QFT - The algorithm (at least a few years ago) does not include team numbers or any kind of history. It starts with team #1 (attending that regional) and goes through team X (attending that regional). It is randomized a bit but it has nothing do with the FRC team number until it fills in that the nth team to register was team ABCD for the report they feed to pit admin.
With respect you are way out in left field on this topic.
I may be “in left field” a simple check will either prove a trend or not.
I would like to note that with small sample sizes it is statistically likely to see patterns that aren’t actually there.
Thanks 1836 we were bummed you were not at CV, I immediately looked for your team. Glad you checked us out …it was so fun. I most likely will do OC I just need another week to decide.
And best of luck! (Harden your bot and bring every spare part)
I know that is just one regional, I am not drawing a conclusive statement just what I noticed in two years of actually analyzing stuff. Just presenting limited data in one regional here.
It did not affect us one bit. Neither did losing 2 RP in San Diego. We were good enough to get what we deserved either way.
Perhaps, anyhow we had a ton of fun playing with all the great teams up in
NoCal. Good luck 254 your bot rocks.
Sorry, pet peeve of mine. Referees make these calls, not judges.
Did any of the teams ask the referees during the driver meeting if outerwork shots would be protected?
My opinion is this has to be brought up at every drivers meeting in order to keep the rule fresh in the referee’s minds.
p.s. thanks for the great updates!
There is no “perhaps” here. The algorithm does not factor in team numbers or team history. Rather than pontificate here, consider talking with an FTA or reading up on the matchmaking algorithm to understand how it works.
Thanks for the link! I like having more info.
“it’s desirable to minimize duplicates so that teams see as many different teams as possible. It’s especially desirable for a given team not to have the same team as a partner more than once, nor as an opponent more than once.”
I think they could have split 1678’s second match against us to another match just sayin’. Its not really ideal for any team to face consensus #1 twice in qualifications or 20% of their matches.
I’m sure the algorithm tries to be unbiased however as we know it can be imperfect (as the above link states) a human FTA should look for duplicates and adjust as necessary. Just flip teams above or below any “peculiarity” a one game switch in the schedule is doable.
I am not pontificating (you chose to read a post in my week 2 update thread), just pointing out the realities of a single regional’s scheduling that happened to have 4 World Champions everyone in FRC knows.
Also I disagree with this statement “This is not only a scheduling algorithm issue, but a simple matter of not knowing in advance which teams will turn out to be more effective than others.”
I believe “Class” has a lot to do with year to year success in a 20 year organization of 4000 or so teams… just like in horse racing. So to say that 254 or 1678 or 973 or 1323 are all the sudden not going to be good is a false statement. they will likely be very good because of their programs and their history. They would not accept anything less. Same here we are not going to fall off the face of FRC either every year we will iterate better. You can assume certain things from how teams have done in the past. Just look at their year over year results its all there.
I think to really do scheduling “correctly” some unbiased FTA needs to “adjust” when the computer prints out what it thinks is optimal based on some algorithm. The FTA knows or should know the perennial teams and could easily see the duplicates or inordinate amount of powerhouse pairings with a single highlighter . They could adjust anytime up to when its posted. It can be done and I think it improves the game play as well if instituted correctly.
The main problem is… teams only get maybe 20 matches in two regionals so scheduling draw is huge just like “missed RP’s” as a high order ranking metric.
I’m not afraid to point things out to improve the game hopefully for every team. FRC is great yet can still improve and tweak. Its good to be questioned and not accept always the status quo. I may just have a fresh view on an older institution. Things can always improve.
This is not why we are not in St Louis. All I’m sayin’ it could be done better…and perhaps it makes a smidgen of difference if they actually tweak the way schedules are made. Might take a half hour or less at each regional to flip a few teams a few spots with the analytic help.
Attached is the way I do schedules lets pretend its a different season and in this scenario 3495 is a super powerhouse and consensus #1 or won 4 WC divisions and its our second match with them on our side. Great for us but seemingly “unfair” for having #1 twice on our side (or against us)
I mark partners in green and opponents in red for my scouts. Whites we do not play.
So if an FTA wanted to by switching 5137 for 2135 a one game switch a second powerhouse pairing match is avoided then all they have to do is make sure the other 5 teams did not play that team on same side or not. There are plenty of white spaces to switch teams around IF the goal is to be more random and possibly more fair to all teams.
If that does not work then there are two other “blue” teams that could make the switch.
We could have probably used the extra game in between as well there…in that scenario.
Just like with instant replay, changes can be made that are fairly simple and don’t open a can of worms… what might actually happen is all the sudden more teams get super good alliance partners and avoid facing powerhouses too much until eliminations. Schedules are always pretty late anyhow.
I think a human eye on it could easily sort out inconsistencies, much easier than trying to program some algorithm…its not rocket science. Let the algorithm do the sort… then highlight several inconsistencies and move things around slightly.
Thanks for correcting me and you are welcome.
