I see a lot of sentences that start with “most teams will be able to…” but I think the sentences mean to read “most *powerhouse *teams will…” or “most teams that are playing in the finals will…” or “Most teams in the eliminations at the world championships will…”
based off of my memories of the 2004 and 2010 games, I believe this thread greatly underestimates the difficulty of climbing and overestimated what truly most teams, meaning more than 50% at any given regional, will be capable of. In 2010 I’d argue less than 50% of teams were able to climb 12" effectively, of the teams that could, at least 50% of them spent a significant amount of time just lining up to do so.
So I’m answering my opinion for the Average team, meaning the median team at any given regional, and the upper 10% powerhouse teams at any given regional. These numbers include time spent aligning, not just climbing.
10 points
The Average Team - 35 second
The Powerhouses - 8 seconds
20 points
The average team - 50% of teams will not climb to the 20 point range. Those that do will spend half the match doing so.
The powerhouses - 30 seconds
30 points -
The average team - Only the ones that build a bot dedicated to only climbing the tower, and spend the entire 2 minutes doing so.
the powerhouses - less than 50% of the powerhouses will *attempt it or **succeed. Average of those that do - ***40 seconds.
***before I get backlash, keep in mind what an average is. Yes some will do it much faster. Others will do it much slower, and many will spend a lot of time attempting it with no avail.
**Robots fall, things come loose and dangle… if a robot makes it to the top tier quickly, but its bumper fabric peels off and dangles 29" off the ground, it is still will only be worth 10 points. For my estimations, this is considered a 10 point climb.
*I believe most powerhouse teams will combine shooting and climbing for their strategy. I am expecting them to spend a long portion scoring many frisbees, then with 30-40 seconds remaining they will have a fast mechanism to get off the ground, and another to pull them above 30".