 ~out 5752 - Beverly Panthers
43 ~out 246 - Overclocked
44 out 6367 - The ElectroLights
45 ~in 4176 - Iron Tigers
46 out 6529 - Beantown Blitz
47 ~in 195 - CyberKnights
48 ~in 2342 - Team Phoenix
49 ~in 467 - The Colonials
50 ~in 716 - Who'sCTEKS
51 ~out 97 - Bionic Beef
52 ~out 237 - Black Magic Robotics
53 ~in 181 - Birds Of Prey
54 ~out 1761 - STEAMpunk Tigers
55 ~in 213 - The Dirty Birds
56 ~in 4564 - Orange Chaos
57 ~in 348 - Norwell Robotics
58 ~in 4905 - Andromeda One
59 ~out 1307 - Robosaints
60 ~in 58 - The Riot Crew
61 bubble 6690 - MV roboPride
62 ~in 138 - Entropy
63 ~in 3719 - STEM Whalers
64 ~out 5459 - Ipswich TIGERS (Technologicall...
65 ~out 155 - The Technonuts
66 ~in 4041 - Iron Tigers
67 out 1027 - Project Jabberwocky
68 ~in 1757 - Wolverines
69 bubble 1740 - Ledyard Cyber Colonels
70 bubble 131 - C.H.A.O.S.
71 bubble 121 - Rhode Warriors
72 bubble 4906 - The Collective
73 bubble 558 - Elm City Robo Squad
74 bubble 157 - AZTECHS
75 bubble 6691 - PiRho Tech
76 bubble 501 - The PowerKnights
77 bubble 5813 - Morpheus
78 out 3566 - Gone Fishin'
79 out 1965 - Firebirds
80 out 4572 - BArlow RobAutics
81 bubble 2523 - Tech Storm
82 bubble 133 - B.E.R.T.
83 bubble 3236 - TRIFORCE
84 bubble 1153 - Robo-Rebels
85 bubble 1768 - RoboChiefs
86 bubble 4048 - Redshift
87 bubble 228 - GUS Robotics
88 bubble 176 - Aces High
89 bubble 4557 - FullMetal Falcons
90 out 2876 - Devilbotz
91 ~out 6731 - Belmont Robotics
92 bubble 5000 - Hammerheads
93 bubble 5129 - Digital Devils
94 bubble 2064 - The Panther Project
95 ~out 5856 - Bullbots
96 ~out 6675 - Ingenious Innovators
97 bubble 1073 - The Force Team
98 bubble 1922 - Oz-Ram
99 ~out 5846 - Southcoast Corsairs
100 ~out 6346 - Norwalk High School Robotics
101 ~out 6333 - Scavenger Robotics
102 bubble 4097 - Devilbots
103 bubble 1350 - The Rambots
104 bubble 1099 - DiscoTechs
105 bubble 2262 - Robo-Panthers
106 bubble 69 - HYPER
107 ~out 6329 - The Bucks' Wrath
108 bubble 5422 - Stormgears FRC
109 ~out 1786 - The Robotics Team
110 out 2423 - The KwarQs
111 ~out 1735 - Green Reapers
112 out 6301 - Nerointellect-sim Engineering ...
113 ~out 2170 - Titanium Tomahawks
114 ~out 6723 - Mt Greylock Robotics Team
115 ~out 885 - THE GREEN TEAM
116 ~out 1124 - UberBots
117 ~out 5112 - The Gongoliers
118 out 5844 - Phoenix Tech
119 ~out 3461 - Operation PEACCE Robotics
120 ~out 6337 - Maine Central Institute Roboti...
121 ~out 6762 - Hillcats
122 ~out 175 - Buzz Robotics
123 ~out 571 - Team Paragon
124 ~out 6617 - NASA BHS Black Hawks Robotics ...
125 ~out 238 - Crusaders
126 ~out 839 - Rosie Robotics
127 ~out 3930 - SMART Spruce Mountain Area Ro...
128 ~out 3467 - Windham Windup
129 ~out 1100 - The T-Hawks
130 ~out 173 - RAGE Robotics
131 ~out 6224 - The Saints
132 ~out 2713 - iRaiders
133 out 5969 - English Skunkworks
134 ~out 5902 - The Wire Clippers
135 ~out 3466 - Vikings Robotics
136 ~out 3525 - The Nuts & Bolts of Fury
137 ~out 172 - Northern Force
138 ~out 509 - Red Storm
139 ~out 3146 - GRANBY GRUNTS
140 ~out 6335 - Terminal Velocity
141 ~out 663 - Robonauts
142 ~out 5122 - robOTies
143 ~out 6153 - Blue Crew
144 ~out 2877 - LigerBots
145 ~out 6620 - The Northmen
146 ~out 4473 - Delta Prime
147 ~out 2836 - Team Beta
148 ~out 5962 - perSEVERE
149 out 4929 - Maroon Monsoon
150 ~out 3609 - Duct Tape Dragons
151 ~out 6161 - Equilibrium
152 ~out 1729 - Team Inconceivable!
