“Work smart and work hard.” That is America in five words.
This statement captures the essence of the American Dream, the magical idea that with hard work and grit one can achieve anything The American Dream is alluring because of the golden success stories it has produced: individuals like Carnegie, Rockefeller, Ursula Berns, and Ben Carson. America is the "land of oppurtunity", where "life should be better and richer and fuller for everyone, with opportunity for each according to ability or achievement". We are captivated by this dream because it tells us that we can achieve success through our own personal effort, independent of external factors such as social standing, socioeconomic status, etc. The burden to achieve upwards social mobility lies solely with ourselves.
This captivating dream falls short of reality. I won’t delve here into why this is true in American society, but only how it is true in FRC. Here’s an excellent article from the Stanford Alumni Magazine on decreasing social mobility in America: https://alumni.stanford.edu/get/page/magazine/article/?article_id=94665
To say that working hard and playing smart will make any team successful is a half truth. Yes, working hard and playing smart is how teams improve (obviously), but teams are also heavily impacted by their circumstances in ways the OP fails to appreciate. Teams get discouraged when they see how insanely expensive FRC is, how much technical knowledge is required, how hard it is to find tools, a build space, school support, motivated students, and funding. When teams aren’t provided good circumstances, they fold.
A rookie team can work hard, but they can’t play smart unless they know what playing smart is. Many rookie teams are started without technical mentors or experienced FIRSTers who can give guidance in everything from flashing a radio, understanding different motor types and their uses, training a drive team, contacting businesses for sponsorships, to setting up a project in VS code.
I think you underestimate how little a rookie team knows. I didn’t know a company called ‘VEX’ existed until week 1 of build season. The founder of my team didn’t know $6000 dollars didn’t pay for the entire robot. Rookies get hung up on agonizingly simple things, like flashing a RIO. My first CD post was my team asking how to retain items axially so they don’t slip off. We didn’t know where to turn for resources or help. We didn’t have a build space or machinery. Thank you team 6377 for inviting us to your build space and getting our robot to move!
Teams get discouraged when they can’t see the broader vision behind FIRST, the exciting possibilities robot design offers, and the amazing worldwide culture one experiences at a regional. In short, they can’t play smart without guidance.
I am working very hard to ensure the future of my team. I don’t know if we will exist in 5 years. I realized I was passionate to robotics listening to Coach Norman Morgan (of 2468) explain strategies for team success at my local kickoff event. My teammates were inspired by the generosity of teams at our regional, who helped us finish our robot and get it moving on the field. Without support and a strong community, don’t expect for rookie teams to succeed on their own. Sorry, it doesn’t happen that way.
edit: RaMoore succinctly described why rookies fail in his above post