This proposition is inherently contradictory. You are asking for an “unbiased” volunteer to introduce bias into the schedule based on their perception of historical robot / team quality. No matter how you slice it, that is biasing the results even farther from random than what they are, and there isn’t even a chance of a volunteer doing this “fairly”.
Changing the algorithm to try and pair teams of different ages with each other was tried once, in 2007, with generally disastrous results. The match making generator is already far from random when you consider all of the constraints on it - adding more constraints to make schedules “fairer” all but requires loosening one of the other constraints. In 2007, this meant matches had a consistent mix of young teams, old teams, and middle aged teams… at the cost of having to play with and against the same robots over and over again. It was almost universally disliked.
My advice? Get over the fact that schedules won’t ever be “fair” however you see it, and work on becoming a team that isn’t dependent on a perfect schedule to play well into Saturday / Sunday afternoon.
I will agree 100% with the 2007 system of scheduling being a mess. It was my second year on the team and we ended up being ranked 2nd at UTC with a robot that never hung a tube once (maybe 2) and was complete garbage. We were lucky and got paired up with 25 twice and many other great teams to push up to being ranked 2nd.
I felt guilty ranking so high with such a poor performing robot. I refuse to even count it as our highest ranking ever at an event.
Congrats to 5137 playing so well during CVR! You were very steady throughout. Interesting how you and 5136 have developed into such strong teams in a short amount of time.
Thanks we loved it. We were rooting hard for 5136 too.
Been there done that already as I repeatedly said this did not affect us (but may affect others)… we held our own in CV and Ventura last year both days . I think that small changes could be made though to benefit all teams and saying that’s “just the way it is” is not really acceptable.
I foresee maybe about three glaring inconsistencies that may need to be adjusted per “powerhouse” event… an hour of work maybe just making sure it does not mess another team up. The system is decent I believe it can be improved. Just like missed defense crossings that also can improve. Pretty sad when Portcullis crossings are missed especially the way we did them 
I agree; I’ve posted about this earlier. A bit of history: we got the No 1 seed in Curie in 2013 in part because we had a very favorable schedule–play with powerhouses, never against them. In 2015, it was the opposite, but we scrambled through and made ourselves very attractive to 118. Our scheduling bonus was in the initial assignment to Newton when we had already played with 118 in Sac (and we knew 1671 extremely well.)
The solution is in fact quite easy. It’s a two-step scheduling algorithm that accounts for last season’s performance. I believe that all of the professional sports leagues already do this. First, you sort the teams in bins A, B & C based on a ranking criterion–probably a system akin to the district point system. (Rookies = 0). Each match is scheduled by drawing a team from each bin for each alliance as an added step. All of the other constraints then come into place.
The single biggest problem? FIRST has to explicitly acknowledge that teams are of differing competitive quality. The rationale for the ChampSplit seems to imply that they are unwilling to make this acknowledgement as somehow being demeaning. I believe that it is much more disheartening to face two WC teams in a qualifying round and know that there’s little that you can do to slow them down when they are paired because all of your alliancemates are young teams.
And I’ve been quite disappointed in the announcing prep done for FRC teams. Too often they bring in a “voice” who has little connection to FRC. At Sacramento, I plan to give the announcers much more prep (I’m on the RPC). They can spread out the kudos for teams like 254 over the whole competition so there’s not a huge buildup in a single match (but it’s also important to generate buzz by acknowledging team accomplishments–watch any elite sporting competition.) And it’s also very important to acknowledge what other newer or lower ranked teams have done. Even noting that 5137 had been fighting for No. 1 seed all competition should have been notes.
Again, congrats. Please come to Sac soon!
Thanks for the world class insights… SAC how much further is that? LOL, I literally almost fell asleep on the way home…had to pull over to take a 20 minute “not crash car” nap
As someone who was around the last time the match scheduling algorithm attempted to account for strength of schedule, NO. Just NO. 2007 was AWFUL. Yes, these caps are required.
The gripe is about favorable/unfavorable schedules. If you try to balance out the competitive levels of teams, you’re inherently creating favorable/unfavorable schedules. This is exactly what happened in 2007. Older teams had unfavorable schedules, and younger teams had favorable ones. By trying to solve the problem, you’re essentially enshrining the problem.
And as a technical point, *only *the NFL accounts for previous seasons’ results in determining the schedule. And that’s a relatively minor factor (it influences only 2 games of the 16 on each team’s schedule). Conferences/divisions (which are geographically based) are the driving factor in the other 14 games of the NFL schedule, and the lone factor in the NBA, MLB, and NHL schedules.
NFL teams play each other once unless in divisions (or playoffs)
I do think there is a solution…
NO duplicates
Also too many pairings/facings of “known powerhouse teams” should be schedule avoided until eliminations
Powerhouses don’t really need that much help to rank high nor is it good for younger teams to face “near certain doom” twice in a competition hence my no duplicate suggestion
Powerhouse teams will not be left on the bench either they will nearly always be selected regardless. Most other teams not as much.
Correct. That doesn’t change my point. Only 2 of the 16 games on an NFL teams’ schedule are based on the previous seasons’ results. The other 14 games are based on which division a team plays in.
