This is really cool!
Could we get a breakdown of the probability of each team ranking within a certain decile or quintile? I’d like to do some analysis after champs is over about how accurate these predictions are.
I’ve previously looked at an Elo based prediction and found it was slightly overconfident, and I’d like to do the same sort of analysis here. Detroit Ranking Projections - #11 by AGPapa
EDIT: Even getting that “most likely to rank in the top 16” list for every team, instead of only for the top 100, would be very helpful.