I voted 25-50% because I think you hit the nail on the head. If FIRST leaves it up to teams, districts and regions to decide if they want to/can play in 2021 I think we’ll see events somewhere although maybe just a few places.
If FIRST decides it’s a collective all or nothing where everybody gets a chance to play or nobody gets to play I’d say it’s closer to 0%. I guess it also depends on if we think a vaccine is coming out where maybe they do a consolidated season that starts later in the spring.
I’d like to see FIRST release what a worst case/most restrictive event looks like sooner rather than later. I think if we had that guidance at least we can have an idea if those events are even possible in various locations and start letting teams figure out if we think those events are “safe”. I put safe in quotes because I think there’s a lot of hot sports opinions on what that means.