Calling all FRC prognosticators! Do you have an opinion on how REEFSCAPE will be played this year? Are you certain that everyone is underestimating how hard this game will be? Do you know for a fact that this game is way easier than anyone thinks? Prove it - call your shot!
In this quick form, I give you the chance to prove that you can predict how the game will play better than everyone else on CD. At the end of the season, I’ll post the podium of best predictors.
As a reward, if you complete the survey, you’ll get the link to the aggregated responses, which I will post in this thread after I close the form in a week (Jan 15).
I ask for a username, which only I will be able to see, so if you wish to remain anonymous to me, but want to still be able to prove your skills, you can always hash your username and if I post “the winner is 6def5ef284b6c9b83d193f1ee0dc8d4803e90172!”, you can say “that’s the SHA-1 hash of <myusername>!” and claim your glory.
If you’re really brave, you can post your predictions in here right now, as well as predictions of anything I might have missed.
I reserve the right to remove any obvious troll responses.
I’ll post my full set of guesses. Roast me in the comments.
Highest number of L1 CORAL scored by one alliance
30
Highest number of ALGAE scored by one alliance into their NET
11
Most game pieces scored (into any scoring location) by one robot in an autonomous
5
Most game pieces scored (into any scoring location) by one robot in a match (incl. autonomous)
23
Average winning alliance score on Einstein
209
Highest unpenalized score
245
What is the most full a REEF will get?
L2-L4 full and 12 L1 CORAL scored
Will an entire alliance deep climb?
Yes, 3 deep climbing robots will happen 1-5 times
Will any team who attends worlds go undefeated on the season (or close)?
A team will finish the season with 1 loss
How dominant will the #1 seed be?
Win [70%, 75%) of events
How much defense will be played on Einstein?
5-7 alliances will have at least 1 game where a teammate plays defense
What capabilities will the First Updates Now #1 ranked robot going into worlds have?
L1 CORAL, L2 CORAL, L3 CORAL, L4 CORAL, Ground pickup CORAL, Clear ALGAE from REEF, Score ALGAE into PROCESSOR, Deep climb
Which scoring events will happen at least once in an Einstein match?
9+ CORAL scored in autonomous by one alliance, Full L2-4 REEF, Score ALGAE into NET (done by robot, not human), 3 robots on 1 alliance deep climbing
Consider a cage swung up toward the alliance wall so that its base is raised by thirty inches. Place an Algae on the carpet directly below the cage’s normal rest position, then release the cage so it swings down to strike the Algae.
How much kinetic energy is available to be transferred to the Algae? How fast will the cage be moving at the impact? How far will the Algae fly?
What if your team’s robot were in the Algae’s place? Will its bumper be up to the task of preventing damage?
Today is the last day to make your predictions about how REEFSCAPE will play out! I’ll post the summary of responses soon. https://forms.gle/8XfMhnCxbwAoFy7F9
Highest number of ALGAE scored by one alliance into their NET
11
11.69
Most game pieces scored (into any scoring location) by one robot in an autonomous
6
6.34
Most game pieces scored (into any scoring location) by one robot in a match (incl. autonomous)
27
29.19
Average winning alliance score on Einstein
200
193.19
Highest unpenalized score (quals and playoffs included)
235.08
236
What is the most full a REEF will get?
L2-L4 full and 24 L1 CORAL scored (60 CORAL scored)
Will an entire alliance deep climb? (penalties don’t count)
Yes, 3 deep climbing robots will happen 6-25 times
Will any team who attends worlds go undefeated on the season (or close)?
A team will finish the season with 2-4 losses
How dominant will the #1 seed be?
Win [75%, 80%) of events
How much defense will be played on Einstein? “Defense” is defined as 30+ continuous seconds spent on the opposing alliance’s half.
5-7 alliances will have at least 1 game where a teammate plays defense
What capabilities will the First Updates Now #1 ranked robot going into worlds have? (requires successful use in at least 1 match during the season)
L1-L4 CORAL, Ground and CORAL STATION pickup, Clear ALGAE and score it into either location, Deep climb (only nos are shallow + buddy climb)
Which scoring events will happen at least once in an Einstein match?
9+ CORAL scored in autonomous, 12+ L1 CORAL, Full L2-4 REEF, Score ALGAE into NET (done by robot), Score ALGAE into PROCESSOR, 3 robots on 1 alliance deep climbing (only no is 0 deep climbs by any alliance)
Over 1/4 of respondents think we will see a successful 7+ piece auto.
Almost everyone (96%) think that we will see at least one alliance put up 12 coral on every level.
People really think the #1 seed will be dominant. Over the last 14 years (as far back as decent TBA data goes), we have only seen 1 game have over a 75% win rate for the #1 seed (2022 had ~82%). 2/3 of voters chose >=75% win rate, and the single largest category voted for was >80% win rate, with 42% of the vote.
People think the FUN#1 voted bot will be able to do every scoring objective except shallow climb and buddy climb.
Most people think we will see Algae scoring on Einstein.