153 ~out 5347 - Gryphons
154 ~out 4987 - MegaRams
155 ~out 5142 - Robo Dominators
156 ~out 3634 - Spark City
157 ~out 811 - Cardinals
158 ~out 4034 - Pelham πthons Team 4034
159 ~out 2079 - 4H ALARM Robotics
160 ~out 5491 - Cognitive Hazard
161 ~out 4042 - Murphy's Lawyers
162 ~out 4796 - Cyber Dragons
163 ~out 999 - MechaRAMS
164 ~out 6172 - The Mad Dogs
165 ~out 1699 - Robocats
166 ~out 1474 - Master Link Militia
167 ~out 1277 - The Robotomies
168 ~out 1247 - Robotics of Kearsarge (ROK)
169 ~out 2785 - Prometheus
170 ~out 3182 - Athena's Warriors
171 ~out 151 - Tough Techs
172 ~out 4555 - Sprocketology
173 ~out 126 - Gael Force
174 ~out 166 - Chop Shop
175 ~out 5506 - Viking Landers
176 ~out 1512 - The Big Red
177 ~out 5265 - Radical Impact
178 ~out 3555 - Aluminati
179 ~out 3323 - Potential Energy
180 ~out 3780 - Robot Unicorns
181 ~out 5471 - W.Hi.R.R.
182 ~out 4628 - Sintian Robotics
183 ~out 5686 - Wirecats
184 ~out 4311 - Swampscott Currents
185 ~out 3104 - The Cyber Rams
186 ~out 3451 - The ANOMALY
187 ~out 5746 - Human Error
188 ~out 1973 - Brighton Burning Tiger
189 ~out 3597 - Robo-Rangers
190 ~out 4546 - ShockWave
191 ~out 4925 - The Resistance
192 ~out 4958 - Robocats
193 ~out 5633 - Hyde Phoenix
Thanks guys, we have our fingers crossed.
Love how you have every team listed. (I looked through your other linked threads as well.)
I seem to remember the cutoffs for the past 3 years in New England being closer to 65-67 district points.
I can speak from experience. Three years in a row we have been a “bubble team” Last year we got in at 59 after declines. We are currently at 57 and based upon the increase in number of teams, the same number of events and the smaller than normal attendance(31) at Greater Boston that we attended, I am estimating a 2 point decline in the bubble number which should just barely get us in. 65-66 is always a safe number with 70 being our goal.
If we didn’t have to replay match 3, three times in quarters and finally lose we would have made it to champs with 67 points from the 10 elimination points.
If anyone is attending the Hartford District Event, on Sunday April 2, 2017 at 10am in the Mentor Lounge, Regional Director Carol Scully will be holding an informational meeting for team mentors on advancing to DCMP and CMP. If you’re near the “bubble” and in the Hartford area it would be good to send someone to the meeting!
Looks like these teams were all below 60 last year:
4055 59
1699 59
246 58
1735 58
5563 56
These numbers look promising. Thanks for sharing the knowledge and experience.
It’s weird to actually have a possibility of attending a championship.
We have never attended one or even made it past quarterfinals at a district event
Even if your team doesn’t qualify to compete at a DCMP or CMP, I highly recommend that you sign up to volunteer at one! It’s fun to experience the “flip side” of FRC competitions!
Hey, as a member of 1289, I’m just wondering what are our odds of making it? There’s 64 teams invited and we are 38th at the moment I assume we cant go below say 50, so how would we be out? I think the cutoff is gonna be lower this year. Seeing how the rankings are right now, but realisticly what are our chances?
You currently have 49 district points. Based off last year, where the cutoff was 56 after declines, it’s unlikely (though not completely out) that you will qualify for DCMPs.
I’m curious about what the predicted New England District Champs cutoff is now that week 4 events have passed, leaving only 2 NE events to play. We (4909) are at 65 district points after 2 events and I am hoping that this will be enough. Thanks for the insight!
According to past years, 65 will be “more likely than not” above the bubble. I would be making those plans of attending if I were you.
That could be somewhat disappointing if things tip toward “not”, but you are now 44th overall.
The next 20 teams below you that have another event to play in will all have to pass you to push you out. It could happen, but that would be just the worst kind of luck.
I’m expecting the cutoff will be between 60 and 64 points.
Unfortunately there are usually a number of teams that cannot commit to going to DCMP, so teams below the cutoff will be invited to fill out the 64 slots at NE DCMP… Teams should be deciding now if they would be able to attend NE DCMP if they have any chance of getting close to the cutoff.
FRC190 is going to decline their invitation to the NEDCMP. Adjust math accordingly, if you want.
An email blast went out to all teams (I think) earlier this week from Regional Director Steve Cremer. He encouraged teams to discuss if they can attend DCMP and make plans now. And to let them know NOW if you know your team is not going to attend. It saves them time next week if they don’t have to reach out to every team, knowing your team has already made up its mind not to attend.
You guys are defining this year’s bubble! Coz you are 64th! Crazy!
You’ll need to look at how many Chairman winners and Rookie all star winners are below you (not too many usually), and balance that with how many declines there are from above you.
I can’t believe how high the cutoff is this year! 65 points has been pretty safe in prior years. I guess that this really speaks to how good New England has been this year! With 190 declining (as mentioned above), if one more team declines, we will qualify (because only 2 Chairman’s teams did not qualify with points). We will see! 